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Height: 6-5
Weight: 215
Age (Draft Day): 21.89
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Position: P
Bats: R
Throws: R
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General Manager: Jeff Luhnow
Scouting Director: Mike Elias
Draft Slot Amount: $7,790,400
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ANALYSIS: This
decision hasn't been made yet and likely won't for another few weeks. Last year,
there was a large top group of talent with varying price tags that allowed the
Astros to be creative. This year there's a top group of two players: Appel &
Gray. Appel has a better frame, arm action, delivery, track record and
projectability along with a wider base of skills. Right now they may be
comparable prospects, but scouts prefer Appel going forward especially after the
adjustments he's made this spring after being disappointed going 8th in last
year's draft. With a weaker crop to spend savings later from this pick, Gray
will need to come in well below Appel's price tag to get serious consideration
here, but he doesn't have the motivation to do that as he'll get paid just fine
going second.
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Height: 6-4
Weight: 240
Age (Draft Day): 21.59
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Position: P
Bats: R
Throws: R
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General Manager: Jed Hoyer
Scouting Director: Jaron Madison
Draft Slot Amount: $6,708,400
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ANALYSIS: There
is some buzz in the industry that the Cubs are heavy on Appel. This could create
a situation where the Cubs could float a full slot or above slot number to Appel
to see if they can play the signability game to get him slide to them.
Otherwise, the Cubs will be pretty excited to add a power righty that sits in
the upper 90's.
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Height: 6-5
Weight: 215
Age (Draft Day): 21.42
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Position: 3B
Bats: R
Throws: R
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General Manager: Dan O'Dowd
Scouting Director: Bill Schmidt
Draft Slot Amount: $5,626,400
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ANALYSIS: The
Rockies have a choice between the top two bats in the draft here and their track
record tends to be picking college players in the first round. That said, with
their last two picks in the top half of the first round, they took Alabama prep
CF David Dahl last year and California prep LHP Tyler Matzek in 2009. They'll
surely have a long discussion when setting the top of the board later this month
and I think they'll opt for the easier-to-project college bat in Bryant,
especially after paying two prep center fielders seven figure bonuses last
year.
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Height: 6-0
Weight: 190
Age (Draft Day): 18.75
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Position: CF
Bats: R
Throws: R
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General Manager: Terry Ryan
Scouting Director: Deron Johnson
Draft Slot Amount: $4,544,400
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ANALYSIS: The
Twins took another Georgia prep center fielder last year, when they gave
toolshed Byron Buxton $6 million as the 2nd overall pick. I have Frazier as a
clear best available here and from what I'm hearing the industry agrees but
Frazier is a polarizing type player. I delve into this on last week's
podcast, but it's tough to find a comparable for
Frazier and many teams shy away from unique players in high pressure picks. For
me, this is the pick I'd make here and I think the Twins do the same.
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Height: 6-4
Weight: 220
Age (Draft Day): 20.68
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Position: 3B
Bats: L
Throws: R
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General Manager: Chris Antonetti
Scouting Director: Brad Grant
Draft Slot Amount: $3,787,000
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ANALYSIS: I had
Indiana St. lefty Sean Manaea penciled into this slot for the past few weeks but
after sitting 93-96 mph last summer on the Cape, he's been 90-93 this spring and
last weekend after returning from a hip injury, he was 84-86 mph in the 4th
inning. Cleveland is among the teams that have been bearing down on Moran,
although I'm told GM Chris Antonetti saw Moran recently on an off weekend for
the Tar Heel third baseman. Texas prep RHP Kohl Stewart and New Mexico 1B D.J.
Peterson are both possible fits here.
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Height: 6-3
Weight: 195
Age (Draft Day): 18.66
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Position: P
Bats: R
Throws: R
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General Manager: Michael Hill
Scouting Director: Stan Meek
Draft Slot Amount: $3,516,500
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ANALYSIS: The
Marlins like high school players, flashy tools, athleticism and upside. When in
doubt, tie them to a player from Oklahoma--many of their top scouts are from
there and they dip into that pool often--but Gray isn't getting to them and this
is too high for Jon Denney, Alex Gonzalez or Jason Hursh. Stewart makes a lot of
sense here as the highest upside player on the board and being a Midwest
dual-sport athlete (Texas A&M QB recruit) makes it an even better fit. I've
been told the Marlins are also high on Frazier and are hoping he gets here,
however unlikely that looks at this point.
