12/10/25

MACK - MY WEDNESDAY OBSERVATIONS - MACK'S PROSPECT #2 - OF - AJ EWING - Edwin, Rule 5, Soto, Helsley, Sandy, Baty, Dick Scott Christian Scott, A.J. Minter

 


I promised all of you that, as soon as the season ended, I would breakout and post my current Top 30 prospects.

This is performance based, not players that came to the Mets full of promise but have only produced butterscotch pudding. A perfect example of a player that didn’t make this list is catcher Ronald Hernandez. I still like the guy, but based on what he did in 2025, I don’t like him “top 30 guy”.

Nolan McLean, Brandon Sproat, and Jonah Tong (maybe) are not on this list. They have graduated.

I will post them in each of my weekly Observations and In Focus posts… one player at a time… beginning with #30.

Today, we move to #2:


2.     OF    AJ Ewing

Turns 22 in August    5-11    160    CF/2B/LF    LHH

2025 – A/A+/AA:    564-PA, 105-K, 68-BB, 70-SB, 315/.401/.429/.830

           AA:             132-PA, 29-K, 7-BB, 12-SB, .339/.371/.430/.801

Overall Minors:     .283 AVG, 13 HR, 107 RBI, 84 SB in 221 games.

A.J. Ewing, whose full name is Andrew Joseph Ewing, is a highly regarded outfield prospect in the New York Mets organization.

He's already making waves in the minors with his speed, contact hitting, and improving power.

High School -      Ewing graduated from Springboro High School in Springboro, Ohio, where he excelled as a shortstop. He was committed to play college baseball at the University of Alabama but opted to turn pro instead.

Draft Selection:   The Mets selected him in the fourth round (134th overall) of the 2023 MLB Draft as a compensatory pick for losing ace Jacob deGrom to free agency. He signed for an above-slot bonus of $675,000 and transitioned from shortstop to second base/outfield due to his athleticism and speed.

Strengths:          Known for his "twitchy" athleticism, elite speed (he has 84 stolen bases in 221 minor league games), and plate discipline—he often walks more than he strikes out. Scouts praise his contact skills and gap power, with potential for more home runs as he adds strength this offseason. He's working on building muscle to boost his exit velocity and handle advanced pitching.

Minor League Career

Ewing has progressed quickly through the Mets' farm system, starting in the Rookie-level Florida Complex League (FCL) and advancing steadily. His 2024 season was solid but marked by adjustment to pro ball; 2025 was a breakout year, where he dominated at Low-A and earned a promotion to Double-A.

ETA to MLB:        Projected for 2028, though his rapid rise could accelerate that. He's seen as a potential everyday second baseman or versatile outfielder with 20-20 (HR-SB) upside if his power develops.

Ewing's quote to the Dayton Daily News in October 2025:

"My goal never was to be a college baseball player... I want to get to the bigs."

 

11-11-2025

Tom Brennan/MM

8. OF A.J. Ewing

The 5’11” Ewing was, to me, the Mets minor league hitter of the year.  

He is going to be a 21-year-old in 2026, and is a high-on-base, base-swiping super machine. In 2025, between St Lucie, Brooklyn, and Binghamton, he was .315/.401/.426. Swoosh!

He is a no-doubt top 5 player a year from now.  His lone fault to date is low power, with just 3 blasts in 2025, but he had 36 other extra base hits, which is impressive, and SEVENTY STEALS in just 124 games, which is a 90+ steals pace over 162 games.  Just 105 Ks in 564 PAs.

He was an over slot 134th pick in 2024.  

I ask…why can’t he be a star infielder/OF in the majors?

SWOOSH!


X

Talks with free-agent closer Edwin Díaz have stretched into the MLB Winter Meetings in Orlando, with no deal close. New York signed former Brewers All-Star Devin Williams last week to strengthen a back end featuring Brooks Raley and A.J. Minter. President David Stearns eyes other top relievers like Robert Suárez and Pete Fairbanks if Díaz signs elsewhere, balancing bold moves with smart value. Fans worry about losing Díaz's proven save touch from his Mets days, while the front office builds depth for late-game lock downs.

MACK –

This week could determine what the 2026 Mets pen is going to look like. Stearns is going to have to make a hard decision if the reports that Diaz is not going to sign early are true. All the available top relievers could be gone when  Diaz decides where he is going.

 

Rule 5 Target -

CLICK HERE

Will Childers, RHP, Brewers

The son of a big leaguer (Matt) and nephew of another (Jason), Childers was a non-drafted free-agent find by the Brewers in 2023 who split the 2025 season between the top two levels of the Miinors, saving nine games and striking out 9.5 per nine (albeit with a 5.6 BB/9 rate). He held hitters to a .176 batting average with a fastball that touched 99 mph and 84-86 mph breaking stuff that can miss bats.

