11/16/10

Cutnpaste - Paul DePodesta, Matt Harvey, Javier Vasquez, Fernando Martinez, and Mark Cohoon

Paul DePodesta:


Then I encountered another problem in baseball—information overkill. Between stats, scouting reports and ESPN, there's too much information and it's difficult to decipher what was important and what didn't matter. Naturally, our brains go searching for cause and effect relationships, but there was too much noise. The problem was that baseball people would draw conclusions from baseball stats that just didn't matter. It was difficult to distill what was important. We started making up relationships and people bought into them and the myth was perpetuated. - CSFB  



Matt Harvey:


11-16-10 from: - fangraphs  - I once saw Matt Harvey strike out six players at the East Coast Showcase in between his junior and senior seasons in high school. He was the hot name in the draft class that year, with a fastball reaching 96 mph, and this slow curveball that high school hitters couldn’t hit, and that he could spot. When bonus demands led to a drop in the draft the next year, Harvey opted to attend North Carolina, and ultimately, it was a good decision. He landed $2.5 million with the Mets, and also is a different arsenal. The curveball is gone, as Harvey learned a good slider at North Carolina that got better and better during his time there. His fastball velocity is about the same, but the projection that it came with is probably gone. What’s replaced is a feeling of security that he will eat innings at the big league level. Pitchers with the upside of a number two starter, and a floor of a back-end guy is a great combination.



Javier Vasquez:

2010 Stats: 10-10, 5.32 ERA, 1.40 WHIP - Prediction: Mets - The Mets pitching rotations are in dire need of help. They do not have a legitimate No. 2 and do not know what to expect from R.A. Dickey next season. Vazquez has pitched in New York before, so he can handle the media pressure. -  Bleacher Report  






mrzeising
 Fernando Martinez:



11-15-10 from: - Project Prospect  - His swing has some similarities to Raul Ibanez’s. But Martinez keeps his hands tucked into his body as he loads, which makes it tough for him to hit pitches on the inner half of the plate. Few 20-year-olds have had the kind of hot streak he had in Triple-A last May. He totaled 15 extra-base hits (7 HR) and only struck out 12.2% of the time over 98 plate appearances. Aside from that small sample of a hot streak, he hasn’t put up overwhelming numbers in the upper minors. His walk rate has been below-average at each of his minor league stops. Though he played some center field for the Mets in his MLB debut and has a good arm, Martinez doesn’t have the speed and instincts to be more than an emergency replacement at the position. His biggest question mark has been his ability to stay on the field. Martinez has yet to play more than 90 regular season games in one season. He was limited by a torn meniscus in his right knee most recently (July of 2009). He’s also endured lingering hamstring problems (2008) and a broken hamate bone (2007). It’s easy to become impatient with players who have trouble staying healthy. But Martinez isn’t someone to overlook. He could be one healthy season away from putting it all together. And if that happens, he has a chance to surface as an all-star caliber outfielder. Don’t sleep on him!

Mark Cohoon:



11-15-10 from: - link  - Cohoon is your classic crafty lefty. Not blessed with much velocity on the fb (he rarely tops 88mph), Cohoon is a master at mixing his pitches and hits his spots extremely well. He features a strong curve and change-up which he can throw for strikes on both sides of the plate and he's adept at cutting the fastball for more run. He's definitely a cerebral pitcher who gets rave reviews for his mound presence as well as his excellent pick-off move. But because of his very low velocity Cohoon will need to maximize every last tool in that bag to succeed as a starter in the majors so at this point it's difficult to peg him as anything more than a future #5.

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