11/1/13

The LTJ Editorial: “Don't underestimate Murphy; put him at first”

“The LTJ Editorial”
Author: Luis Tirado Jr.
Date: 11-1-13
Twitter: @LTJ81
Website: http://www.TheNYExpress.com

“Don't underestimate Murphy; put him at first”

 

For the past few years, the New York Mets haven't had a permanent nor consistent playmaker at first base. We saw a glimpse of hope back in 2010 when First Baseman Ike Davis was called up to the majors and made a serious impact on the team. Right before the 2010 All-Star Game, he had the second most HR's of any rookie in team history with 11. I specifically remember his defense was on point, he was patient with every at-bat, and he came through in clutch situations. Sadly, the following year in 2011, he was hit with a severe ankle injury and hasn't been the same since. Sure, in 2012 he hit a decent .227 with 32 HR's but in 2013 he was at his worst. It was so bad, I don't even want to mention his stat line since it was a definite decline from years past. Davis was demoted to AAA and had to earn his way back up to the majors. What happened? My theory is it's all in his head. He seems to lack the confidence that he can be a solid and consistent player. If he just focused on making the right choices in key situations he would be fine but he always looked lost and confused. He didn't stick to his original batting stance and changed it up almost every few games. Even Keith Hernandez questioned who, what, where, and why did his batting stance have no consistency. Davis's defense was atrocious and all across the media, people were demanding change. That change came by way of First Baseman Josh Satin.

Satin was called up to replace Davis, much to the cheers of Mets fans across the nation to bring some kind of redemption out of first base. He was someone who was doing good in AAA and earned an opportunity to help contribute to the team in the majors. He definitely impressed, he was getting his hits, played pretty good defense, and also made a Mets rookie record! He had a streak going on 29 consecutive games he started in which he at least got on base until it ended. Once the streak ended (Ironically once Davis was recalled up to the majors and got his starting spot back almost immediately) he started to struggle a bit. Satin lost that streak he had when he first arrived and just became another name at first base where he faded away. The Mets played the new game of shuffling first basemen based on who was pitching since once excelled over the other based on righties versus lefties. I've always said that while Satin did provide a spark at first base, he was better as a quality backup or used as a pinch hitter. Perhaps he needs more time in the minors, I just don't see the superstar potential of him just yet.

As we all know, the Mets plan to spend some serious money this offseason to start building the necessary pieces to contend for a championship in the next few years. 2014 seems to be the year but it could be 2015 or beyond, who knows. It's not going to happen overnight, but the plan is to bring in some much needed top talent to compliment the pieces we already have. One interesting scenario has been the possibility of trading away more talent to get either pieces we need now or future draft picks. The most common name has been Second Baseman Daniel Murphy. He had a pretty solid season for the Mets with a stat line of .286, 188 hits, 38 doubles, 4 triples, and 13 HR's. With a solid .319 OBP he definitely was a consistent player. Many suggest that the Mets could ship Murphy to a team that desperately needs an established second baseman and acquire some minor league talent for pitching, relief pitching, and the outfield. I don't think the Mets should trade him at all, he has been an asset to the team and continues to improve steadily. I actually thought about a scenario that would fix our issues at first base and allow some other popular players a chance to be on the field instead of being just hidden away as depth.

In my mind, this is how I envision our infield according to my scenario:

First Base: Daniel Murphy
Second Base: Wilmer Flores
Third Base: David Wright
Shortstop: (acquire top talent in offseason)
Catcher: Travis d'Arnaud

I'd move Daniel Murphy to first base since he can definitely handle it and be a fixture there. Wilmer Flores has shown signs of being the next big thing in New York, similar to when we all saw the debut and eventual development of Starting Pitcher Matt Harvey. It would be a shame to just have Flores and his talent be wasted waiting behind David Wright who unless he gets injured, will be playing third base the majority of the time. Speaking of Wright, he isn't going anywhere, he will always be our all-star third baseman. Shortstop is a weak link in our infield, Quintanilla did an sub par job last season and I don't see Tejada being a permanent starter. He just gets into a slump and never seems to bounce back in a positive way. That's why the Mets absolutely need to acquire a solid top talent shortstop in the offseason. Rumors have circulated we could have a reunion with Jose Reyes but I doubt it, plus he is another player who always gets injured and isn't consistent. Throw in the fact that he's coming in towards the latter half of his career. I'd like someone like Jhonny Peralta or even Stephen Drew to be honest. Someone who can hit, be good defensively, and steal some bases! Finally, I think d'Arnaud will turn into a solid catcher but will need another year or so to keep at it. Experience behind the plate will only help his progression. He should be our permanent main catcher for these next few years.

Murphy at first base would finally put an end to the slumps there, blunders on defense, and bring more of a successful presence there. I don't want to see him go since we absolutely need him to keep building around our core. So far it's shaping up nicely, like I said, just an idea I think would work while we bring in a quality shortstop, one starting pitcher, a few outfielders, and of course, a relief pitcher or two. Let us all see what the Mets have in store for us, bidding wars for the top free agents in MLB starts this coming Tuesday, November 5th, 2013.

Let the races begin! Before you hit the gate, trust me, leave Murphy at first base, he's got this!

16 comments:

Zozo said...

I like that idea a lot then trade Gee and ynoa for starlin. Pickup 2 of either Beltran, Cruz or Byrd.

IB said...