Griff McGarry, RHP, Phillies

McGarry has shown off premium stuff since his Stanford days, but command has always held him back. His fastball sits 94 mph and touches the upper 90s with excellent extension, and his slider elicited a 52 percent miss rate, according to Synergy, in 2025. The Phillies moved him back into a starting role this year so he could keep working on all his stuff, and he took a step forward command-wise with a career-low walk rate ... that was still 5.3 per nine.

 

Codify                   @CodifyBaseball

No MLB player in history has more walks before their 28th birthday than Juan Soto (who won't turn 28 until next October!). 

100+ MPH Pitches Thrown, 2024-2025 MLB Seasons:

Mason Miller, 932

Jhoan Duran, 527

Justin Martinez, 498

Aroldis Chapman, 402

Emmanuel Clase, 359

Ryan Helsley, 331

Hunter Greene, 331

 

Enticing trades each NL East team should avoid at the Winter Meetings

CLICK HERE

New York Mets

Mets should avoid: Trading for a Marlins pitcher

On a related note, it would not be wise for the New York Mets to offer what it'd take to pry Sandy Alcantara out of Miami. Yes, they desperately need an ace, but who knows if Alcantara will ever get back to his Cy Young form. Is it worth parting with top prospects for him, not knowing if he'll ever pitch like he did in the past?

Beyond Alcantara, the Marlins are also dangling Edward Cabrera on the block. Cabrera is just 27 years of age, has electric stuff, is coming off his best season (3.53 ERA in 26 starts), and is under club control through 2028, so there are reasons to consider him, but durability and reliability are clear concerns. Cabrera had never thrown more than 100 innings in a single big-league season until 2025, and was so inconsistent with Miami to the point where he was on non-tender watch at this time last season.

Cabrera deserves credit for seemingly putting it all together in 2025, but who knows if that season was a mere outlier. The last thing the Mets can afford is to give the Marlins substantial prospect capital for pitchers with such glaring concerns.


Brett Baty

https://www.yardbarker.com/mlb/articles/mets_new_stance_on_brett_baty_marks_major_trade_shift/s1_16838_43175769

Expert Suggests Baty Won't Be Among Mets Infielder on Trade Market

This success, combined with a mediocre year from Mark Vientos, along with Ronny Mauricio and Luisangel Acuńa not making any major impacts, and the sentiment that Jeff McNeil is likely being dealt this winter, has given Baty new life in Queens. In fact, it suggests that his future with the Mets is safer than all those other players

MACK –

No one wants this guy to succeed more that I do. You don’t have to go fishing for a new catch while you still only have to pay team-controlled money. Baty proved during the second half of 2025 that he can hit like the big guys. Extend that over a season and you have an all-star.

 


Dick Scott

 https://www.mlb.com/news/2025-bender-coolbaugh-award-winners?partnerID=web_article-share

Dick Scott, New York Mets (manager of the Triple-A Syracuse Mets) -- Sheldon “Chief” Bender Award

Dick Scott’s career in professional baseball began in 1981 as the 17th round draft choice of the New York Yankees out of Ellsworth High School in Ellsworth, Maine. As a shortstop, Scott spent eight seasons in the Yankees organization, reaching Triple-A Columbus. After signing with Oakland as a Minor League free agent in 1989, Scott reached the big leagues with the Athletics, playing in three games with the eventual World Champions. Following the 1990 season and 10 seasons as a professional player, Scott retired and immediately began a coaching, scouting and player development career that would span the next 35 years.

Scott’s career in player development began the very next season in 1991 as he remained in the Athletics organization as a manager with the Rookie-level Arizona League Athletics, whom he led to a league championship in his first season. Scott went on to manage six seasons in the Athletics organization, with stops in Madison (1992), Southern Oregon (1993), Modesto (1994) and Huntsville (1995-96). His 1994 Modesto club went 96-40, posting a .706 winning percentage, which has not been topped in the Minor Leagues since. Scott was named the Manager of the Year in his league three times (1991 in Arizona League, 1992 in the Northwest League and 1994 in the California League). He was named USA Today Baseball Weekly Minor League Manager of the Year in 1994.

In 1997, Scott joined the Arizona Diamondbacks organization as a manager at Class-A South Bend before moving into a Major League advance scout role in 1998. Following the 2001 season, Scott became the Director of Player Development for the Toronto Blue Jays, a role he held through the 2009 season. In 2010, he joined the Houston Astros organization as their Minor League field coordinator.

