3/5/13

Rotations Projections - Complete


Rotations Projections:

AAA-Las Vegas

1.         Zack Wheeler (23) – RHP – one of the top 10 prospects in baseball – A rating – 92-96, 98 with sink…curve, changeup… ETA: 2013 rotation

2.         Jenrry Mejia (23) – RHP – 5/yr minor league stats: 16-14, 2.95, 1.21 – has had control issues + Mets converted to relief for one year – TJS – only 6-0, mid-90s, CUwith sink – ETA: 2014 rotation or trade

3.         Gonzalez Germen (25) – RHP – pitched Binghamton in 2012: 8-12, 4.59, 1.34, 119.2-IP, 97-K – excellent change-up - ETA: 2014 pen or AAAA

4.         Darin Gorski (25) – LHP – 88-90 FB, + 10-6 curve, being considered for LOOGY beause of his cross body deliveries to lefties.  4-yr pro stats: 29-23, 3.68, 1.23. ETA:  2014 pen or AAAA

5.         Jeremy Hefner (27) – RHP – Heffner was picked up on waivers last year by the Mets and pitched in 26 games for the parent club (4-7, 5.09) – 90-92 FB, 89-91 sinker, 73-76 slow curve – ETA: emergency starter for Mets waiting for phone to ring

6.         Mark Cohoon  (25) – LHP – Perfect example of prospect moved too fast – 2012 for combined AA/AAA: 8-12, 4.29 – ETA: AAAA

7.         Collin McHugh  (26) - RHP - The Mets other emergency starter - control pitcher that mixes in four pitchers - 0-4, 7.59 for Mets last year after 2-4, 3.42 for Buffalo - ETA: AAAA

8.  Chris Schwinden -  (26) - RHP -  now has MLB experience (0-3, 6.90), but is blocked and coud wind up in the Vegas pan. Absolutely wild 2012 that had him play for four teams. ETA: AAAA


AA-Binghamton


1.         Noah Syndergaard (20) – RHP – top 50 prospect in baseball – projected SP2 – 3-yr pro stats: 13-8, 2.35, 1.09, 103,2-IP, 122-K – 92-94 FB, + curve – 6-7, 200 – ETA: 2015 Mets Rotation

2.  Rafael Montero (22) – RHP – Highest ceiling in organization – minor league career stats: 15-8, 2.42, 1.01, 175-IP, 156-K, 32-BB – mid 90s FB, up to 98, excellent command and secondary pitchers. Conservative ETA: 2015 Rotation

3.         Cory Mazzoni (23) – RHP – 2nd Rd. 2011  - 2-yr pro: 12-7, 3.70, 1.30, 88-92, 95 FB, curve…relies on control,  lack of height projects him eventually to pen. ETA:  Trade

4.         Tyler Pill (23) – RHP – 4th Rd 2011 – excellent pro stats so far: 10-5, 2.43, 1.16, 122-IP, 115-K, 25-BB – low-90s FB, deceptive delivery, late release, curve, change, slider  - ETA: Trade

5.         Chase  Huchingson – LHP – NDFA 2010 – 2012 St. Lucie stats: 8-7, 4.10, 120.2-IP, 102-K – sits at 93, but very little movement – ETA – could have difficulty  at this level

6.         Erik Goeddel – RHP – 24th Rd 2010 – 5-6, 3.41 for St. Lucie in 2012 – TJS survivor – 90-93 FB, slider, changup – ETA – AAA in 2014, AAAA past that  (will start season on DL)



A+ - St. Lucie

1.         Domingo Tapia (21) – RHP – UDFA –incredible velocity, sits at 98, hits 100 consistently, 97-slider – needs to work on control – ETA: trade or 2016 Mets closer

2.         Luis Mateo (23) – RHP – UDFA – played under different name, then with incorrect age – 2012 was first legitimate year, at Brooklyn: 4-5, 2.47, 0.90, 73.1-IP, 85-K, only 9-BB – 91-94 fastball, power slider – should jump Savannah to catch up with his class – ETA: 2016 Rotation

3.         Michael Fulmer (20) – RHP – 1st Rd. 2011 – 2012 with Savannah: 7-6, 2.74, 1.20, 108.1-IP, 101-K, 38-BB – highly touted H.S. pitcher – 6-3, 200 – 89-94, 98, slider, CU – ETA: 2016 Rotation or trade

