5/9/12

Fun with Extrapolation - Stephen Guilbert


Here are some statistics extrapolated over the 162 game season assuming, of course, that the player continues to produce at this exact rate for the rest of the year. This would be their “on pace for” totals but keep in mind, we are only 30 games into a 162-game season (18.5%), far from enough of a sample size to deem a player the second coming or destined for AAA.  

Kirk Nieuwenhuis: 178 strikeouts. 

David Wright: 518 AB, 103 runs, 194 hits, 27 doubles, 5 triples, 16 HR, 92 RBI, 108 walks, 16 SB, 16 CS, only 92 strikeouts and 5 errors 

Lucas Duda: 146 strikeouts. 

Daniel Murphy: 200 hits, 38 doubles. 

Ike Davis: 92 hits, 167 strikeouts. 

R.A. Dickey: 22-5, 173 strikeouts, 38 HR allowed. 

Frank Francisco: 43 saves. 

Bobby Parnell: 86 strikeouts and 16 walks in 76 innings.

Johan Santana: 184 strikeouts in 167 innings, 5 HR allowed.

Ruben Tejada: 50 doubles.

4 comments:

Mack Ade said...

I hate to always sound like a grumpy old man (who, me?), but we have to remember that...

Lucas Duda, Kirk Nieuwenhuis, and Ike Davis have NOT played an entire season starting for the Mets.

Stephen Guilbert said...

Is that to say that we don't know what they truly can do? (i.e. are they full-time starters on an MLB team?) or that it's not fair to condemn based on such a small time period served?

Either way, all three players will strike out. A lot.

Mack Ade said...

the first...

a lot of people have put up decent numbers when they first come up... for lots of reasons.

some drag... I remember all the grief Jose Reyes got for his low OBP...

I really like what I see so far from all three of them, but none are etched in my stone lineup yet

but, that's just me

Stephen Guilbert said...

I'm with you 100%. It is hard to gauge future production. Duda might be enduring a bit of a sophomore slump and Davis residual effects from missing a year of baseball. Both will be productive major leaguers. We just don't know whether that comes as a power bat off the bench or annual all-star. Part of the beauty of having a young and inexperienced team is watching players like these three grow and develop (and with that comes a lot of struggles as well).