Coming Up Later Today –
10 am – Christopher Soto -
MM's Top 25- #13 RHSP Michael Fulmer
12 noon – D Whit - A Brief
Look at the post-Met careers of Don Rose, Frank Estrada and Leroy Stanton
2 pm – FANGRAPHS
- Atlanta Braves Top 10 Prospects
5 pm – Top 14 in
’14: Washington Nationals
8 pm – Michael Kopech, Kyle
Freeland, Justin Smith, Benito Santiago
11 pm - A Quick Look - RHP - Keaton
McKinney - Ankeny (IA) HS
Marc Carig @MarcCarig - Ike is making $3.125m. If Mets move that
salary, it’s no small amount. Might impact whether they swoop one last piece,
perhaps Drew.
Sully-Chat –
Comment From Joe - For whatever it’s worth on Nelson Cruz (translation: Mets continue conversations
with Cruz): ?@MarlyRiveraESPN - Los Mets continúan en conversaciones con Nelson
Cruz, pero no han dado ningún fruto todavía
Jeff Sullivan: Plenty of teams are going to continue checking in, just to
see how far the price falls. And the price will fall lower as long as a bunch
of teams keep checking in. Don’t know why the Mets would be interested
Mack – This is just not going to
happen. The Mets have already spent over $67.25mil on their 2014 outfield,
which translates into $20.25mil of the 2014 team figure. You will not see this
team add $10-14mil more at this point to this outfield. No way. Nada. No mas.
Comment From Guest - Has there ever been any research done
into what makes teams under/over perform their collective WAR? Sort of a study
into if there’s any statistical correlation between certain team makeups and
success/failure. For example how much defense does a team need in the outfield?
Infield? How much does that change based on the type of SP? Is there an ideal
range of power a team should have or do they get as much value from a team
that’s SB heavy? Some stat to try to quantify the synergy of a team. I’m
thinking it’d be great to have even a loose framework to judge an acquisition
on aside from the individual player’s stats. Some sort of marriage between
saber stats and old school team building technique.
Jeff Sullivan: This kind of stuff will become more possible
as we get more and more years of projected team WAR data. But what you’re
always going to run into are sample-size concerns since a 162-game season isn’t
actually that long and things can end up upset by injuries or trades or
whatnot. The hypothesis always has to be, in individual cases, that a team
under/overperformed because of sample size, or just an erroneous projection
Mack – War… good God… what
is it good for?… absolutely nuthin’
The Miami Marlins are
softening their stance on stubble. For the first time since Jeffrey Loria took over as owner in 2002, Marlins
players will be permitted to grow and wear beards, but only as long as they’re
neat. “This year we’re going to let them have beards, but they have to keep
them trimmed up, and the hair, too,” said manager Mike
Redmond. “We just don’t want it to look sloppy.” http://www.miamiherald.com/2014/02/19/3944487/miami-marlins-drop-ban-on-facial.html#storylink=cpy
Dave Hudgens on Travis d’Arnaud –
“I think cutting down his swing just means not trying so hard.
I think when he came up last year he was trying, maybe not in his mind, but it
looked like he was trying to hit every ball out of the ballpark and over
swinging a little bit and probably just trying to do too much. Watching him
this year, so far early in camp, his swing has been easy. He’s been staying in
the middle of the field. And that will lend to less effort and less bat wrap.”
Mack – I want to take this one more
step. We’ve talked recently about the dead money that was on this team last
year and the ‘real’ 2013 version of this team had around a $44mil ‘on the
field’ payroll (minus guys like Santana, Bay, and Francisco who never played a
single game).
Not only has the Mets improved because this
year’s team is already in the $85-90mil range (depending who you believe and
how much they have spent on aging relievers today), but you have to belive that
you are going to get a better return from players like d’Arnaud, Lucas Duda, Ike Davis,
Ruben Tejada, and even EYJ and Juan Lagares. You add to that a better return from Eric Young or Curtis Granderson than Mike Baxter punched out and you see
what I mean. There will be more runs on this team.
