9/23/20

Tom Brennan - PETE ALONSO: METS' LEAST VALUABLE PLAYER


Once the brilliant (and very productive) Jake deGrom got snuffed again despite a brilliant 14 Ks in 7 innings, bringing his 2018-20 W-L record to an absurdly undeserving 26-20, the 2020 Mets season was OVER.  

Mathematically, as of Tuesday morning as I write this, maybe not yet.

But who are we kidding?

Baseball, like the rest of life these days, has lots of awards.

Most Valuable This, Cy That, Golden The Other Thing...

We love awards.  We love positive stuff.

But sometimes, we go too easy on the failures.  

So I say let's start a new tradition:

We should have a Mets Least Valuable Player each year.  

Yes, in Scarlet Red Letters, said Hester Prynne.

We can be generous and single out two such awardees:

Steve Matz gets one.  He is a puzzle wrapped in an enigma.  Since starting his career winning 11 of 12, the rest of his career (20-40) can be largely summed up in two words:  

BEWILDERING FAILURE.  

Awful this year, 0-5, 9.79, -0.9 WAR, he gets it for pitchers: 

The (not) coveted pitchers' LVP.  

No trophies.  Nothing to show off on a shelf at home.


Pete Alonso gets it for the hitters, Wednesday’s out-of-a-coma night notwithstanding, and really gets the award for the whole team.

The man who got, and deservedly got, endless accolades in 2019, is IMO the Mets' Least Valuable Player of 2020.

Let me break it down for you.

Some may say that his total homers and RBIs aren't that terrible this year, even though well off 2019's pace.

But let's go deeper.

Break it down by 3 categories: hitless games, 1 hit games, multiple hit games.

HITLESS GAMES: 

An astonishing 26 of his 52 games have been hitless!  In those games, he is 0 for 88 with 9 walks and 2 RBIs.  TWO!!  Not only hitless - completely unproductive.

ONE HIT GAMES:

Moving on to 1 hit games. 18 of those, in which he had 6 homers.  In those 6 games, he had 11 RBIs.  In the other 12, he had 4 RBIs.

MULTIPLE HIT GAMES:

In just 8 of his 52 games, Pete has had multiple hits.

When it rains it pours, as in those 8 games he went 22 for 32!

So in 44 games in which he had zero hits or one hit, comprising 87% of his season, he has hit a subterranean .116, and in 38 of those games, comprising 75% of his games, he had compiled just 4 RBIs.

I did not try to figure out how many games in which he went hitless they lost, such as the one run loss last night.  I imagine that number is not pretty.

Fielding has regressed, too, when he does play 1B.

We've heard about institutions that are too big to fail.  In the early 1990s, Chase and Citibank were floundering, but everyone knew they were too big to fail.  Well, in a similar vein, some players are too big to fail.  

One Mets player in 2020 has a WAR of 0.7 in limited play this year, and another player? -0.7.  Positive WAR is good, negative WAR is bad.

The one with the positive 0.7, Luis Guillorme, was sent down because  he is not deemed too big to fail.  Pete, the guy with the -0.7 WAR, before Wednesday’s game, is too big to fail, so he stays.

Pete's biggest problem? I'm spitballin' here, and figured it was this:

No ABs against Steve Matz, is how I see it.  The cure all.

So, enough snarkiness.  Let me move towards a conclusion:

I submit to you, ladies and gentlemen:

The Mets Least Valuable Player so far for 2020, Pete Alonso.

I submit it, though, with one fervent hope: 

He gets his @%&# together over the last few games, starting with his Wednesday nite thaw, then gets back to being Pete this off season and becomes the 2021 Mets MVP, again, like he was in 2019.

Or he can perhaps change his adage to LFGTB, or LFGSF, or something else befitting of another locale.


  




16 comments:

Mack Ade said...

Yes, Pete has had a miserable year compared to 2019, but he is still hitting home runs at a 40+ pace.

Can we live with a 40+ home run hitter as a DH that hits .200?

Your call.

John From Albany said...

Does that mean Cano stays at 2nd Base? If so, no. I want defense at least up the middle. That means 2B-SS combination of Guillorme, Gimenez and Wilmer Reyes (only righty in group) going forward.

Tom Brennan said...

Mack, depends on the market for Pete. Has to be weaker, but if some team blew me away with pitching...

He can't be so unproductive in 75% of his games. That is the beauty of a Nimmo or McNeil - hardly a game goes by when they are not on at least once or twice. Oh-fers cause offenses to sputter.

I would like to see Pete realize this off season how incredibly strong he is and just mash the ball next year to all fields, as he did with his HR last night. Then he could be their 2021 MVP.

Tom Brennan said...

John, a case could be made for a more defense and speed oriented offense. We'll see what a new owner has in mind.

Too bad there can't be 2 DHs a game! Cano would have one of those. He has hit like a champ this year.

Mack Ade said...

