9/7/21

Tom Brennan - The Remarkable Impact of Relief Pitchers in Today’s Game

Well, impactful Edwin had an impact on Monday…a big, fat, negative one

Many of us pull out however much or little of our hair is left when the relievers come in.  

Of course, since complete games are officially extinct, adjust we must…May I suggest pulling hair out of your toupee instead? Hurts less.

Kidding aside, I wonder if you know this: according to MLB.com stats, Mets’ relievers through Sunday were 42-22, 3.90 ERA, while starters were 27-46, 3.70. 

Starters other than Jake?  20-44! Ouch! 

But part of that 42-22 record is due to blown saves like the 9-0 lead dissipated on Saturday before the Mets finally won 11-9. Starter Rich Hill was great, the pen was horrific, but a pen guy grabs the win.

That’s about 46% of all decisions

The 73 starter decisions vs. 64 reliever decisions is a ratio far different than in 1969 and 1986 when relievers got decisions just about 30% of the time.

Thus, it is clear relievers are more vital than ever.

The Mets have a 62% save rate, which sounds terrible until you realize the Mets are tied in save % at 13th…and if at 63% would be tied for 10th. And the third best team? Just 69%, only 6 points better.  

37 saves plus 63 reliever decisions means that 100 of the 136 decisions so far this year has involved a reliever win, loss, or save. Far more than in the legendary seasons of 1969 and 1986.

Remarkably, Familia, May, Loup, and Diaz, the Core Four, are a combined 25-9.  25-9? Add in Drew Smith at 3-1, and you’ve got 28-10. That’s my Cy Young. Give them all a beer. 

Give Aaron Loup 2 very tall, cold ones. 

5-0 and an ERA around 1.00?  Loup has been meteoric.

They have kept the Mets from careening into oblivion.

Go cheap on your pen and go home early.

Of course, after Monday’s crushing loss, courtesy of Edwin Diaz, one can eviscerate him and the pen.  It is the 28th/29th in scoring offense that is eviscerating this season…nothing else. With this season’s pitching, if the Mets were 15th in scoring, they’d be 10 games in front.

The offense has been the culprit…all season long.

RELEVANT FACTOID….

Mets on road 298 runs in 70 games - 19th

Mets at home 239 runs in 68 games - 30th

Still think the Citi fences aren’t too deep?

RED SOX AT HOME? 410 runs.  171 more. 2.4 runs per game more.

7 comments:

Tom Brennan said...

410 Red Sox home game runs = happy fans

239 Mets home game runs = happy fans

Gary Seagren said...

I just don't know why they still use the "one closer" rule when every team needs 8 or more in the bullpen. Diaz is not at fault because you can't just rely on one guy to close every night and thats not counting warming up in games he didn't pitch in as it's just crazy to think that will work. I want to beat a dead horse here about Wheeler. I know I'm supposed to move on about this but it just shows you how life is all about timing. If SC bought the team a year earlier he would have signed him for sure and when we consider all the craziness of this year with rainouts, covid issues, injuries and way too many doubleheaders if we had Zach we're in first place right now no doubt. Anyway sorry but I had to vent about the Wilpons because their stain never seems to go away.

RDS900 said...

Of course, if deGrom did not get hurt we'd be in first.

Tom Brennan said...

Gary, 1969, Taylor and McGraw were 50-50. Closers in 1986 (McDowell, Orosco) also 50-50. The Mets could let some saves be done by May or Loup or Lugo.

Tom Brennan said...

Ray, true, but it is the hitters who have utterly failed.

Mack Ade said...

Gary

Closers have a certain mentality.

They just don't pitch well "mentally " in non save situations

Think Diaz has been.bad in a closer role this season?

Check out his line in non sales outings.

Tom Brennan said...

Mack, hitters’ failures magnify other flaws. Pitchers are human. Hitters have simply sucked.