12/19/20

Reese Kaplan -- There's Been Progress, But Not Yet Enough

As the final full week of business negotiations comes to a close before the Christmas holiday week, it’s time to consider where the club is, where they have gone and where they must go. 



It’s interesting that their first significant addition to the roster was little-known reliever Trevor May who flourished in Minnesota while working under the tutelage of Jeremy Hefner.  During their 2019 campaign together May was able to get his ERA down to 2.94 and his WHIP to an acceptable roughly one base runner per inning pitched.  The strikeouts were down a little and the walks were up a little.  


After Hefner left in 2020, May continued pitching for the Twins.  The good news is that his strikeout numbers spiked to 14.7 per 9 IP and his walks dipped to 2.7.  Those developments are certainly most welcome.  Unfortunately his ERA also spiked up to 3.86.  The hope is that he will get the WHIP number down again to match what he’d done in the previous two years yet keep the control where it was during the 60-game season.  


The need for May is perhaps the unclear role Seth Lugo will have in 2021.  If he’s in the rotation, then they need the setup innings in the 7th or 8th before giving way to closer Edwin Diaz.  If Lugo returns to the pen, then the bullpen all of the sudden looks markedly better with he, May and Diaz there.  What will be gotten out of Jeurys Familia is still anyone’s guess.




The next major acquisition was fraught with controversy because a great many people felt that the arrival of Steve Cohen meant the Mets would act to get whomever was considered the best of the available free agent pool.  In terms of catcher, that person would be J.T. Realmuto.  There’s no arguing with his success over his career with the Marlins and Phillies, but as number one in the available catcher pool of resources, he would command major money.  


The campaigning to bring James McCann in rather than Realmuto was met with a mixture of happiness and consternation.  McCann has had a solid two years in a row both offensively and defensively.  In fact, examining the metrics provided by both catchers suggests that aside from home runs they are fairly parallel.  The big difference is that there is a whole lot less mileage on McCann’s body as he was a backup for most of his career and he has not missed time on multiple occasions with injuries.  Hopefully the 2019 and 2020 stats are repeatable and the $10 million or so per season is invested in other needs.


The other acquisitions the Mets have made are not what you’d consider major enhancements.  When the headline reads they gave a major league contract to pitcher Sam McWIlliams who had an 8.19 ERA last season, people were not overly excited.  


Right now folks are waiting for other issues to be addressed.  I won’t reiterate the whole slew of starting pitchers available via free agency, but the fact is that the Mets are in need of at least two of them.  




In addition, the club had the league’s worst defensive metrics in centerfield when leadoff hitter Brandon Nimmo played there.  Consequently everyone is chomping at the bit for news that they are close to signing George Springer.  Plan B would likely be Jackie Bradley, Jr.  While defensively Bradley, Jr. is probably better, there’s quite a drop-off in terms of batting ability.


The other issue is who is going to play third base.  Right now it’s a toss up between J.D. Davis and Amed Rosario if they proceed with the discussed assignment of Andres Gimenez to be the starting shortstop.  Neither are defensive whizzes, so discussions about Nolan Arenado and Kris Bryant are starting to run in the media.  


I don’t anticipate any of these moves will be made until the week after the holidays, but folks are feeling a bit uneasy with all of the uncertainty.  Still, even if the Mets do not land their first picks it would still be good to see them attempt to do so.  That type of negotiation is not something Mets fans are accustomed to experiencing.  Not all good things happen at once, but if they’re at least trying then I’m willing to exhibit some patience. 


4 comments:

Tom Brennan said...

This is a maddening time of year. We want the entire roster built yesterday, but we will have to wait. I hope the end result is nothing less than a team projected to win 95-100 games.

Richard Hausig said...

"That type of negotiation is not something Mets fans are accustomed to experiencing. Not all good things happen at once, but if they’re at least trying then I’m willing to exhibit some patience"

Truer words have never been spoken. Im very surprised at our negative fans. If you cant see whats going on here then you dont know what you're talking about.

Ive watched this team for 50 years and this is different. I guarantee you that they know what they are doing and will get to camp stocked with the players we need to win. Springer will be a Met, and im fascinated to see who else they will bring in around him. Ya gotta believe.

Tom Brennan said...

Richard, that is my sense also. We for the first time ever are in the off season driver’s seat.

Anonymous said...

Reese:

>> I'm willing to exhibit some patience. <<

I don't understand this at all.

Is there an option?

I mean, this is the offseason. It's like this every year. It takes time.

Be patient, don't be patient, it doesn't matter.

But it would be awfully dump to start whining now before it's fully even gotten underway.

Jimmy