11/12/23

Tom Brennan - Drew Gilbert's Impressive First Full Pro Season


Some Guys like Drew Gilbert (See Above) Just Look Athletic

While we all think of what new guys can help us from outside the organization next year, what about the new kid on the block?

Drew Gilbert was obtained in the trade by the Astros to acquire Justin Verlander at the trade deadline.  The Mets also got slugger Ryan Clifford, so that was a heck of a good haul for the great Verlander.

I have Gilbert as my #2 prospect, neck-and-neck with Jett Williams, and with LA Acuna as #3.

Pre-draft, Gilbert hit a sizzling .362/.455/.673 in college at Tennessee in 2022, with 36 XBHs in 58 games.

As a result, he was selected as Houston's 2022 first rounder (#28 overall).

He had a brief pro debut in 2022, less than 40 plate appearances, a season which reportedly ended prematurely when he collided with a wall. 

In 2023, Gilbert was healed by spring training  and played the full season as a 22 year old. He turned 23 in September, so based on age alone, both he and the Mets would certainly like him to arrive in Queens some time in 2024.

All that will take, it seems, is to conquer AAA.  

In his first full season this year, you see, he largely conquered AA.  

The 2023 conquering season, though, was not without some bumps.  

He hit .360/.421/.686 in 21 games in Houston's High A to start the 2023 season.  

"Promote Him!" must have been the fans' cry.  

And so they did.

In his first 13 games in AA, he hit .340.  Impressive. Unstoppable!

But then the adversity arrived.

In the next 6 games, he went 1 for 22.  Ugh.

Then, he had a hit in each of the next 2 games.  Phew. A smidgeon of relief.

Then followed a 6 for 48 stretch that dropped his AA average from that .340 all the way down to .200.  Ouch!

In all, it was a 9 for 71 nightmare stretch, with no HRs and one RBI.

Hey, it happens.

Sometimes, nightmares like that abruptly end.

In a late June game, he homered, and including that game, had a 4 game end-of-June stretch where he was 6 for 16.  Ahh, real relief! 

That monkey off his back, Gilbert hit an improved .277 in July with 7 doubles and 4 HRs in 83 at bats, still as an Astro farmhand. And played in the MLB Futures game.

Gilbert played his first Mets organization post-trade game in Binghamton on August 4, going 0 for 4.  “Uh oh”, all over again?  

Nope.  The rest of the way?  

“Dynomite!”, exclaimed Jimmy Walker.  

Drew as a Met AA dude was 40 for 119 (.335), 7 doubles, 2 triples, 6 HRs, and 21 RBIs and 19 walks.  That AA first-full-season nightmare for that 4 week stretch from late May to late June was receding well back in the rear view mirror.  

He was then 5 for 17 with a HR and 3 RBIs in post-season play.

His 18 games in his 2022 pro debut season and 116 games in his first full pro season added up to just 552 pro plate appearances to date.  One would think he'd have to secure at least a few hundred plate appearances in AAA before being ready to join the Mets.

Still, that late season Binghamton hot stretch makes a mid-2024 arrival not seem to be a stretch at all.

So what are his drawbacks?  Seems there is one small one.

Just 5'9". 

That, for my brother when asked, is not a little concern. 

“Where’s my 6’4” prospect?”, he asked. “I want 6’4” Kyle Tuckers!”

But Drew is a muscular, athletic 195 pounds.  His projected power rating is 45, which is pretty average (and, I definitely think, is understated).  

"Just" 20 HRs in his 552 career pro plate appearances. Just?

Other drawbacks?  Seemingly none. Nada. Zilch.

He did fan 99 times in his first 126 games, but considering the speed of his rise to the higher minors, that's actually quite good and promising. 

Kevin Parada struck out at a much higher rate, for example. Baty, too.

Some lefties can't hit lefties.  In 2023, though, Gilbert hit .306/.381/.506, against southpaws, so that result seems totally fine.

He's had 18 of 24 in steals in the equivalent of a full pro season's worth of plate appearances since turning pro in 2022.  

Why?  He's fast. 

