2/2/19

Reese Kaplan -- An Early Look at Lineup Construction



Well, it’s February and although it’s still possible personnel moves will be made, more likely what you see is what you’re going to get barring injuries, scorching hot Spring performances or players who simply don’t adjust to whatever role they’re asked to play.  So put on your thinking cap and let’s speculate how best Mickey Callaway can deploy the resources he has available to him.


Projected Lineup

CF           Brandon Nimmo
3B           Jed Lowrie
2B           Robinson Cano
C             Wilson Ramos
LF            Michael Conforto
1B           Todd Frazier
RF           Jeff McNeil
SS           Amed Rosario


My Logic

Nimmo leading off is a no-brainer as he sports the highest OBP of anyone on the team.  Also, in a lefty-heavy lineup it’s good to lead off with a lefty if you’re going to construct a batting order designed to alternate between the lefties and the righties.

Although Lowrie typically hit 3rd in Oakland, he profiles more as a classic number 2 hitter in that he exhibits great bat control and makes the pitcher work. His OBP is second only to Nimmo. You could advocate for Amed Rosario in this spot, but I think a great many of us skeptics want to see him pick up where he left off the last 6 weeks of 2018 before we’re ready to anoint him mature enough for that slot.  Add in the fact that Lowrie is a switch hitter and it makes him even more valuable.

Robinson Cano typically hit in the 3rd spot in the batting order and there’s no reason to take the left slugger out of where he’s both comfortable and productive.  With Nimmo and Lowrie in front of him, he should get plenty of RBI opportunities.

The next one might come as something of a surprise.  Wilson Ramos is a very good hitter but probably not the high power r run production you think about for a prototypical cleanup hitter.  While he has hit as many as 22 HRs and driven in as many as 80, he did so from other positions in the order.  That being said, he has served the cleanup role at times for both the Nationals and the Rays, so it’s not entirely new.  Sandwiched between a couple of formidable lefty hitters like Cano and Michael Conforto who follows, he may be in for the season of his career.

Michael Conforto is indeed a run producer with excellent power.  What people want to see is first and foremost health, followed by an uptick in his batting average.  He protects Ramos from righties who may not want to face Conforto and some pressure is taken off of him as he’s faced almost since his arrival to be “The Man” to produce runs.

Todd Frazier (at least until Pete Alonso arrives) provides the right-handed balance should a southpaw want to pitch around Conforto.  Assuming you get more of the .213 hitter with decent power that we’ve seen for the past few years, he doesn’t deserve to hit any higher in the lineup. 

Jeff McNeil may hail from California but he might want to check his birth certificate to ensure he’s not really from Missouri since everyone this side of Tom Brennan want him to “show me” he can do it again.  Since there is some uncertainty regarding his offensive sustainability and the fact that his power that was on display in the minors in 2018 didn’t translate once he arrived to The Show, 7th is about as high as I can justify (for now). 

Finally, Amed Rosario in his customary 8-hole helps provide in effect a second leadoff hitter type with great speed who could theoretically turn an on-base opportunity into man-on-third with one out between a stolen base and a sacrifice from the pitcher. 

Bear in mind that the lineup is organic and does not yet account for the CitiField effect on various hitters’ numbers.  My objective was to go lefty/righty as much as possible.  What’s your take?


15 comments:

Tom Brennan said...

I like the line up.

At least until Alonso arrives and Frazier pulls an Adrian Gonzalez.

My guy Jeff McNeil? Sandy Alderson called him a "revelation." He will continue to be one.

bill metsiac said...

I don't expect to see this or any other set lineup. With the much-improved roster and players like Ramos needing days off, we'll see a lot of Travis, Lag and others in action.

That said, I like this lineup, though I'd be tempted at times to bat Rosario #9 to add a "second leadoff hitter".

Viper said...

I like it. Frazier will start out hot as he normally does and then prove to be a bench player once again with his non-production.

Tom Brennan said...

Viper, are u implying that The Todd Father will just stay hot until the April 15 tax filing deadline? We need guys who file for an extension and stay hot until Oct 15 or so.

Unknown said...

Frazier is going to keep the position warm for Alonso for a month or so.

Zozo said...

I like it

Met Monkey said...

Yup.

Fred Smith said...

And for the optimistic line-up mid-season:

CF Brandon Nimmo
3B Jed Lowrie
2B Robinson Cano
LF Yoenis Cespedes
RF Michael Conforto
C Wilson Ramos
1B Peter Alonso
SS Amed Rosario

A nice long line-up.

Tom Brennan said...

Fred Smith, nice...and hopeful in that scenario that McNeil is a frequent Super Sub.

Meaning there would be no offensive let down when Gus take a game off

Reese Kaplan said...

If/when Cespedes returns you will know if you could move Rosario up and thus split up the right handed hitters.

Fred Smith said...

Absolutely...although I like Alonso in the 7th hole irregardless of the double right handed batters...I like the power and RBI opportunities....and I would prefer a scenario of Rosario being a double lead-off man with his speed.

A strong bench also...McNeil, Frazier, TDA, Lagares, Broxton....good defense with a little bit of pop and speed...and JD Davis, TJ Rivera and Mr. Smith waiting in Syracuse....depth and quality we have not seen for some time. Maybe this Brodie fellow has constructed a nice line-up with depth options.

Tom Brennan said...

Fred Smith is onto something - this team ought to hit better than 2018's. And pitch, with a more stabilized, talented rotation and a substantially upgraded pen - much happier now than a season ago at this time

Ten days to P&C

Tom Brennan said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
TexasGusCC said...

Tom, I never take a game off, nor do I give away at bats.

I’d flip Rosario and Frazier.

Robb said...

I think you put your speed at the top (Rosario development is what can take this from a good to a great potential lineup). If everyone is healthy so mid year. Strangely I might put Alonso 5th between conforto and cano. I also think Nimmo and Lowrie become inter-changable. Lowrie is a professional hitter. so he bats wherever.

SS Amed Rosario
CF Brandon Nimmo
LF Yoenis Cespedes
RF Michael Conforto
2B Robinson Cano
C Wilson Ramos
1B Peter Alonso
3B Jed Lowrie