I agree. Trading Murphy, one of you only solid players, is a bad idea all around. Unless he's the key to getting a real impact player. Otherwise, pass.
We need him.

BTW - It seemed to me that the Mets were a better team all around with Satin playing every day. Just a more balanced lineup in my opinion. When Davis came back, looking for walks in the cleanup spot(!!!), it was back to the same poor output.

Reese said...

In his own way Flores is a right-handed Daniel Murphy. He's show a little more power in the minors, blasting 18 HRs as a 20 year old, something Murphy has never done at any level. Since for whatever reason they seem to feel power belongs at the corner and Murphy has seemed comfortable if not spectacular at 2B, I'd advocate the personnel you suggest but leave Murphy where he is and slot Flores in at 1B. Then put your resources into upgrading 2 of the 3 outfield slots with SIGNIFICANT (not league average) outfielders and I'd even hope for a Tejada rebound to the two consecutive .280 years.

Craig Brown said...

Hey Luis

Some good points there, I always enjoy you're writing...

If the Mets hold onto both Wilmer and Murphy, might they be better off putting Wilmer at first and leaving Murphy at second? I don't think too many people believe that Flores can play second even as well as Murphy (which isn't very good).

tom said...

Beltran - i will be surprised if he comes back for 2 reasons;

1) Yanks are more likely to contend - he wants to win

2) he is on Hall of Fame bubble - another 20 HR over the course of his last contract may inch him in there. Wilpons were dumb emough to build the Grand Canyon, and then when moving fences in, moving them in too little (especially since ball does not carry as well as other parks). That blunder may cost Wright 50-75 career HR and Hall of Fame as a result.

I wrote Met front Office back then, and said, if you win 73 games and hit 200 HRs or win 73 and hit 100 HRs, which team will have the better attendance? The answer is obvious. Deep fences, then sign Bay to hit in Grand Canyon - these are shrewd business people.

But back to your ariticle...Murph at 1st, Flores at 2nd, or vice versa, and getting a real SS and at least one real quality OF is essential and could with some luck make them competitive in 2014

Charlie Skehan said...

Murphy's obp is not at all solid it is below average and his defense at best is adequate.This team is being built around pitching which inturn calls for above average defense. Also if you move Murphy to 1st , were is your power supplied from? if Flores moves to second in this scenario then you might have a right of the infield hit 20 hrs and below average defense. I don't really have any answers but if Murphy can be moved in a package for a better bat/defense then so be it.

Luis Tirado Jr. said...

Hey! Thanks for your comment! I have a funny feeling Beltran is going to the Yankees. I'd love to have Byrd back though!

Luis Tirado Jr. said...

Hey, thanks for your comment and for agreeing! Murphy is consistent and very underrated but he puts up those clutch hits and defensive stops. I think Satin has potential to get better but needs more time to develop in AAA.

Luis Tirado Jr. said...

Hey Reese! Thanks for your comment! I'm not sure how Flores would adjust at first, I don't think he's played there much if at all. We definitely need at least 2 new outfielders that can be very productive. I don't see Tejada getting better but we'll see!

Luis Tirado Jr. said...

Hey Craig! Thank you so very much for your comment, it means a lot to hear! I can't say Murphy is one of the best second baseman in all of baseball, he's definitely been slightly above average and been good for us. I remember this past season they gave Flores a few games at second either to prepare for this move or just in case Murphy would be dealt. Either way, I still think Flores will end up at second base so he's not just wasting away on the bench or minors since before getting hurt, he was playing pretty well!

Luis Tirado Jr. said...

Hey Tom, thanks for the comment! I think he would want to entertain the idea of wearing the pinstripes since he had a pretty good career with the Mets. I don't think the dimensions of Citi Field will keep Wright away from being a future HOFer. I know he'll get in there already, even more so if he gets a championship with the Mets.

LoL I like that you wrote to the Mets front office, but yeah, more HR's in a ballpark = more $$$. People love HR's, especially kids, that's all that matters.

Luis Tirado Jr. said...

Hey Charlie, thanks for your comment! Who would you trade Murphy for?

Herb G said...

Murphy and Gee, along with a prospect or two, could go to the Dodgers for Kemp plus cash. L.A. needs a 2B and a mid-rotation starter and Murph & Dillon fill the bill well. Adding Flores could net Joc Pederson or Cory Seager in addition to Kemp.

Gary Seagren said...

The big question is are we FINALLY going to stop acting like a second rate organization and really move this team into contention with moves this winter. Sandy has been very good at trading players away like the Beltran and Dickey deals for good prospects but has not yet traded FOR the big league players we so desperately need. We'll certainly find out this winter and as always as a fan all we can do is wait it out and hope things will look a lot better come spring.

Mack Ade said...

Gary -

Well, the answer is probably yes, but slower than you expect or want.

I see two, maybe three additions. A trade for an outfielder. A shortstop via free agency. And, a 1-yr SP5.

The outfield money could go as high as $15mil a year. Same for the SS. Both will be, at least three year contracts.

I also see Dillon Gee being signed to a 4-5 year deal sometime during the season.

Cesar Puello, Noah Syndergaard, and Rafael Montero will join fellow kids Wilmer Flores and Travis d'Arnaud in the mix.

I know these are baby steps, but that's all I see right now.

Herb G said...

Oops! My bad. I forgot that the Dodgers signed Guerrero for 2B. It's a 3B they actually need and putting both Murphy and Flores in the package probably wouldn't work. It might just require more pitching.