John

No one will move Cano off of second base in 2021.

He has earned it this year.

Mack Ade said...

Tom -

Don't look any team to try and help the Mets re: pitching.

No one is going to help make Cohen a winner in this town.

Tom Brennan said...

Mack, hopefully, Syndergaard will be back by opening day or very close to it. This would be a great time for Matt Allan to grow up fast and be able to pitch out of the pen. Maybe they break the bank for turncoat Stroman, too. That would still leave them short in pitching.

The White Sox first rounder this year already pitched for the White Sox in relief in the last week, so I understand putting Allan in that spot is premature, but maybe he'd be ready to relieve. Apparently, he has been facing higher minors guys in Brooklyn this summer. Maybe his progress is accelerated. The White Sox guy, though, throws harder than Diaz.

2021 is already looking challenging.

Mack Ade said...

My guess... nothing more.

Syndergaard will surprise us and show up when pitchers and catchers report in February.

Matt Allen will open up for AA-Cyclones

The Mets WILL offer Stroman another one year deal.

The Cohen-led Mets will make a run at Trevor Bauer.

Seth Lugo will be a starter in 2021.

Rds 900. said...

My pick for least valuable Met is JD followed closely by Ramos. Wonder if not having Chili around in person had a negative impact on our RH hitting. All under performed this year.

Mack Ade said...

Chili was a big loss this year for the bats.

Eddie from Corona said...

Love when mack comments, he brings the wisdom
The insight...

Tom Brennan said...

In this disastrous season, too many Mets players have been woofers and sub-woofers. Simple as that.

Anonymous said...

Upon Sheer Observations

For some reason I never really understood Marcus Stroman being brought here.

The Met were always a fastball/strikeout first oriented ball club, and going way back too. Marcus was not exactly that. Something about him never seemed to ring true either. Almost like pretension or something hard to define.

It is all about the pitching here for 2021. It's so true. And then not giving away the best hitters we will need in 2021 to win it.

Starting pitching needs one more top-shelf starter, preferably a lefty one. And relief pitching needs more defined roles, and maybe two new arms there as well. I like Castro, Diaz, and maybe Gsellman with the re-attached arm.

The bullpen openings could possibly be filled in-house, through what is here now and then too possibly MiLB Mets pitching. Whereas the one more really good lefty-starter will probably have to come from outside this organization. Blake Snell would be so perfect for this. Imagine having: 1. deGrom 2. Snell 3. Syndergaard (when healthy) 4. Lugo-nator 5. Peterson This would be so perfect a thing! It would be a festivus for the rest of us. A virtual ticker tape parade, I tell ya'.

There isn't much there from the upcoming FA roster for this new lefty starter. Righty Trevor Bauer (to me) may not be worth the kind of money that his current contract dictates.

Unlike most here, I never see anything as "disastrous", just good or bad will do. This was not a "disastrous season" and no players were disastrous. To me, it was a pandemic from Wuhan shortened season and little else.

We learned about key players who did well and some who maybe under-performed our expectations of them. But to say that it was all a horrible waste of time or a disaster, I disagree. It was a shortened season of learning enroute to 2021, when these same NY Mets win it all and Howie Rose puts that in the books.

Anonymous said...

Nimmo Bashing

Man, you guys are rough!

Nimmo is more than fine in left and right field. He plays center because his manager and team ask him to. He says nothing. Just goes out and plays his best wherever he is told to. That's his job and he does it.

I have solved the top bashers cries with Nimmo in center, which he has played better at of recent. I for one am not surprised by that.

Again, the outfield configuration I think that works out optimally: LF Brandon Nimmo, CF Jake Marisnick RF Michael Conforto.

Why?

LF Brandon Nimmo will get you a .280+ BA and enough HR's, doubles, and RBI's to aptly hold his LF appointment.

CF Jake Marisnick was batting like .333 when he got hurt. Sure, it wasn't a huge amount of at bats he had collected, but still it did show me something about him. To me Jake is worth another shot in 2021.

RF Michael Conforto is turning into Mr. Clutch/Rocky Balboa Jr. He makes for a nice three outfielders.

Then you have Dom Smith and Jeff McNeil who can play some outfield when needed to as well. It all works.

Anonymous said...

John of Albany

Wilmer Reyes?

Last I looked, he was not a great hitter, too young, and a bit too scrawny still. But who am I. He is obviously some sort of compilation of both Wilmer Flores and Jose Reyes, and that's why you suggested him.

How about this then: 2b McNeil/Cano SS Rosario/Gimenez/Guillorme/Reyes

Is that better?

Anonymous said...

With Fan Opinions.

Remember the season when Derek Jeter did not do so well batting wise, for being Derek Jeter, and the fans were all over him to retire?

Then, he came back the next season and was the starting shortstop at the All Star Game for the AL, and those very same idiot fans had to eat some crow?

Pete Alonso. Next season. Be there.