2/27/23

Paul Articulates – When do we have enough?


This weekend brought news that Manny Machado signed a $350M deal with the San Diego Padres that would cover the next 11 years of his career.  Last week while he was still “available”, there was a great deal of discussion amongst baseball followers and particularly Mets fans as to whether the Mets would try to sign him.  This was something that would never even be discussed during the Wilpon era when the money was very scarce for acquiring big stars.  

Now, we seem to have been so spoiled by Steve Cohen’s spending on the team, that fans want EVERY superstar free agent out there.  

Well, not all Mets fans…I’m in the other camp.  I didn’t want Machado.  Let me explain.

I believe that any well-balanced, sustainable winning team needs to have some big stars that bring in the fans and drive other revenue streams from merchandise, media deals, and advertisements.  But those teams also need to have some role players, some up-and-coming prospects, and some cagy old veterans that rule the clubhouse.  Without that mix, there is not enough spotlight to go around even if you can afford the players.  

Eventually the morale dries up because someone has to bat 8th and someone has to be pinch-hit for when the game is on the line and the matchup is more favorable for a bench player.  Your $350M stars would not accept that.  Role players say, “I get that – I don’t hit lefties well”.  Prospects say, “Let me learn from this”.  You can’t build a team with 9 silver slugger shortstops.

The Mets have some superstars on their team right now.  They have some role players.  They have some prospects.  Yes, they have a few areas of weakness like outfield depth, DH, and 3rd base.  But if the Mets paid $351M to lure Machado away from the Padres, they would never be able to evaluate whether Eduardo Escobar was in career decline or just had a bad season.  They would never be able to see if Brett Baty could hold his own on a MLB roster.  They would have too many utility infielders with nowhere to play them unless Buck sat the stars.  

This would make the team very reliant on a small set of high power high paid starters, who over the course of a 162-game season might not hold up.  Then what – take an atrophied player off the end of the bench and see if they still have the eye?  Would fans welcome those players trying to fill the shoes of the big guys?  No – the downward spiral would begin.

There is something exciting about a young prospect stepping in on a big-league roster and achieving.  Remember when Reyes or David Wright came up? They were talented prospects that won a spot on the roster where there was a need.   Right now the Mets have a great lineup and solid defense, so when the latest group of young guys get their shot there will be very little pressure for them to perform.

Now this article does not intend to state that Paul is against signing any more big names.  If Shohei Ohtani wants to live in New York City, it would make me very happy.  He is extremely versatile, and the Mets could use him in many ways and still have room to give the prospects a look.  

How about you?  Do you think we have enough?


11 comments:

Mack Ade said...

the Mets did well this off season

our main goal was to replace the 4 rotation slots and the Mets actually improved on their 2022 rotation

the weakness at OF, DH, and 3B are perfect target spots for slotting in the prospects by the end of this season

will also bring the team below the tax penalty next year

Rds900 said...

I disagree. I see 3B and DH as areas of strength. I like having a choice between a vet such as Escobar vs a highly touted prospect like Baty. I also think Vientos would be a great DH.

Tom Brennan said...

Mets are in a great place without Correa and Machado. Frankly, I find nothing worse than being stuck with an aging former star (think Cano).

Mack Ade said...

This sounds.like we are agreeing Ray

bill metsiac said...

Bad example, Tom. We'll never fully know the impact of the chemicals, but in Cano's years in Seattle (ages 31-35) his worst BA was .280. And in 2020, at 37, he led the Mets in several categories.

I wonder what effect Machado's deal will have on the Padres' ability to extend Soto. Could he become a target for Uncle Steve?

D J said...

Paul,
I agree, we need to incorporate our prospects in these critical areas.These long contracts for guys who are stars today can handicap the teams down the road in 8-10 years.
If we want to pursue a veteran outfielder, Soto would be a good choice.

Gary Seagren said...

Well we learned a couple of things y/day Maurcio has serious power and he's bigger than I thought and Pham is not a Centerfielder. I agree about CC and MM lets let the kids play. By the way Tom that Mangum kid can play CF.

Tom Brennan said...

Gary, I am puzzled how Mangum cannot he in their top 50 or top 30. I extremely doubt there are 30 guys better in their system than Mangum.

Tom Brennan said...

Bill, Cano might be a bad example, but so many guys who were stars at 29-30 are either a shadow of their former selves at 35 or older, or out of baseball altogether.

Happy Jose Reyes' last game was at 35 yrs, 111 days, a year in which he hit .189. Seven years earlier, he hit .337 and at the time, I wondered if he might become a perennial .300 hitter.

Anonymous said...

Geesh,big news guys over 30 with huge long contracts often kkill teams,Stanton,Donaldson,Yelich,Ozun!,Rendon,Strasberg,Hayward,…..

Tom Brennan said...

Bigger news…guys over 40. Boggles the mind. LOL.