5/23/11

Hitters Update (ISOP, K%, BABIP)

Hitters Update:



Below, is the list of Mets minor leaguers that stand any chance of playing some day in the Bigs. We all know these are only minor league numbers and the lower you go, affiliate wise, the less accurate these can be, but we can use this chart to keep an eye on a few critical stats:


OPS: - On-base plus slugging (OPS) is a sabermetric baseball statistic calculated as the sum of a player's on-base percentage and slugging percentage. The ability of a player to both get on base and to hit for power, two important hitting skills, are represented. An OPS of .900 or higher in Major League Baseball puts the player in the upper echelon of hitters. Typically, the league leader in OPS will score near, and sometimes above, the 1.000 mark.


ISOP: - IsoP equals SLG minus AVG… Isolated Power can trace its roots in one form or another back to Branch Rickey and Al Roth in the 1950’s. The metric measures a batters power based on how many, and what type of, extra-base hits a player has amassed. Whereas slugging percentage counts all hits including singles, IsoP deals with only doubles, triples and home runs. The most common formula for IsoP is (SLG - AVG), which is the same as (2B + 3B*2 + HR*3) / AB. However, when Baseball Prospectus uses IsoP for their PECOTA projections they give equal weight to doubles and triples since "extending a double into a triple is generally an indicator of speed, rather than additional power."


Currently, the league leader in ISOP is Jose Bautista at .463. 20th in the league, and still considered a very high ISOP, is Ryan Howard, at .237.


K%: - this is the percentage of at bats that result in a strike out. A 15.0-K% is a good one. A 25.0 really sucks.



AAA                                 BA   OBP   SLG   OPS   ISOP  K%   BABIP


CF Kirk Nieuwenhuis  .302   .403    .528    .931    .226   25.3     .396


AA


1B Alan Dykstra           .271   .406   .471    .877    .200    27.4     .365


2B Josh Satin                .306  .427   .463    .890    .157    24.4     .418


SS Jordany Valdespin  .271   .325  .414    .739    .143     19.5     .333


A+


CF Matt den Dekker    .318   .344  .520    .864    .202     19.6     .396


3B Jefry Marte              .295  .373  .455    .828    .160     18.1     .345


SS Wilmer Flores         .272   .303  .358   .661    .086     12.2     .304


RF Cesar Puello          .250   .306  .340   .646    .090     18.5     .309


LF Pedro Zapata         .351   .390  .439   .829    .088     15.4    .409


2B Reese Havens         .667   .800  1.000 1.800 . 333      0.0      .667


A


RF Cory Vaughn        .324   .463   .473   .936   .149   20.7   .425


3B Aderlin Rodriguez .220  .273   .435   .708   .215   17.5   .220


SS Robbie Shields      .297   .378   .483   .861   .186   12.8   .339


CF Darrell Ceciliani .239   .320   .398   .718   .159   19.4   .277






St. Lucie LF Pedro Zapata basically gets no press due to the fact that plays with Matt den Dekker and Cesar Puello in the outfield. That being said, no one on the team is having a better season than he is. Seasonally, he is hitting .355, which includes going 5-6 on Saturday and hitting at a .382 clip for the past ten games. It’s no secret how bad the current Binghamton outfield is hitting and this would be a perfect time for the 23-year old to be considered for a bump up.


1B Alan Dykstra may currently be considered a prospect flop, but this is still only his fourth year in organized ball. Believe me, if the Mets had drafted him, and he was fourth in the organization in ISOP, the weenie kids out there would still be calling him a prospect. One problem is he also leads in the highest percentage of strikeouts per at bats.


Are the AAA results for Kirk Nieuwenhuis enough to warrant a replacement of Agenl Pagan in Flushing’s centerfield? Probably not, especially since Pagan is a far superior defensive players.


For a couple of years people kept saying that Wilmer Flores will develop power as he matures. So far, this hasn’t happened, and, in fact, it’s gone in the other direction. It’s hard to keep up an ISOP as bad as .086.


Your potential Mets slugger: 19-year old Aderlin Rodriguez.

Reese Havens' stats repreent only three at-bats so far this season.

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