From 2011 through 2012, he served as the New York Mets’ Minor League field coordinator before serving as their Director of Player Development from 2013-15. In 2016, Scott joined the Mets' Major League coaching staff as bench coach for two seasons.

In 2018, he joined the Miami Marlins as Director of Player Development for three seasons. During the 2021-2022 seasons, he served as the Mets’ coordinator of coaching development and instruction before being named Manager of Triple-A Syracuse for the last three seasons.

 

 

Anthony DiComo                    @AnthonyDiComo

Two Mets injury updates:

-Christian Scott (Tommy John surgery) will be a full go at the start of spring training.

-A.J. Minter (lat tear) is questionable for Opening Day. But if he doesn't return then, he shouldn't need much additional time.

MACK –

I’ve been telling all of you this about Scott since the end of last season, but… aw… never mind.

The Minter delay is a major setback to a current thin pen. Hopefully Steans can do something about this before Friday.


19 comments:

JoeP said...

FAIRBANKS

Mack Ade said...

+1

Zozo said...

I wouldn’t make Baty untouchable in trades. I’d rather trade him one year early than 1 year too late. He can be a prime piece going for a starting pitcher with a couple years of control left?

How about calming Seattle and asking for Rye NY born George Kirby? They have pitching and we have hitting.
Offer them Baty, Jett, McNiel and Sproat that should get it done?

Mack Ade said...

Will you throw in a large pepperoni?

TexasGusCC said...

No, the large Pepperoni is for the Dodgers!

TexasGusCC said...

For Stearns to go as high as $22MM per year, and say there could be room for more, means he knew there was something else somewhere. Should he had just gone to $23MM? Well…. Just saying that Diaz contract is $21MM per year after the deferrals. Am I sad to lose Diaz? Hell no!!!!

Tom Brennan said...

Could Christian Scott replace Edwin Diaz? Or just replace Reed Garrett?

The Mets should get Fairbanks - I like Alaska

Tom Brennan said...

Soto's high walks show how important it is to get to the big leagues really early if possible

JoeP said...

Gus, the Mets offered 3/66 with room for negotiations. They were told they would get a chance to match. The reason he left was because he was another disloyal wah wah baby.

There are many reports already saying he was UPSET (wah wah baby) that they signed Williams and fired Hefner. Is he the GM now.

Another disloyal, prima donna...don't let the door hit you in the ass. Not Stearn's fault.

JoeP said...

Sorry Gus, I didn't see your last line. I agree with you brother.

That Adam Smith said...

Sometimes, when the money is really enough either way, ego and respect play an outsized role in these kinds of negotiations. Waiting around and assuming you’ll get a chance to pay $1 more (metaphorically) than the guy’s best outside offer paid off for Stearns with Alonso (who clearly wanted to come back) last season. But sometimes, and this might be culturally more true for Latin American players, you need to show a little more respect and appreciation for a guy who has sweated and performed for you and is part of the family. I believe that Stearns really did want Diaz back, but got too cute for his own good, which was seen as disrespect or a lack of appreciation by Diaz, who walked.

D J said...

Please keep in mind the Mets paid Diaz's salary in full during the 2024 season when he was injured and unable to play. Is that not a sign of respect and appreciation?

That Adam Smith said...

I mean, they were contractually obligated to pay him.

TexasGusCC said...

Joe, I didn’t read anywhere that they were promised a chance to match. I read how his brother spoke glowingly about the Dodgers organization and how his feelings were injured over Hefner’s dismissal. I never trusted the guy. His best years were free agent years; he struggles in non save situations… he needs motivation. If there isn’t something on the line, he can’t focus. Ans the base runners -OMG!!

TexasGusCC said...

:-)

TexasGusCC said...

Disagree Adam. Stearns is doing his job. He was very clear from the beginning that Williams was a setup guy in every interview. However, Diaz found out about the signing is how he should have known that too. Or, was he afraid of competition? I’ve always said he has a ten cents brain.

TexasGusCC said...

Orioles finalizing 5/$155 with Pete Alonso. The other shoe drops. Good luck Pete, Baltimore has good fans too.

JoeP said...

Wow, all fan favorites, pre Stearns are now gone. (except Lindor) So are any excuses for Stearns. Now if any shit hits the fan its all on him.

Tom Brennan said...

Pete left because of Citi dimensions. If his whole career was in Baltimore, he’d have so many more HRs, he’d be on a HOF trajectory. I guess Cohen wants unattractive fences. Pete did not.