He is rated 55 in speed, and a 60 rated lefty arm, Billy Wagner reminded me.

Gilbert was a highly thought of HS pitcher, who thankfully chose hitting as his craft.  He apparently hit 93 MPH while doing a little college pitching for a quality team (16 innings, 5 runs, 17 Ks), but has no pro pitching to his credit.  

But should the Mets ever run out of pitchers in a tight game?  Who knows? Drew to the rescue?

He's played mostly CF in the minors, so his arrival should be as a Mets centerfielder, since he has both speed and a cannon.   And he looks like a really positive guy, which will only help the team win.  

He is described as a very aggressive player and a fiery competitor. Nice.

Seemingly, just a matter of a little more time until Drew Gilbert becomes a successful major league outfielder.  It would be great, however, if he can squeeze out a few more HRs, as Nimmo has, which might make Gilbert a future MLB All Star caliber player. 

Were the Mets to (purely for the sake of argument) slightly shorten those outfield fences, I imagine it would also help Gilbert (and LA Acuna, Jett Williams, and Kevin Parada, when they arrive).

Anyway, I for one am excited to see what Gilbert will do in 2024. 

Especially when he arrives in Queens to stay, in 2024.

19 comments:

Mack Ade said...

My spin

Loved this guy in college. Wrote extensively about him and ranked him as the 3rd outfielder in that draft.

Loved the trade to the Mets. This trade should go down as the best thing Eppler ever did as the Mets GM

Baring injury, my guess he will be the Mets starting centerfielder for years to come starting opening day 2025

Tom Brennan said...

Mack, good insight. I wonder who will be the better of the two, Gilbert or Pete Crow?

Apesquat said...

Of course he's a little bit vertically challenged. His mom is Half Pint

Tom Brennan said...

Muggsy Bogues was incredibly short, but he was an NBA player of note. I am very much hoping 5'9" Drew will be a star.

You know who was 5'10"? Just an inch taller than Drew?

Willie Mays, who turned out to be pretty decent.

Mickey Mantle? 2 inches taller, at 5'11".

Joe Morgan? 2 inches shorter, at 5'7".

Lou said...

There’s a lot talent Kim the wings.

Mack Ade said...

Actually I think Ryan Clifford will be better than both

Mack Ade said...

I think between Nimmo Clifford Gilbert Acuña and Williams that there will be enough outfield talent to take the Mets into the next decade

Tom Brennan said...

Mack, my concern with Clifford is whiffs. He fanned 51 time in 140 plate appearances in Brooklyn last year. Must come way down, to half that rate.

Gary Seagren said...

Jett and Gilbert 1 and 2 atop the lineup works for me now throw in a Soto and the lineup is looking pretty good if Acuna Baty and a pitching prospect get the deal done.

Paul Articulates said...

He looks like Lenny Dykstra when he plays. Same hustle, same grit. Looking forward to seeing him rise through the ranks.

Mack Ade said...

How players out 7 out 10 times doesn't concern me.

It's what they do with the other 3 out of 10 at bats

Mack Ade said...

Jett
Gilbert
Acuña

A lot if top lineup talent coming soon

Mack Ade said...

Should we nickname him Screws?

Lou said...

So much talent! The future looks good. Keep going Me Cohen.

Anonymous said...

Omg Mack could that be true?
Clifford seemed like a wild card but If that’s true then truly a great trade
Eddie

Anonymous said...

Mack could you see Acuna At 3b?
That’s the only way I see Gilbert OF jett 2b and acuna in the line up at the same time

Nimmo and what I hope next year is Soto as our OF
Eddie

Anonymous said...

Love the name

Tom Brennan said...

"Short" Drew Gilbert: 5'9", 195

Corbin Carroll? Listed at 5'10", 165

That Adam Smith said...

Given Gilbert’s arm, I wouldn’t be surprised if they brought him up as a RF, leaving Nimmo in CF for now. I wonder how long a leash they’ll have on Marte. If he still looks like a shell of himself on Memorial Day, and Gilbert is hitting in AAA, it really could be that soon.