Sinful Caesar
said -
Mack, I like what you said about Gavin. It's really tough to
write the verdict on him so early. As for his placement, I don't see Rosario
passing him just yet so I would be a bit aggressive with him and put him in St.
Lucie while letting Rosario get the reps in Savannah. I actually do very much
like McNeil a lot and he's quite a bit older as well. Is Binghamton too
aggressive for him?
You figure Muno will be in Vegas, so you go:
Savannah- Rosario
St. Lucie- Cecchini
Binghamton- McNeil
Vegas- Muno - Is that good you think? Am I missing anyone?
Mack – Well, you do have the main players; however, there are four
other shortstops wearing Mets uniforms that qualify for a full season team.
They are:
Wilfredo Tovar – I’m going to go under the
assumption that Josh Satin and Anthony Seratelli will be the two UT’s in the Queens
infield. That being said, what do we do with the slick fielding Tovar (who also
hit .263 for the B-Mets last year and finished the season in Queens)? My guess
is Muno will play second base at Vegas with Tovar on short and Rylan Sandoval filling in at the UT slot.
Matt Reynolds – Reynolds had a decent 2012 in
Savannah (.259) after hitting .323 earlier that year at Arkansas. He moved fast
to St. Lucie (433-AB, .226) last year and actually had three at-bats in
Binghamton. He will play 2014 as a 23-year old and my guess he will get first
shot at Binghamton over McNeil. I have no idea where this leaves McNeil or is
it fair to him. Fair ain’t baseball in 2014.
Phillip Evans – Talk about a guy that has nowhere
to go, Evans came as a highly touted raw tool high school senior, who played
well for Brooklyn in 2012 (.252) but soiled himself last season in Savannah
(.203). Rosario’s arrival has changed everything for Evans. I don’t see him
surviving this camp.
Dimas Ponce – Ponce played shortstop in Savannah on the
days that Evans didn’t last year (101-AB) and actually hit less than he did
(.198). Someone has to be the UT infielder in St. Lucie so my guess one of them
will be Ponce.
Pirates/1B –
Are
the Pirates done shopping? Maybe not. We know they were willing to offer A.J.
Burnett $12 million, so they clearly still have money to spend. We also know
they never could find a left-handed-hitting platoon partner for Gaby Sanchez at first base this winter. But clubs that
have spoken with them believe they’d still like to acquire one. http://espn.go.com/blog/spring-training/post/_/id/1324/pirates-first-base-platoon-options
Mack - There
are reports out there that not only are the Pirates still interested in Davis,
but so are the Baltimore Orioles. Hang on tight folks… this is probably not
over yet.
4 comments:
When you list SS prospects, you forget Mr. Kaupe who has had 2 extra base hits in two short seasons, in total, which must be some sort of record.
Instead of letting Phil Evans go, maybe he plays back up in Savannah until Brooklyn starts up - very unusual for a guy to go in reverse, but maybe he blossoms this year, and whether or not there is ultimately room on the Mets for him, he could be developed as a trade chip - still very young. It is a tough log jam for sure.
I agree this team will score more, as i agree that guys will just do better in a lot of spots than last year...but the mid $40's real team payroll in 2013 was saved not by the bell but by the Byrd. If he does not do what he did last year, the offense collapses in utter futility and they lose 8-10 more games in 2013.
I'd love to see the Fulmer update this AM talk about what he is throwing like so far this spring.
Cheers to Edwin Starr....say it again.
Tommy -
We talked about SS that have the potential of playing for one of the four full season teams.
Kaupe doesn't yet.
At this point, I'm cool with however things fall regarding shortstops throughout the organization. Outside of maybe Gavin C and Rosario, nobody else is shining, and/or has met expectations since drafted......
Like other comments/posts in the past, I'm more worried about who loses this game current game of musical chairs in regards to all the Mets pitching prospects. With all the ones who've come and gone through failed expectations in the past, it would suck to start seeing some of excess guys start getting moved, and shine somewhere else.
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