1. ASTROS: Houston is focusing on Buxton,
Zunino and the three best college pitchers (Stanford's Mark Appel, Louisiana
State's Kevin Gausman and San Francisco's Kyle Zimmer). Scouting director Bobby
Heck has taken an up-the-middle position player with his top pick in each of his
four drafts, and he and his staff are believed to favor Buxton, a five-tool
center fielder. Rumors persist that the Astros' higher-ups—new owner Jim Crane
and new general manager Jeff Luhnow—prefer an arm who could help soon and fit at
the front of their rotation.
Projected Pick:
MARK APPEL.
2. TWINS:
Minnesota needs plenty of pitching help too, but it will set its draft board and
take the best player available. That should be Buxton, though Zunino would
enable the Twins to shift Joe Mauer to a less taxing position.
Projected Pick: BYRON BUXTON.
3. MARINERS: Seattle is loaded with pitching
prospects and needs offense, so a bat would seem to be the obvious choice. That
was the case in 2011 as well, when the Mariners crossed up the industry by
selecting Hultzen at No. 2. They seem to be locked in on Buxton, Zunino and
Puerto Rican high school shortstop Carlos Correa. Correa draws comparisons to
Troy Tulowitzki, whom Seattle was set to take in this slot seven years ago
before making a late switch to . . . Jeff Clement.
Projected Pick: MIKE ZUNINO.
4. ORIOLES: Baltimore is looking at the same
hitters as the teams at the top of the draft, but unless Buxton or Zunino falls,
it likely will opt for one of the three college arms. The Orioles are the first
club mentioned with Arizona State shortstop Deven Marrero, but that seems like a
reach given Marrero's offensive struggles this spring.
Projected Pick: KYLE ZIMMER.
5. ROYALS: Kansas City picked in this spot last
year and missed out on the advanced pitcher it coveted when Cole, Hultzen, Bauer
and Bundy went with the first four choices. The Royals will try again in 2012,
and one of the three top-tier college arms should be available. If Appel,
Gausman and Zimmer all disappear, Kansas City's best bet would be
Zunino.
Projected Pick: KEVIN
GAUSMAN.
6. CUBS: Once
Appel, Gausman and Zimmer are chosen, there will be a run on position players,
most of whom will be high schoolers. Chicago's pick could come down to Correa
and polished Florida high school center fielder Albert Almora. The Cubs took
another prep shortstop of Puerto Rican descent (Javier Baez) at No. 9 a year
ago.
Projected Pick: ALBERT
ALMORA.
7. PADRES: San
Diego would prefer to take a bat here, likely from among a group that includes
Zunino, Correa and Clemson third baseman Richie Shaffer. The Padres also could
be tempted by a pitcher like Duke righthander Marcus Stroman, who's 5-foot-9 but
has the most electric stuff in the draft, or Giolito's teammate Max Fried, a
lefthander whose performance was slipping in early May.
Projected Pick: CARLOS CORREA.
8. PIRATES: After spending $14.5 million in
bonuses on righthanders Jameson Taillon (No. 2 overall, 2010) and Cole (No. 1
overall, 2011), Pittsburgh seeks a position player. The Pirates have been
searching for a shortstop for years, which may lead them to Marrero, a gifted
defender and one of the few locks to stay at the position in this
draft.
Projected Pick: DEVEN
MARRERO.
9.
MARLINS: It's easy to peg Stroman as a reliever because of his size, but
his 93-95 mph fastball and dastardly slider probably aren't getting past the
first 10 selections. Miami also could go for a high school position player such
as Almora, Correa or David Dahl, a center fielder from Alabama. Given the many
Oklahoma connections in the Marlins' front office, don't rule out Oklahoma State
lefthander Andrew Heaney or Oklahoma prep righthander Ty Hensley.
Projected Pick: MARCUS STROMAN.
10. ROCKIES: Colorado has had limited success
taking pitchers with its top choice in five of the last six drafts. The Rockies
are zeroing in on hitters and would love Almora, but they may have to settle for
a slightly lesser version in Dahl.
Projected
Pick: DAVID DAHL.
11. ATHLETICS: Oakland's strength is pitching,
yet the top options here will be Stroman or Fried unless other arms go higher
than expected. If the draft plays out as projected here and the A's want an
impact bat, Texas high school outfielder Courtney Hawkins, North Carolina prep
third baseman Corey Seager and Shaffer would be the best available.
Projected Pick: MAX FRIED.
12. METS: At this point of the first round,
teams will react to which players fall to them. New York is the first club
strongly linked to Hawkins, Louisiana high school shortstop Gavin Cecchini and
Texas A&M righthander Michael Wacha.
Projected Pick: GAVIN CECCHINI.
8 comments:
Ha, no. I'll take Lucas Giolito in this instance and so will the Mets. Come on, BA.
Ah. In reading the entire article BA mentions that they intentionally left him off of the mock because of the injury.
Yup, Giolito was left out as a note of uncertainty. I personally don't want the Mets to draft for position. Never a big fan of Gavin Cecchini.
But I would approve, Hawkins, Fried, Wacha,...
Giolito has to be on the top of the Mets board! No matter who else is there, if Giolito is there, you pull the trigger or be a douche.
Agreed on all counts, Sadiq.
I am unsure about Wacha. From what I have seen of him, he has an average fastball in terms of velocity but no movement. A good change is what gets him outs but not much past that. He has size but I can't help but thinking this is a college pitcher who succeeds in getting hitters out who won't be professionals and will have a much MUCH harder time doing so when he's forced to. It's a pass for me on Wacha.
If Giolito is there they have to take him...if not and McCullers is still there he should be the pick. Best Pitching Available for this draft.
Stephen I agree on Wacha...I see a future reliever- not that he's bad just not a top pick.
With Tejada and Evans in the system I don't love Cecchini enough to pass on pitching. Zunino andCorrea are the only position players I would take over pitching and I would still take Gio over both of them.
Pitching wins championships!! No interest at all in Cecchini. I agree with everyone's sentiment. I don't care if Gio is set for TJ surgery tomorrow, I'd still draft him and take a chance. These arms don't come around that often.
Take a look at Strasburg, he had TJ surgery not that long ago and he's back already dominating the NL east. P.S. Gio is already throwing again, so what's the issue?
Modern science is a wonderful thing and unless he has a uncurable disease, which certainly does not appear to be the case whatsoever, Gio would be a VERY welcome addition to our Mets family.
If Fried and/or Giolito are available, the only debate is which one to take, since that is actually an interest question because I'm very high on Fried as well considering he's a lefty to go along with Harvey, Wheeler, Familia, Mejia, he could be the other lefty alongside Niese.
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