4.         Jake deGrom (25) – RHP – 9th Rd 2009 – TJS victim (sat out 2011) came back big time last season – combined A/A+ - 9-3, 2.43, 111.1-IP, 96-K. Fastball sits at 94. ETA: trade

5.         Logan Verrett (23) – RHP – 3rd Rd. 2011 – excellent beginning of pro career: 17-starts, 5-2, 2.68, 0.96, 104-IP, 93-K, only 13-BB – 88-93, 95… + slider and + changeup… another intermediate prospect with no place to go – ETA: trade

6.         Hansel Robles (22) – UDFA – Mets consider Robles the top prospect out of Brooklyn last year – 6-1, 1.11, 0.78, 72.2-IP, 66-K, 10-BB. – 91-92, 94 – slider, curve – will jump Savannah – on 40-man.


A – Savannah

1.         Rainy Lara (22) – RHP - UDFA -2012 Brooklyn: 8-3, 2.91, 0.96, 77-K, 68.0-IP - + CU, curve, low-90 FB – old for level being pitched – ETA: trade

2.         Gabriel Ynoa (20) – RHP - UDFA – 2012 Brooklyn: 5-2, 2.23, 0.93, 76.2-IP, 64-K, 10-BB – ¾ slot, 89-92 FB, 76-83 slider, 89-90 CU – ETA: 2016 Rotation or trade

3.         Luis Cessa (21) – RHP - UDFA – 2012 Brooklyn: 5-4, 2.49, 1.06, 72.1-IP, 44-K, 13-BB – control pitcher – low-90s FB, curve, changeup – ETA: TBD

4.         Julian Hilario (22) – RHP - UDFA – 2012 Brooklyn: 4-4, 3.23, 1.47, 55.2-IP, 45-K, 20-BB – least successful of the ‘Cyclone Five’ from 2012 – FB tops off at 90 – secondary pitchers need work – ETA: TBD

5.         Miller Diaz (21) – RHP - UDFA – went 2-1, 3.56 for a very bad Kingsport team and was promoted to Savannah for one outing.  ETA: TBD

6.         John Gant (20) – RHP – 21st Rd 2011 – combined K-Port/Gnats 2012: 3-4, 4.98 – ETA: TBD

7.         Alex Panteliodis (24) – LHP – 5-8, 3.64 for Savannah in 2012. Blocked. ETA: Trade

8.         Steven Matz  (22) - LHP - off-injured ex-prospect, got off to great start for K-Port last year (2-1, 1.55) but arm tightened up again. ETA: TBD based on heath

5 comments:

Charles said...

I think you can definately swap DeGrom and Stbdergaard. I don't think they'll rush the young Syndergaard and DeGrom ain't getting any younger. I think they'll want Fulmer and Syndergaard pushing each other up the ladder along with Mateo and Tapia.

I kind of think Mazzoni is going to Vegas.

I think Cohoon and Schwinden will probably be cut loose at some point.

I don't know where Robles is going. Probably St. Lucy to start off. Montero I definately see in Bingo.

I'm hoping Matz gets to anchor, health permitting, the Savanah rotation. If he stays healthy all year and pitches at least 80-100 innings, I think the Mets might have a top 50 MLB prospect that we all weren't counting on. 95 mph+ from a left handed starter will easily skyrocket his status.

Health health health.... That's what's most important. A lot of these pitchers just need to stay healthy and the rest will take care of itself.

Mack Ade said...

I have Syndeergaard in Binghamton because that's where the Mets say he's going.

I'm never right about this but it's a nice game to play.

We'll know in a few weeks.

Charles said...

I didn't know the Mets said that...

Yes, it is a fun guessing game.

Herb G said...

I hadn't heard anything about Synders starting in Bingo. I've been figuring him for St. Lucie all along. And if he is in Lucie, I figure Robles in Savannah. Go Gnats!

With the overstock in Vegas, we might see Germen repeating Bingo to start the season, especially with Goedel heading to the DL.

I'm thinking Matz goes to the Cyclones for starters. Takes some of the stress of full season ball off him, and they love to put their hot prospects on display in Brooklyn.

What an array of hot young kids, though. I'm so excited, I just can't hide it!

Mack Ade said...

Yeah, the Synder/B-Mets reference was in two articles written by beat guys under the mets.com system...

look, I don't know, we'll see..

I just wanted to list all the candidates

The only reason I put Matz there was he was in STEP camp