12/6/11

10 Rule Five Draft Names That Intrigue Me


I know there are some “better” players in the Rule Five draft not listed here but I tried to focus on players the Mets might target given team needs (relief pitching, catcher, outfield, starting).
Preface: The only player I have seen play in person is Venditte. All other information and analysis I compiled from researching scouting reports and consulting minor league statistics.
In no specific order:


1.) Petey Paramore- Catcher- Athletics. This is a guy originally drafted by the Mets out of high school in ’05 (22nd round) and ended up going to college and selected by the A’s in 2008 in the third round. While offering very little power, Paramore has gotten on base at a very solid .356 clip in the minors, has a good approach at the plate (he’s a switch hitter by the way), does not strike out much, and has thrown out 28% of would-be base stealers in his minor league career and has been praised for his accurate throw and quick release time. So, Josh Thole + good defensive skills? Sign me up.


2.) Johan Yan- RP (RHP)- Rangers. Sidearming reliever. Converted shortstop with good numbers. Pitch repertoire still a work in progress but certainly a guy who could stick in a bullpen all year. Given the Mets need at reliever I think they will take a long look at Johan 2.


3.) Cesar Cabral- RP (LHP)- Red Sox. Young (22) lefty with a four-pitch arsenal and good K/9 numbers (11.5 last year in A and AA). Intriguing arm and would add a much needed lefty reliever but could he stay on the 25-man roster all year given his level of experience?


4.) Trevor Reckling- LHP- Angels. Another young lefty. Control issues but a great changeup. New Jersey native (Livingston).


5.) Jordan Danks- OF- White Sox. Good defender, good speed, center-field option, even added 14 HR last year. Gets on base enough but not a strength (.340 career OBP). Downside- strikes out way too much (155 in 463 at bats in 2011).


6.) Erik Komatsu- OF- Nationals. Yes, this is the guy who was the Brewers minor league player of the year in 2010. Dude gets on base like a machine (.389! OBP for his minor league career), has a Range Factor/Game of 2.0 while playing all three outfield positions. Can steal a base but it is a skill still developing. If we are looking for a potential lead-off guy, look no further. I like this kid a lot. Problem with Komatsu is this: He has never played a game above AA. Is he a guy we could legitimately keep on our 25-man roster all year?


7.) Thomas Pham- OF- Cardinals. From Baseball News Hound: “An athletic, cannon-armed outfielder, Pham started to take his raw tools onto the playing field in 2010 before breaking out last season. Armed with plus speed, and above-average raw power, Pham posted an .889 OPS while legging out eleven doubles and three triples in 143 at bats last season. Though he’s been slowed by injuries, particularly by a fractured wrist in 2010, the young athlete has managed to develop at a solid pace. Once he adds more loft to his swing, he could turn some of his doubles into home runs and he has the potential to hit 15-20 dingers annually in the big leagues. Though he only moved to the outfield full-time a couple of years ago, Pham has the makings of an above-average defensive centerfielder. Any ballclub with space on their bench and an interest in fortifying their future outfield could snag Pham on draft day.” Works for me.


8.) Brad Meyers- RHP- Nationals. Great control, 6'6" right-handed starter. Report courtesy of Crawfish Boxes: “spent a majority of his time starting between AA Harrisburg and AAA Syracuse last year. He posted a 3.18 ERA in 138.2 innings. The thing that stands out about Meyers is that he will not walk people. Last year he walked only 15 batters. It's pretty clear that he's a command and control type of pitcher. He's got a good repertoire including a low 90's fastball, curveball and changeup. He projects to be a middle to backend of the rotation starter”. He is 26 years old but could be a nice addition to the back end of the rotation if Santana gets hurt, Pelfrey traded, prospects take too long, etc.


9.) Bryce Stowell- RP (RHP)- Indians. The Mets need relievers and Stowell may be the best in the Rule Five. Great fastball, control issues, struck out 35.4% of the batters he faced last year.


10.) Pat Venditte- RP (BHP)- Yankees. Save my favorite for last. “BHP” is not a typo. It stands for "Both Handed Pitcher". Venditte is currently the only major or minor league ambidextrous pitcher. While he has strong strikeout to walk numbers and a decent arsenal with both arms, he has not yet been able to break into and stay in the bigs. If nothing else, he is the sort of player that fans would pay to see. I don’t know about you but I would love to see this guy in Flushing. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yDyCRTlKllk.


11.) Jiwan James- OF- Phillies. Eh why not one more for good measure. Only a .690 OPS for his injury-shortened career thus far but a supreme defender and an amazing athlete. And maybe I want to pick one off from the Phillies just a bit.
I highly doubt there are any Josh Hamiltons in this Rule Five but there are certainly a lot of intriguing names that could fill some much-needed roles. Some good relief options and a couple catchers worth looking at as well. Personally I like Paramore, Yan, Meyers, Pham and Venditte and if Komatsu is still available by the time the Mets pick (cross your fingers), I think they would be crazy not to take him. I would take that OBP and outfield defensive ability any day of the week.


--Stephen


Sources:


Baseball Reference

Milb.com


10 comments:

Charles said...

Power Hitting Outfielder....Pitching....Catcher.....I'll take any of these.. I think they go catcher.

David Groveman said...

Catcher makes sense as it's pretty easy to see we don't have alternatives in the minors (Alberto Cordero is the closest guy to the majors). Is there a list of the Rule 5 elligable somewhere?

Stephen Guilbert said...

Charles I agree. There's another guy from the Dodgers organization named Gorman Erickson but I can't quite figure out whether or not he's protected. Some lists have him and others don't. If he IS available, the guy hit .293/.379/.486 between high A Rancho Cucamonga and AA Chattanooga last year and while his defensive skills are not all there yet, he has thrown out 30% of would-be base stealers. He's another one to watch out for.

Phlavio. Agreed. Catcher and reliever make the most sense although Brad Meyers and Komatsu sure would be tough to pass up if they're available. And yes the list was linked on the page and here it is again: Baseball News Hound: http://baseballnewshound.com/?page_id=1868

Hobie said...

Interesting list, but I don't see keeping any of these on the 40-man.

BTW, I had my eye on Komatsu as a PTBNL in the K-Rod trade, but he got shipped to the Nats. :-(

Hobie said...

Meant 25-man

David Groveman said...

Some Additional Names I Looked Through:

Steven Hill: Catcher with power... seems okay on D but is more Util oriented.

Blake Lalli: He catches and pitches and seems to be a good contact hitter.

Tony Delmonico: Catcher with some power and good OBP skills.

Johnny Monell: Had some issues last season with throwing out runners. He has some power.

Beau Mills: He seems like too good of a player to pass on despite not needing a 1B.

Stephen Guilbert said...

I like Blake Lalli a lot as well. Should have included him on here.

Michael S. said...

Hobie - Ditto, I hoped Komatsu was coming here in the K-Rod deal.

I wouldn't mind Danks at all.

Meyers was also a former Mets draft pick that a lot of fans wanted them to sign, but they failed and he went to college...Pedro Beato redux?

Stephen Guilbert said...

Meyers very possibly could make Pelfrey expendable and a non-tender candidate. Given the extreme financial constraints, that extra 5 mil could go a long way. Definitely food for thought.

Unknown said...

I would be more than thrilled to get any one of these guys but was wondering your opinion on Nick Barnese and if he would be a fit?