2026 MLB Draft – Top 50 College
Prospects
https://www.justbaseball.com/mlb-draft/mlb-draft-top-college-prospects/#entry-135444
26. Jarren Advincula – 2B
HT/WT: 5’11/200 | Bat/Throw: L/R | School: Georgia Tech |
Hometown: Santa Clara, CA | Projected Age: 21.5
Over the past two seasons, Advincula has been one of the
best pure hitters in the entire country. Now, he’s made the journey to Atlanta,
where he’s joining a loaded infield at Georgia Tech and projects to be a
table-setting option atop their lineup.
An athletic player who has seen strength gains since
getting to college, Advincula is fairly maxed out in terms of projection. With
that said, his tools will translate to the next level. Across two seasons at
California, Advincula posted an astounding 90% contact rate, including a
ridiculous 94% in-zone rate. It’s truly elite bat-to-ball skills.
He utilizes the whole field to his advantage, and he’ll
use his plus speed to leg out infield singles and turn singles into doubles. If
there’s one thing to complain about, it’s his aggression at the plate.
Advincula loves to swing the bat, which has led to a bloated chase rate north
of 30%, though the bat-to-ball skills give him a runway when compared to some
of his peers.
He does possess budding bat speed with good barrel
control and has shown power in his game, extending his arms at offerings in the
bottom third and driving them to the gaps and pull-side, but his game is not
centered around power. His swing is more slappy than anything else, but he’ll
run into a few home runs, and there could be more in the tank if he changes his
swing.
Defensively, he projects to have a good glove at second
base. He has a good first step in the dirt with good range and some bounce to
his game, gobbling up grounders hit his way.
At this stage in the cycle, it’s hard to believe Advincula falls out of the first two rounds, especially given past precedent for similar profiles.
27. Brett Renfrow – RHP
HT/WT: 6’3/220 | Bat/Throw: R/R | School: Virginia Tech |
Hometown: Manassas, VA | Projected Age: 21.6
Virginia Tech has been known for producing quality bats
over the past few seasons, but pitching hasn’t been as strong. Ian Seymour and
Drue Hackenberg are two of the more noteworthy names to go high in the past
five years, and there’s a solid chance that Brett Renfrow joins them in 2026.
A bulky athlete with a fluid delivery on the bump,
Renfrow has seen his stuff improve significantly over the past calendar year.
He’s also crafted his pitch usage to introduce his secondaries to hitters more.
Between 2024 and 2025, Renfrow decreased his fastball usage by 15%, which led
to an increase in slider and change-up usage. It led to an increase in both
whiffs and chases.
His fastball does possess good value, though it was hit
around often last spring. At his best, Renfrow will touch 97 MPH and sit closer
to 93-95 MPH deep into starts, throwing two different shapes. He’ll utilize a
cut/ride shape up in the zone to generate whiffs, while there’s some tailing
action down. He’ll get in trouble with leaving the heater over the plate late
in outings, which is something he’ll need to clean up in 2026.
His mid-80s slider is commanded rather well, and he’ll
leave it down in the zone consistently, which makes it tough for guys to square
up. It’s a two-plane offering at its best, though he’ll add/subtract depth and
sweep. His upper-80s change-up took a significant step forward in 2025, gaining
trust in the offering and displaying good tumbling action.
He can lose his command across lengthier outings,
especially once he runs into issues repeating a slightly stabby arm action
behind the back. However, his size, arsenal, and great athleticism are
indicators of a future starting pitcher. He has the mold of a classic workhorse
starter who fits in perfectly at the backend of a rotation.
28. Hunter Carns – C
HT/WT: 6’0/199 | Bat/Throw: R/R | School: Florida State |
Hometown: Jacksonville, FL | Projected Age: 21.3
One of the biggest names to reach campus from the 2024
draft, Carns did well in his time for Florida State, but strikeouts piled up
and neutralized some of his potential.
However, he looked like a different prospect on the Cape,
posting an OPS of 1.033 and walking more than he struck out. It was a
noteworthy stint that has garnered attention for the draft-eligible sophomore.
He’s a well-rounded backstop that has a rather unique
toolset at his disposal. It’s a power-over-hit offensive profile with a big
emphasis on pulling the baseball in the air. Carns has had robust power in his
bat for quite some time, as he’s able to generate significant leverage and loud
bat speed. The power is currently above-average and has the potential to become
a plus tool in the future.
It’s a promising development. The hope is that this will
carry over to the spring, which leads us to believe he’s in for a breakout
campaign.
Behind the dish, he’s athletic and moves excellently for
his size. An above-average runner on the bases, there is solid agility,
blocking, and footwork. It’s a strong arm with quick transfers, as well.
We’ll see how he handles a bigger workload in the spring
in Tallahassee, but it’s hard to ignore the tools available here.
29. Aiden Robbins – OF
HT/WT: 6’2/185 | Bat/Throw: R/R | School: Texas |
Hometown: Yardley, PA | Projected Age: 21.5
It’s a swing that will remind evaluators of a mix of Zach
Neto and Matt McLain. It’s not as loud a leg kick as what Neto had, but the
same technique to generate leverage/coil is there. Robbins will sink deeply
into his back leg and coil his core well, which allows his hips to open quickly
and his hands to fly through the zone.
Robbins has more power than his slender frame would
suggest, with exit velocities north of 110 MPH last spring, and he has shown an
emphasis on utilizing the gaps consistently.
He’s a patient hitter who will rack up walks and feast on
heaters (11% FB whiff in 2025), though his lower half can get stiff at times,
and he’ll struggle with secondaries, especially those low-and-away. With that
said, he’s shown the ability to adjust to pitches out of the zone, and that’s
something he’ll need to improve upon further as he faces better competition in
the SEC.
He’s an above-average runner presently and has shown a
willingness to steal bases, plus that speed translates to right field. He’s a
good route-runner with range and an average arm, which could leave him in left
field as a professional, but he has the tools to be in right field until he
comes across a better defender.
Robbins should be an impactful bat for a Texas team that
is looking to build upon a solid first year with Jim Schlossnagle.

1 comment:
I love bat-to-ball guys, and I hope Advincula is available when the Mets' turn comes up in a future draft. Of course, he has not yet had to deal with the ridiculous movement that major league pitchers possess, but I would rather start with him than a high K-rate power guy.
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