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Height: 6-2
Weight: 180
Age (Draft Day): 21.29
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Position: P
Bats: R
Throws: R
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General Manager: Ben Cherington
Scouting Director: Amiel Sawdaye
Draft Slot Amount: $3,246,000
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ANALYSIS: Boston
doesn't pick this high very often and it's not a secret in the industry they'd
like to pick a high upside player with big tools. With the new CBA, those types
won't fall into the 20's very often, where the Red Sox expect to pick from now
on. Manaea and Georgia prep CF Austin Meadows made some sense here earlier in
the spring, but I'm told the Sox aren't on Meadows for this pick and Manaea's
freefall now looks to last well beyond this pick. Boston is another club that's
been bearing down on Moran lately, even if he isn't the high upside type they
envisioned getting, and he isn't available in this scenario. Likewise, I'm told
the Sox would love to get to get Kohl Stewart at this pick as well and he may
well be on the board but not in this scenario. Shipley is a solid consolation
prize: a converted infielder new to pitching with an athletic frame and
bloodlines (cousin of NFL WR Jordan) that flashes a plus fastball-changeup combo
and the makings of an above average breaking ball.
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Height: 6-1
Weight: 210
Age (Draft Day): 21.43
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Position: 1B
Bats: R
Throws: R
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General Manager: Dayton Moore
Scouting Director: Lonnie Goldberg
Draft Slot Amount: $3,137,800
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ANALYSIS: The
Royals have shifted their organizational strategy somewhat with the Wil
Myers-James Shields trade signaling the end of a rebuild and beginning of a
competitive window. There's lots of negative buzz around 2011 first rounder prep
CF Bubba Starling, so a college player seems likely here, with rumors being the
Royals prefer a bat after dealing Myers and picking college arms with their top
two picks last year (Kyle Zimmer & Sam Selman). Peterson belongs here with
one national crosschecker telling me this week he won't get out of the top 12.
The stout future 1B may look familiar to Billy Butler to Royals fans as a short,
stout pure hitter with above average power.
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Height: 6-1
Weight: 190
Age (Draft Day): 18.26
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Position: C
Bats: L
Throws: R
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General Manager: Neal Huntington
Scouting Director: Joe DelliCarri
Draft Slot Amount: $3,029,600
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ANALYSIS: The
Pirates are the third team that's been bearing down hard on Moran all spring and
this one isn't a secret--I've been hearing it for over a month. It's unlikely he
lasts this long and as this has become more obvious the Pirates have been
rolling in heavy to see two other prep bats in recent weeks, Meadows and
Washington prep catcher Reese McGuire. Toronto is the other club that's been in
heavy on McGuire, so it makes sense for the Pirates picking 9th and 14th and the
Jays picking 10th to pop McGuire here and hope Meadows lasts to 14, which is
still very possible. This is a comp pick for not signing Mark Appel last year,
so taking a signable player is preferable and McGuire shouldn't be a signability
issue.
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Height: 6-3
Weight: 220
Age (Draft Day): 18.09
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Position: OF
Bats: L
Throws: L
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General Manager: Alex Anthopoulos
Scouting Director: Brian Parker
Draft Slot Amount: $2,921,400
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ANALYSIS: The
Jays would like to get McGuire here but he goes right in front of them in this
scenario. With their huge scouting staff, Toronto seems to get tied to more
players than most teams and many of them are off the board here but this makes
sense as the spot for Meadows. It may seem like a slider given the 1-1 hype
coming into the spring, but I never bought Meadows as that kind of talent and
after all the conversations I had this week, the industry seems to agree. It
only takes one team to pick him higher than this, but more than one scouting
director said this week they could see Meadows making it to the Pirates second
pick at 14, which is likely his floor. Toronto likes to go best player available
and collect as much talent as possible and Meadows fits the bill at #10.
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Height: 6-1
Weight: 209
Age (Draft Day): 21.36
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Position: C
Bats: R
Throws: R
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General Manager: Sandy Alderson
Scouting Director: Tommy Tanous
Draft Slot Amount: $2,840,300
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ANALYSIS: The
Mets have shown a lot of interest in Renfroe this spring and this is likely his
ceiling, with a floor in the late teens to early 20's. Renfroe is a tough
evaluation relative to other college bats with a limited track record of success
but above average tools across the board and a loud junior season
(.394/.488/.781, 15 HR). I'm on board with taking him in this range and one
scout called him Mikie Mahtook (Rays 2011 1st rounder, former LSU OF) with more
raw power
For the rest of the list...
http://sbb.scout.com/2/1289798.html
4 comments:
www.milb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20130509&content_id=46958086&fext=.jsp&vkey=news_milb&sid=milb
Nice article on Kevin Plawecki I just read, see previous post. Nice to see a position prospect get some love.
Nice draft as a whole and I'm a fan of us taking Renfroe, just not at #11, more likely our 2nd round pick, by hes moved up draft boards into the first round. Not sure i like his upside compared to the other players we'll have a chance at in this spot.
Renfroe doesnt really have a track record like the others and while hes having a break out year, I'd like to see more of a history of domination vs having a hot run, which we all know can end just as quickly as it came. Remember Jeff Duncan?
yeah, Renfroe doesn't float my boat either...
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