Pitch Profiler @pitchprofiler
That's
ALL-STAR David Peterson to you
2025 Saves
Leaderboard
WAR Leaders -
Left Fielder
WAR Leaders -
Right Fielder
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6467560/2025/07/02/mlb-trade-deadline-predictions-alcantara-naylor/
Emmanuel Clase, RHRP, Guardians
Clase’s name
kept coming up in the survey, which surprised me as he’s considered one of the
top closers in the game. He’s also under team control through the 2028 season.
Clase, 27, has a 3.28 ERA over 37 appearances and 18 saves this year.
The
Guardians, who rank 26th in runs, need more offense. Perhaps they’d be willing
to make a buyer-to-buyer type of trade to give up a lockdown leverage reliever
for a middle-of-the-order impact bat to address this weakness.
Jim
Koenigsberger @Jimfrombaseball
11-year-old Robert Cotter caught a foul ball one day at a
Philadelphia Phillies game and, like any fan, refused to give it back – even
when team officials demanded. The consequences were severe. The team had the
boy arrested, not only for keeping the property, but also after accusing him of
sneaking in to the game without paying for his ticket.
Cotter was
forced to spend an entire night in jail until being freed the next day when a
sympathetic judge found that it was “entirely reasonable” that a kid could keep
a foul ball at a baseball game. And besides, the judge noted, he made a really
good catch.
“I never
heard of Connie Mack or Philadelphia Athletics President Tom Shibe throwing
small boys into prison because they took a ball that was batted into the
bleachers. They were boys. I don’t know whether you or Shetzline were ever
boys, for if you were you would know how they cherish the ball they get, and
you would permit them to have the ball instead of throwing them into a cell
overnight. Why, I would have done the same thing myself if I had been in this
boy’s place.
I wouldn’t
brand this boy a thief just to help Mr. Shetzline save a $1.50 ball. If Mr.
Shetzline wanted his test case, there is the decision" Judge Charles L.
Brown
The Yankees
sent Robert Cotter a ball signed by Bob Shawkey with a letter lauding Cotter
for his “battle against injustice.”
Baseball then
enacted the "Reubens Rule" when Reuben Berman, a New York Giants fan
who, on May 16, 1921, refused to give back a foul ball and was thereby removed
from the Polo Grounds. Berman sued the
Giants for mental and physical distress and won the court case plus $100.
Robert Cotter, 75 years after his arrest that was requested by the Phillies.
The the Phillies finally made things right with Robert Cotter by inviting
Cotter, then a grandfather and father of six to a game. The team gave Cotter
two signed baseballs, one by the entire 1998 team and one by Phillies Hall of
Famer Robin Roberts.
The Phillies
also declared Cotter their “fan of the century.”
Will Watson
https://www.mlb.com/news/mets-2025-draft-preview?partnerID=web_article-share
Breakout 2024
pick: Will Watson, SP, pick 203 -- The Mets selected several pitchers high in
last year’s Draft, including second-rounder Jonathan Santucci and third-rounder
Nate Dohm. Their early success has been less surprising than that of Watson, a
seventh-rounder from USC whose velocity has ticked up to the mid-90s as a pro.
Watson recently earned a promotion to High-A Brooklyn and a spot on Pipeline’s
Top 30 Mets prospect list, at No. 29.
Top 40 players on market as July 31 approaches
5 Sandy
Alcantara
Age 29
Position SP
B/T R/R
Fits CHC, NYM,
TOR
Deal
likelihood
Value: Cy
Young winner searching for form
Analysis: Which version of Alcantara is actually on
the market? The 2022 Cy Young winner excelled then by keeping the ball in the
park and on the ground. But he took a step back in 2023, went under the knife
for Tommy John surgery and has returned this year without the command that
makes his mix work. He ditched his slider earlier this year and started to look
like the Sandy of old – right up until he allowed 12 runs in 12 innings the
last two times out.
Since June 1,
the walk rate is one-third of what it was before then, and so there’s reason to
believe Alcantara’s worst is behind him. He isn't a pitcher who strikes out the
lineup, but he is a potential playoff starter, and the supply of those is very
limited this deadline.
Owed in 2025 $6.4 million
Controlled
through 2027
6 Eugenio
Suárez
Age 33
Position 3B
B/T R/R
Fits CHC, MIL, SEA
Deal
likelihood
Value:
Reliable right-handed power bat
Analysis: Moving Suárez to acquire future help while
maneuvering with other deals to buttress the roster would be the kind of thing
Mike Hazen has done before, most notably when he traded away Zack Greinke in
2019 but also brought in Mike Leake and Zac Gallen. Nobody on this list has hit
more career homers than Suárez or more homers since the start of 2023. Rafael
Devers will end up as the best bat moved this season. Suárez has a solid case
for No. 2.
Owed in 2025 $4.8
million
Controlled
through 2025
7 Wilyer
Abreu
Age 26
Position OF
B/T L/L
Fits MIL, PHI, SD
Deal
likelihood
Value: Elite
defender with pop
Analysis: Abreu, like Duran, could become expendable
in Boston thanks to the wave of young bats. But he’s also young enough (26) and
under team control for long enough (2029) to be part of the Red Sox’s long-term
plan, putting them in the driver’s seat for any potential negotiations.
Even if the
Red Sox are open to trading Abreu, there’s no rush to do so now. He’s putting
up very good numbers at the plate that are in line with his strong rookie
showing, and he will be in the mix for a second Gold Glove Award and won’t even
be arbitration eligible until 2027.
Owed in 2025 $244K
Controlled
through 2029
8 Jhoan
Duran
Age 27
Position RP
B/T R/R
Fits DET, NYY, PHI
Deal
likelihood
Value:
Flame-throwing closer
Analysis: Duran has three dominant pitches and the
unhittable results to match, pairing a triple-digit fastball with two
swing-and-miss breaking balls for a 2.40 ERA in four MLB seasons. Minnesota’s
closer for the past three years, Duran often overpowers hitters and has gone
over 70 innings without allowing a homer.
Duran is one
of the league’s best relievers, still cheap and under team control through
2027, so the Twins will likely ask for the moon and might be able to get it
somewhere. He has the ability to transform an entire bullpen and ranks second
to Devin Williams in reliever Win Probability Added since 2022.
Owed in 2025 $1.3 million
Controlled
through 2027
5 comments:
Start moving our bags of chips to UPS. Deals are coming. The pen is pooped and Ross, Nunez and Lambert aren’t quite ready. Could McLean and Sproat switch to reliever down the stretch? Sproat excellent for 3rd straight outing.
Doing nothing midseason has become Stearns' NY Mets standard MO. I'm not expecting miracles but perhaps we will see which minor leaguers they feel are expendable by month's end.
Getting a true closer quality reliever would be important, first in the event of a Diaz injury, and secondly, because he may go free agent at year end. I’d get two bona fide relievers. Starters? Nah. Looking increasingly likely that if needed, McLean, Sproat, and Tong will not embarrass themselves if called up to start. Manaea and Senga return this weekend. The rotation is solid enough.
Probably not
Both Hagenman and Waddell will move to the pen once Senga and Manaea are back
Then my guess would be Hamel
Sproat would be next
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