Carson Seymour
Mack's spin -
Seymour is tall speed balling spin doctor whose draft determination will be on the results on this season. He simply hadn't thrown that many college innings before this season.
Let's see how he is doing as of 4-7: 7-starts, 2-2, 4.29, 35.2-IP, 31-K, 21-BB
He needs to get on the horse if he wants to maintain my second round projection.
RHP 6-6 260 Kansas State
1-20-21 - D1 Baseball's top 100 College Prospects -
83 Carson Seymour RHP Kansas State Big 12
1-14-21 - Baseball America
Carson Seymour
Kansas State RHP
Ht: 6-6 | Wt: 260 | B-T: R-R
Commit/Drafted: Never Drafted
Age At Draft: 22.6
Seymour ranked as the No. 160 player in the 2020 class and has exceptional stuff out of a massive, 6-foot-6, 260-pound frame. However, he’s thrown less than 80 innings in his collegiate career between stops at Dartmouth, the Cape Cod League, Kansas State and the Northwoods League this summer. He’s run his fastball up to the 97-98 mph range this summer and has previously touched 99 mph. He can also spin a slider that some scouts have thrown plus grades on thanks to excellent bite and two-plane break. Seymour also throws a downer curve in the high 70s that has above-average potential. Given his relative lack of track record, teams question Seymour’s role at the next level and aren’t sure if he’s best suited for starting or relief. He’s struggled to locate the ball consistently and has walked more than six batters per nine over 28 innings with Dartmouth and Kansas State in both roles, so he’ll need to prove he can work through a lineup multiple times.
11-11-20 - Prospects Live Top 300 Prospect List -
73. Carson Seymour - RHP
Bio:
Height: 6-4
Weight: 240 lbs
Hits/Throws: R-R
Hometown: Temecula, CA
School: Kansas State
The 6-foot-5 righthander sat out the 2019 season after transferring to KSU from Ivy League power Dartmouth. He showed up in Harwich on the Cape last summer noticeably stronger hitting 98 mph on the gun in short spurts. He tends to work more 91-94 mph in a starting role, mixing two breaking balls, the best of which is a downer curveball, as well as a changeup. He was draft eligible in 2020, but the lack of high level experience might have pushed him down boards. Reportedly sitting 94-96 this summer in Northwoods League.
Medium -
9. Carson Seymour — Kansas State
Carson Seymour had the worst season of Kansas State’s 3-weekend starters (but my 2nd prospect from K-State), which isn’t saying too much considering he produced a 2.60 FIP, which is a much better mark than his 3.92 ERA. What that 1.32 split between the 2 indicates, in addition to his below-average BABIP of 0.311, is that he suffered a little bit from the poorer defense behind him than Wicks and McCullough did.
Some of that bad batted ball luck would definitely be part of the culprit for his wOBA allowed of 0.274, but so too would his BB/9 rate of 5.23, double the conference average. We see that Seymour limits hits well, only allowing 6.10 per 9 IP, and average 10.89 K/9, so where does that high BB/9 come from?
Well, @ksu_analytics, Kansas State Baseball’s analytics twitter account, posted a few TrackMan graphics from one of Seymour’s outings, highlighting his fastball and slider. His fastball was 95–96 MPH, reaching 2528 rpm at one point. His slider is of the power variety, coming in at 86.4 MPH, with a spin rate of 2568 rpm, both above the MLB average. As with Wicks, reading too much into these few pitches is a bad idea because it’s a very limited sample size of Seymour’s pitches, but it shows us that potential.
It also shows us that he gets good movement on his pitches, with a lot of power. That’s a strikeout recipe, but it can also result in lower control because he doesn’t need to rely on as much finesse. Fortunately, Seymour succeeded in spite of his BB/9 in 2020 and, as a sophomore, has room to improve that command heading into next season.
The velocity, spin rate, and Seymour’s production all combine to make him a very interesting prospect heading into 2021. We never got to see him in Big 12 play so we don’t know if the control issues would have come back to bite him against better hitters.
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