2/18/21

Mack's Mock Pick - 1.20 - RHP - Chase Burns


 

Chase Burns


Mack's spin - 

This prep pitcher already has one of the top fastballs in the draft. He also has a developing impressive slider.

Burns needs to work on his accuracy which should come in time.

I really like this kid.

 

RHP     6-4      215     Tennessee 

 

1-26-21 - BA -

 

29. Chase Burns, RHP, Station Camp HS, Gallatin, Tenn.

 

Areas To Improve: show better command with high-end stuff, maintain body

 

At times last summer Burns showed both exceptional pure stuff and solid feel for pitching. However, he didn’t often showcase both at the same time. He was more scattered when throwing his fastball in the upper 90s and clearly took some oomph off of his pitches when attempting to dial in his command. Learning to better command his stuff at the high-end could move the needle—whether that comes from repeating his release point more consistently or shortening a longer arm action. Maintaining a large, 6-foot-1, 225-pound frame will also be key for Burns this spring.

 

 1-14-21  -  Baseball America

 

Chase Burns

 

Station Camp HS, Gallatin, Tenn. RHP

 

Ht: 6-1 | Wt: 225 | B-T: R-R

Commit/Drafted: Tennessee

Age At Draft: 18.5

 

A physical righthander committed to Tennessee, Burns has some of the loudest pure stuff in the 2021 class, headlined by a fastball that routinely gets into the 99-100 mph range. Burns’ fastball is simply overpowering at the moment, with exceptional velocity and riding life that comes out a difficult plane for hitters thanks to a high, three-quarter arm slot. Burns attacks downhill with scattered control, though scouts have seen progress in his pitchability throughout the summer and his margin for error in location at the current level is wide considering his velocity. Burns also throws two breaking balls, one a sharp, top-to-bottom curve that looks like an average pitch and a more promising upper-80s slider with more sweeping action that shows real tilt and bite at its best. Some evaluators have graded the slider out as a future plus offering while his changeup has garnered mixed feedback and remains inconsistent. Burns will have to battle the poor track record of hard-throwing preps, and he also throws with a longer arm action that many clubs don’t love. There are also some minor mechanical cues and repeatability questions that teams will want answered, but none are massive red flags at the moment.

 

 12-18-20 - Future Sox Mock Draft -

 

Competitive Balance A

 

31. Miami Marlins: Chase Burns, RHP, Beech HS (TN)

 

Another hard throwing prep for the Marlins.

 

 11-11-20 - Prospects Live Top 300 Prospect List -

 

33. Chase Burns - RHP

 

Bio:

 

Height: 6-4

Weight: 215 lbs

Hits/Throws: R-R

Hometown: Gallatin, TN

School: Station Camp

 

Huge growth spurt over the last calendar year has skyrocketed his stuff. 6-4 frame consistently pumps 95-99 through the zone. Command is currently fringe average with the pitch, but his mechanics are repeatable and show a clean operation. Shows good feel for a high 80s slider with decent lateral movement, but lacks depth. Curveball is a firm mid-70s offering that currently lacks any power bite. Changeup might be his best secondary as it's a mid 80s offering with good fade and sometimes can tumble.

 

 7-21-20 -  BA -

 

Chase Burns, RHP, Station Camp HS, Gallatin, Tenn.

 

Travel Team: Canes National

Commit: Tennessee

Performance: 4.0 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 3 K, 0 BB, 43 pitches (62% strikes)

 

There doesn’t seem to be a consensus top arm in the 2021 class at the moment—particularly with LHP Maddux Bruns struggling with control at the UBC—but Burns is safely in the top tier of arms and continues to impress.

 

Burns has shown one of the better pure fastballs in the class at times, but it was his pitchability that impressed scouts at the UBC. He ran his fastball up to 95-96—he’s previously been up to 99—and showed a good downer breaking ball, but evaluators thought he was doing a nice job pitching rather than simply getting on the bump and trying to throw hard.

 

There are still some refinements that need to be made in his delivery, in terms of syncing up some moving parts and being on time with a longer arm action, but scouts who saw him this week didn’t have any glaring concerns with it and pointed to high-quality strikes and good angle on his stuff.

 

 Baseball Prospect Journal -

 

Burns is a 6-foot-1, 225-pound right-hander who throws a four-seam fastball, slider, curveball, and changeup from a high three-quarter arm slot. He has a longer arm action but features little effort in his delivery.

 

His fastball is his best pitch as it sits 96 to 99 mph and regularly hits 100 mph. He credits the triple-digit velocity to his offseason work, which consisted of dedicating time to improving his explosiveness and using weighted baseballs for the first time.

 

Burns’ best breaking pitch is his slider. It’s a wipeout pitch that sits 85 to 88 mph. He started throwing it when he was younger and has continued to refine it into a future plus pitch. His big breaking curveball is more of a get-me-over pitch that he regularly uses when hitters are sitting on his fastball.

 

His changeup has shown potential but is a work in progress that sits 85 to 86 mph. Burns said he needs to develop more confidence and consistency with his changeup.

 

 Prospect Worldwide -

 

Chase Burns – RHP: If your someone who likes pure power pitching, look no further then Chase Burns. Who regularly pumps his Fastball in at 95+ and touching 100. With Plus spin rates (2400-2650 RPM) working up in the zone as he should, generating a ton of swing and misses. Has the potential to end up as a Plus-Plus (70) pitch. Mixed in with a Curveball that flashes 2 plane break wipe out potential, a Slider, and Changeup. Tons of starter traits. Some worry of Burns “peaking too early” and maybe its the case. But you can’t deny the potential here is still top of the rotation stuff if it can reach its max.

 

 Talking Chop  -  Chase Burns, RHP, Tennessee HS

If there is a guy who can come near matching Petty’s fastball velocity it would be Tennessee prep arm Chase Burns. Burns is a bigger bodied 6’4, 215 power arm who can touch 99 MPH. Burns brings a plus slider and an already strong change that might be a third plus pitch for him, and has shown some looks with a curve- but it isn’t truly a part of his arsenal at this time. Burns command is on the potential future average side, but can use refinement like most high school arms. Burns has committed to in-state Tennessee.

 

Diamond Digest -   21) Chase Burns, RHP, Station Camp HS (TN)

Burns showed up this summer with a much more muscular, stronger frame, and his added strength has propelled his fastball into the high-90s. While the fastball is impressive from a velocity standpoint, the pitch doesn’t miss as many bats up in the zone as the velocity and arm slot would suggest. Burns’ fastball has relatively low spin efficiency, meaning he cuts the pitch quite a bit. This cut leads to a lack of carry up in the zone that would miss bats. An analytically-inclined player development staff may be able to help him achieve a better fastball. Improved pitch data combined with his present velocity and ability to execute the pitch may eventually turn his fastball into a 70-grade pitch. Burns throws his secondary pitches very hard, with a plus slider that sits 87-89 that misses bats at the bottom of the zone. His changeup sits around 88-89, and he has a feel for the pitch at the bottom of the zone. The main thing that separates Burns from a guy like Andrew Painter, besides the cut in his fastball, is command. Burns shows inconsistency in locating all three of his pitches. Mechanically, Burns does a lot of things that high-velocity arms do. He generates great hip/torso separation, he has really good scapular range of motion, and he is athletic in his hips. There is some funk and deception in his delivery, too. Overall the high-velocity high school arm is a risky demographic, but teams will likely be more comfortable selecting Burns because of how well he moves in his delivery. Burns is committed to Tennessee.

  Click here for the full list of Mack's Scouting Reports.   

1 comment:

Tom Brennan said...

Love fireballers like Burns