Mack
On Baseball – Chapter 4 – Statistics –
An Overview
"Baseball
fans are junkies, and their heroin is the statistic."
- Robert S. Weider
"Baseball isn't statistics -
baseball is (Joe) DiMaggio rounding second."
- Jimmy Breslin
“You
can be in my dream if I can be in yours…”
-
Bob
Dylan
I
guess you must have statistics if you keep score. Some sports don’t. You’ll
never read about a player who led his dodge ball team in hits per throws.
Baseball
statistics were pretty simply when I grew up. All anyone cares around were
wins, home runs, and runs batted in. The newspapers would print out the top ten
leaders in various categories including strikeouts, runs scored, and stolen
bases, but, trust me, it was wins, homers, and ribbys that turned fans on.
Pitchers
were judged solely on their earned run average (ERA). I remember questioning
this early on and thought there should be some degree of blame placed on
someone who allows an unearned run to score by pitching to a new batter that
hits that runner in. I guess that made me an early saber-dude.
I
immediately fell in love with Dan Okrent when he
invented WHIP. I remember watching two pitchers go up against each other during
a day game at Shea. Doc Gooden pitched the
first inning and mowed down the order, 1-2-3. The opposing pitcher, whose name
escapes me, gave up two hits, walked another, but managed to get the sixth
batter that inning to hit into a double play. The inning ended, tied 0-0, but I
went away from that moment thinking it was unfair that the visiting pitcher
would wind up with the same 0.00 ERA as Gooden.
WHIP
solved this dilemma.
Simply
put, “WHIP” means “walks and hits per inning pitched”. Wow, what a great
fucking idea that was! All of a sudden, Doc had a WHIP of 0.00 and the other
guy’s was 3.00.
You
notice this doesn’t include any runners that get on base from an error. Errors
have nothing to do with a pitcher’s effectiveness on the mound, even if it is
he that makes the error (you’d also then have to rename this to WEHIP);
however, your WHIP can still go up after an error is made. This is where Okrent
was truly a genius. ERA’s don’t change after an error. The opposing team could
pound out ten runs after a key error and a bad pitcher is off the hook.
Then,
the world went crazy.
EQA,
UZR, FIP, xFIP (what’s that? A porn version of FIP?), VORP, BsR, BABIP, and
DIPS
Is
it really necessary to keep breaking down what a player does either on the
mound or with a bat in their hands?
Frankly,
there are other factors I’m still waiting for someone to start breaking out.
How
about:
·
How
many times did the catcher walk to the mound and calm down a pitcher that was
close to going over the edge?
·
What
was a player’s average amount of foul balls hit, after two strikes, and before
getting base either though a hit or a walk?
·
How
many addition tickets were sold before a certain ballplayer was scheduled to be
in the lineup?
Look,
I know Jerry Grote wasn’t the greatest
catcher of all time. And, yeah, he only hit .252/.312/.351/.663 in 1969. But I
know, in my heart, that the Mets would not have won the World Series that year,
no less even get there, without him behind the plate.
It’s
not the Ron Swoboda catch in the outfield or
the crazy home runs by Al Weis that make a
team the last one standing. No, it’s the steady, all-season play of people like
Cleon Jones, Tommy Agee, Art Shamsky, Ron Taylor,
and Ken Boswell.
It’s
easy to remember Tom Seaver, Jerry Koosman, and Gary Gentry.
But
how do you “stat-out” the key homeruns by Donn
Clendenon or the key innings by Jack Dilauro?
Dilauro
was a no-named lefty that pitched only two years in the pros, one being 1969
for the Mets. He was traded to the Mets in 1968 for someone named Hector
Valle. He might not have participated in the playoffs in 1969, but his 2.40 ERA
for the 63.2-IP he did throw that season, still stand as the third best
all-time among Mets pitchers with at least 50 innings pitched for the team (Carlos Diaz, Billy Wagner)]
What’s
the statistic for someone this valuable?
Statistics
are great, but there’s a lot more to this game than who did more than someone
else. The 2011 Mets had the sixth top batting average in all of baseball. What
did that get them?
And,
which team had the best OPS, the so-called most important stat in the game?
It
was the Boston Red Sox, that didn’t make the playoffs. They also led the league
in OBP.
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