11/27/11

Hot Stove: - Grady Sizemore, Magglio Ordoñez, Freddy Garcia, Prince Fielder

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The Cleveland Indians re-sign Grady Sizemore- So i guess this is a good deal if he’s healthy. He probably won’t be healthy though. The last time he played a full season was 2008. Even when he returned last year his legs didn’t seem to work as he went 0/2 on SB attempts. Sizemore’s value came from his speed/power balance. With no speed all he has is power. The power is still there though. He did hit 10 HR’s in 71 games. That’s 22 HR or so over a full season. But again, he won’t play a full season. Did I mention he’s always had a below average average? So bad batting average, no speed, and just power. That sounds like a modern day Jason Bay to me. Good thing he didn’t cost nearly as much and his contract is incentive laden. I guess I would take a late chance on Grady in fantasy. I would not invest highly on him. I would also probably prefer most middle-tier options over him.  http://baltimoresportsreport.com/the-fantasy-gods-mlb-hot-stove-report-1124-21468.html

Magglio Ordoñez: 37 years old; 2011: .255/.303/.331 5 HR 32 RBI 2 SB -1.0 WAR   Ordoñez is coming off two seasons that were cut short due to injury and will be 38 years old once the 2012 season starts. Although it was speculated that Ordoñez may end his baseball career, he recently said he would like to play again in 2012. He can no longer be counted on as an everyday corner outfielder and with his health and power in decline he may not receive very much interest this offseason. He must prove he has fully recovered from the ankle injury that kept him out of the 2011 playoffs to earn interest.

New York settled for security in bringing back the innings eater on a one-year pact for a backend rotation spot. The 35-year-old sticks with an ideal offense to buoy his mound time, which is often nail-biting given how hard opponents hit him. For someone who throws plenty of split-finger fastballs, he yields plenty of flies, even if a decent portion of them comes in the infield; his home park aids lofts. The soft-tossing Garcia's bloated 2011 rate of runners stranded (77.1 percent) helped him pitch above his means. If you're looking for bland pitching depth for AL-only leagues and occasional deep mixed use, Freddy's ready, but heed the warning signs and handle him with care ... and plenty of skepticism   http://www.kffl.com/a.php/129133/192/fantasy-baseball/Fantasy-Baseball-Hot-Stove--Freddy-Garcia--Bruce-Chen#ixzz1ekSGrfRe

In all of our forecast scenarios, Prince Fielder maintains an elite level of production only for the next two years.  Thereafter, he is projected to be a 3-win player, at best, with gradual declines pushing him down to a 1-win level in the latter years of the contract.  In the best-case scenario, Fielder’s total value over 8 years is around $120M; in two of the other four scenarios, his value hovers in the $100M range. The Pujols analysis suggested that the ideal suitor would be a team that is built to win right away, and thus ideally positioned to take advantage of the remaining elite years at the front of the contract.  This seems absolutely imperative in Fielder’s case, since this analysis illustrates the potential for a drop-off that is both earlier, and more pronounced. http://www.northsidebaseball.com/articles/nsbb-features/63-feature-articles/7338-what-is-prince-fielder-worth

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