2/5/22

Player Profile - J.T. Ginn

J.T. Ginn Brooklyn Cyclones - 2021 Team Card


Background, Stats, Videos.

Background: 

J.T. Ginn, Starting Pitcher, Bats Right, Throws Right, 6' 2", 200 lbs; DOB 5/12/1999 in  Flowood, MS, USA. Drafted by the Mets in the 2020 June Amateur Draft - Round: 2, Pick: 15, Overall: 52 from Mississippi State University (Mississippi State, MS);  

Drafted by the Los Angeles Dodgers in the 1st round (30th) of the 2018 MLB June Amateur Draft from Brandon HS (Brandon, MS), J.T. instead chose to go to Mississippi State where he earned SEC Freshman Pitcher of the Year after going 8-4, 3.13 ERA, 105 Ks in 86.1 innings; Then, after one game as a sophmore, Tommy John Surgery.  The Mets drafted him anyway in 2020 paying him first round bonus money at $2.9M.  

The day he was drafted Mack said:  "Observation –    This is a great pick! Ginn would have easily been a Top 10 pick but went down early this year that resulted in TJS. He probably won’t be back for the beginning of next season but you have to still project him as a potential starter for the Mets in three years. If not, huge upside as a future reliever."


After Starting at Low-A St. Lucie and going 2-1 with a 2.56 ERA in 8 games, he was promoted to Brooklyn for aa 3-4 record, 3.38 in 10 games.

Tom Brennan Mack's Mets: "Just 3 HRs allowed in 92 innings - that sure tells you something.  And only 22 walks as compared to 81 Ks. Just based on what the numbers speak to me, I see no reason why Ginn cannot get up to 150 innings or so in 2022, in AA and AAA, and be ready to join the Mets' rotation in 2023."

Joe DeMayo SNY.TV: Deep Dive on Mets prospect J.T. Ginn, a 'bulldog' who could soon be a rotation staple. "Ginn, who has a 97 mph fastball with turbo sink, could start the 2022 season with Double-A Binghamton."

Mets.com has JT as the #4 Mets Prospect: "Ginn shows three promising pitches when he is the mound. The fastball sits 91-95 mph and comes with a good amount of sink and life, pushing the grade up a touch. He can also touch as high as 97 with the offering when he rears back. The mid-80s slider draws promising reviews for its ability to move over two planes and is a weapon in its own right. The changeup was developing and showed promising signs with some sink of its own." 

Prospects Live ranks JT as the #8 prospect. Noting this: "Delivery & Mechanics: Violent, whippy arm action. Good extension and follow through on each pitch. Comes to the plate from a low release point and gets the ball out in front. 3/4 arm action. Violence could be a deterrent for future starter capabilities."

Amazing Avenue has him as their #6 Mets Prospect. "Ginn throws from a high-three-quarters arm slot with a simple delivery that has been toned down since his high school years. He still throws with a little effort, but his mechanics overall have improved at his time at Mississippi State."

SNY.TV has JT as their #5 prospect: "He spent the year building up arm strength, and at the end of the season, he was back touching 95-96 mph. This is a great sign heading into 2022, when I expect him to start in Double-A."

About his velocity JT told Newsday: "'It’s definitely been improving," Ginn said. "I think I’m a few ticks down velocity wise from the highest I’ve ever been, but overall I’m feeling pretty good and I’ve been feeling a lot better, so it’s been really exciting and I’m just taking it day by day and letting the process play out.'"



For 2022, I see Ginn starting out in Binghamton with a promotion to Syracuse in the middle or towards the end of the year.  The Mets will surely want to use the expanded AAA season this year to give Ginn the opportunity for extra work.

J.T. Ginn’s FANGRAPHS page:

FastballSliderChangeupCommandFV
50 / 5555 / 6045 / 5035 / 5045


Stats: 

Standard Pitching -


2021 Pitching Splits -




Videos:








You Tube: Mets prospect J.T. Ginn compares his pitching arsenal to Marcus Stroman’s | Mets Prospective | SNY




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4 comments:

Remember1969 said...

I am really looking forward to both Ginn and Allan coming up

February 5, 2022 at 12:26 PM
John From Albany said...

Me too Bill. Allan will need a year to build up strength like JT did last year. Allan may not make the MLB team until 2024

February 5, 2022 at 1:42 PM
Tom Brennan said...

I am not as finely attuned to when a guy is ready for the big leagues as are the head honchos.

That said, I watched the videos: he looked nasty in his post-TJS year. He will probably be up a bit velocity-wise in 2022. Add in the change up he no doubt is perfecting....

...honestly, I know he did not pitch above High A last year, but I could see him do a half season in 2022 in the high minors and get called up. Why?

1) Great stuff

2) Pitches that will avoid home runs

3) Bulldog mentality, coupled with controlled aggression.

Some kids skip a grade in school - I could see him skip to the majors around All Star break 2022.

I just hope "years of control" mentality does not prevent that.

In an article a few weeks from now, I look at 3 might excellent career pitchers who were not held back early. I'll leave it there, except to say:

Don't hold this kid back. He's special.

February 5, 2022 at 2:22 PM
TexasGusCC said...

I was very excited to see who y’all featured today. I have Ginn as my #3 prospect and would have no problem putting him at #2 if he gets all the way back to his Mississippi State numbers. The kid threw 99, with control, high K’s and no homeruns allowed? Wow, if that isn’t an ace, what do you want? Then, I have Allen at #4 who hopefully can team up with Ginn and be the next Scherzer/DeGrom tandem. That’s why two high octane arms this year, preferably lefty, excite me.

As for why so high? Mauricio has defensive issues and isn’t a shortstop. Plus, the K’s. Sorry, I need to see that fixed first. Vientos also has similar issues but is a better hitter. Thus, the pitchers are in front of them.

February 6, 2022 at 10:32 AM

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