2/19/24

Reese Kaplan -- Maybe it is Always Darkest Before the Dawn


I'm going to take a deep breath and try real hard to remember that the 2024 season is one of transition and future preparation for contention, not for a more-or-less guarantee of October baseball.  Maybe I need to supplement that with some chamomile tea or something stronger.  I'll tell ya, there are times the frustration threatens to burn right through critical blood vessels.


Let's take this past week and weekend as an example.  For folks who are upset that the Mets have not inked Justin Turner or still available J.D. Martinez, David Stearns demonstrated his acumen by securing the services of now 33 year old Ji-man Choi.  This Korean-born Daniel Vogelbach replacement is, believe it or not, virtually identical to the man who the Mets unceremoniously (and far too late) kicked to the curb.  Don't believe me?  Which of these career metrics would you prefer:

Player A has been up 1567 times with 67 HRs, 238 RBIs and 6 stolen bases while hitting .234.

Player B has been up 1580 times with 80 HRs, 238 RBIs and 0 stolen bases while hitting .220.  


I'd like to say one of these things is not like the other but Player A from Korea is pretty much a carbon copy of the buffet table cleaner Vogelbach.

Oh, but it gets worse.  We can somewhat understand the Choi acquisition since he and David Stearns have shared some company in Milwaukee, but Saturday's headlines about the split contract being offered to Luke Voit makes even less sense.  By default Voit becomes Player C.  Let's have a look:

Player C has been up 1680 times with 95 HRs, 276 RBIs and 3 stolen bases while hitting (by comparison) a Tony Gwynn-ultra light .253.  Voit has stumbled and failed with five major league teams and additional minor league ones (including these very same New York Mets in 2023 after being dumped elsewhere).  Even he wasn't deemed a substantial enough improvement over Daniel Vogelbach to make the majors.  

Breathe in, breathe out...

It would be a far different kettle of fish if the Mets were taking chances on current or recently previous All Star level players, but we're fretting over the last few millions to spend on guys that have not established themselves as regulars, let alone mid season classic participants.  


Now if these strange roster additions were all that caused you to draw blood scratching your head in frustration, reference back the recent piece of the many well-below-average relief pitchers the Mets have brought on board to fortify their less than spectacular pen.  Give kudos for the return of uber-closer Edwin Diaz, the return of highly effective Brooks Raley, the signing of familiar face Adam Ottavino and new arrival of Jake Diekman.  Those final four of what should be an 8 man pen are certainly of good quality.  After that comes the guys with the most recent ERAs north of 5.00 (and in one spectacularly bad case, 7.16, yet given a free agent contract).  

Then there are the offensive additions to the roster that are appropriately enough, pretty offensive.  Harrison Bader?  Zack Short?  We'll give a pass on Tyrone Taylor as a low priced good glove with at least average hitting skills.  We'll also expect Joey Wendle to be a better hitting version of Luis Guillorme.  And we all will hope and pray (if that is how you try to ensure good things to occur) that Starling Marte is a lot more 2022 than 2023.  Again, however, it would appear that there is an awful lot of wildcards and less-than-star players they are giving an awful lot of opportunities much like the final four members of the bullpen.  


I hope I'm wrong.  I hope that David Stearns sees potential and productivity when the stat sheets don't show it.  I hope that the club can at least reach the .500 level this year with what they have.  Then again, I hoped they'd be a front runner for October baseball last year.  What did I know then?  All I can do is look at player history and see whether or not an average year from each individual represents an improvement.  In many, many cases, it just doesn't seem so.

8 comments:

Mack Ade said...

Morning all and evening Reese

You are not wrong.here. You perfectly explained the liverwurst that will be served this season

Boil the water and enjoy the tea.

Paul Articulates said...

I was in on the deal that we would not sign guys like Martinez so the young guys could get lots of playing time and at-bats. Bringing in these fossils from the museum does not help that cause.

Anonymous said...

LVoit,that’s the ticket! God ne’er 5he radar signing. Insurance. For Vientos who is far from a sure thing.

Tom Brennan said...

Choi is my boy. He has infinitely more steals than Vogelbach. Six versus zero clear upgrade.

Choi may spend most of his time in the minors on a split pay deal, whereas we owed Vogelback Full major league pay for 2023.

Both should have marginal impact on their new respective teams, but choy has hit well versus righties so perhaps he will contribute in some small way.

Voit? As you indicate, similar.

I do think that Nemo, Bader, Marte, TAYLOR, and McNeil will keep these guys away. If Alonzo were traded at midseason.

Choi, and Vientos might be a workable combo at first base, but they won’t be Pete .

bill metsiac said...

Let's not jump too far ahead in our roster-defining. Choi and Voit are guaranteed nothing, and as of now they are merely "insurance" for the bottom of the bench in case of failure or serious injuries.

Unless the makeup of the team changes from last year, we'll have 13 pitchers, 9 position players, and a 4-man bench.

Wendle, Taylor and Narvaez are locked in, and the 4th is likely to be a #5 OFer. Right now, Stewart is the #5. If everyone stays healthy, the 26-man is full.

Voit and Choi, if they show anything in ST, are competing with each other for a spot in 'Cuse.

Woodrow said...

Think about it,a 75 win season and no competition for jobs among the position players! Doesn’t sound good to me.

bill metsiac said...

Baty and Vientos are, in a sense, competing against themselves. Either they show that they're worth keeping, or they become trade bait when the new "babies" emerge next year or new FAs are added.

The other position players are set. By July we'll know whether to be buyers or sellers, but blocking the kids now serves no purpose beyond this year.

Lou said...

Still think Vientos might surprise if he gets a chance,how bout 230/20/60? Improvement over last year.