3/12/13

An Rx for dD?

Another day, another spectacular play. It seems that Matt den Dekker is compiling his very own highlight reel this year in spring training. Adam Rubin of ESPNNewYork.com included Den Dekker taking a homer away from Washington’s Anthony Rendon earlier in spring training, and his sliding catch on the warning track in left-center to rob Trevor Crowe of an extra-base hit Saturday among the Met prospect‘s web gems. Rubin quoted a scout assigned to the Mets as saying that den Dekker might be the top outfielder in the NL East -- from a defensive perspective. Or, at least on par with B.J. Upton and Denard Span. He’s “like Ozzie Smith out there,” the scout said, according to Rubin. No small compliment.

Michael Baron of Metsblog.com says “Matt den Dekker is a magnificent center fielder. He has demonstrated it on several occasions this spring, last spring, and throughout his professional career. He is a human highlight reel out there, and is very fun to watch.” Baron goes on to ask “does den Dekker’s tremendous defense alone make him the best option in center field? This is a lineup which could struggle to score runs; the Mets need to find as many ways as possible to limit the damage and save runs from the opposition, and den Dekker’s defense could go a long way towards accomplishing that. In addition, he could help cover ground and make up for the questionable defense from Lucas Duda in left field, and whomever is manning right field – that is an underrated quality which is not always talked about, yet it’s crucially important.”

Wouldn’t it be great to see this kid’s glove out there patrolling center as a regular in Citifield this year? If only . . . If only what, you ask? According to Baron, “The issue with den Dekker is his bat, and whether or not he can cut down his strikeouts. He does hit for power, and has done so at every level he has played at after an adjustment period. But the strikeouts have been a problem for den Dekker at every level, and that could ultimately sink him at the big league level.” That opinion is seconded by just about every other analyst who has followed the Mets prospect along his upward path in the minors.

Well, here’s a thought for Mr. den Dekker. Forget about hitting for power. Focus on making contact. Shorten your swing and even choke up on the bat, if necessary. Perfect the art of the drag bunt. This approach should enable Matt to cut down on his strikeouts, and with his speed he could raise his OBP significantly. The best bunters in baseball, Rod Carew, Pee Wee Reese, Phil Rizzuto, Lou Brock, Maury Wills, were all key elements in their team’s successes without providing much home run punch. And all were top of the order hitters, batting first or second, as den Dekker could be, setting the table for the middle of the order boppers to follow. I’m no hitting coach, but I know that young Matt needs to do something to curtail those strikeouts, and if a change of focus works, it could set the stage for a long and productive major league career. I’m just sayin’ . . .

5 comments:

Michael S. said...

Having MDD step up would be great....another position filled internally on the cheap....one less trade or free agent signing.

Mack Ade said...

Shortening the swing is what got Josh Thole to the majors. It also limited his game once the book was written on him.

I used to love Lenny Dykstra as a CFer... and I loved him even more when Mookie and Straw were playing next to him and hitting in the same lineup.

Let the kid play AAA in 2013...

Concentrate on signing/obtaining a big bat to play with him and Duda in 2014.

Herb G said...

Mack, Thole doesn't have dD's legs and it seems he may have forsaken the short stroke in 2012. Even as Thole's avg declined from year to year, he was able to maintain a decent OBP . . until last year. I think if den Dekker could find a stroke that would cut down on his swings and misses, put the ball in play more, and lay one down for a base hit occasionally, he could get his OBP into the .360 - .380 neighborhood. I'd gladly accept that from him, even if it meant giving up a few home runs, just to get him into center field as a regular.

Don't get me wrong. If he were able to hit at the major league level as he did in St. Lucie in 2011 or Binghamton in 2012, I'd gladly accept the 24%-26% that went alng with those stints. But that would be a rare feat, so perhaps if he modified his game somewhat, his bat would be sufficient to allow him to play alongside whoever we obtain next winter.

While I am rooting hard for Duda, I'm not as sure as you seem to be that he is going to get his game up to snuff enough to be in that outfield alongside den Dekker next year.

Mack Ade said...

Herb:

I do have lofty predictions for Duda and we'll just have to wait and see, but the longer he stumbles around in left, he wll need a fast footed CFer to run down the center cut of the LF zone.

I'm reminded when I played 3B many years wit a guy named Paul Altruda.
I moved much better to my left so I would hug the line. Paul now hat so he played a little deeper in the SS whole.

IMO, den Deker has that ability, but still needs another year to fit all the pieces together.

Herb G said...

Mack,

I've had high expectations for Duda from early on. He has a very quick bat and a ton of power. He showed some guts coming back after that 1 for 33 start, and then followed it up with a good 2011. I hoped that 2012 was just a setback, but now I am concerned that his slow spring may be a harbinger of things to come. I'd like nothing better than to see Lucas break out big time and hit .280 with 25-30 HRsnd 80+ RBI.

Re: den Dekker. I agree that Vegas is the place for him to get his shit together. In part the problem is that the thin air of Vegas may distort his stats and we may be lulled into a false sense of security. Despite the opinion of others when we were asked about dD getting to Citi this year, I do think we could see him in Queens, possibly well before the September call-ups.