12/31/13

Mack’s Morning Report – 12-31 – Jeurys Familia, Marlon Byrd, Danny Muno, Rusney Castillo, Rigo Terrazas

19 comments
 

RT @gberg9 Syndergaard or Stephenson?

            Ben Badler ‏@BenBadler  - Stephenson. But both front-end starters.
 
BP –

Jeurys Familia, RHP, Mets (Gigantes del Cibao, DWL): 2 IP, H, 4 K. Familia hasn’t thrown a lot this winter, but when he has, he’s been lights out, missing a ton of bats and flashing the mid-to-upper -90s velocity that has scouts raving. You can’t put a lot of stock in winter league performances, but you can put a ton of stock in young pitchers returning from injury and regaining velocity and missing bats. http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=22483
 

David Schoenfield

Finally, let’s talk about outfielder Marlon Byrd. A 30-something slugger who owes a big chunk of his power production to Texas’ home park leaves after 2009, has two disappointing seasons with the Cubs, then falls over a cliff in his age-34 season. And that’s it for him, right? Not at all: Byrd’s big bounce-back in 2013 after earning a job with the Mets in spring training made him a key stretch pickup for the Pirates. His combined .511 slugging percentage made him this winter’s quick addition to the fast-acting Phillies for two years (or three if a 2016 option vests) at $8 million per annum.

There are all sorts of “that won’t be easy” warning signs about Byrd’s 2013. Can he repeat a career-high .220 Isolated Power clip as a 36-year-old? Or a .353 batting average on balls in play, his best mark since his breakthrough 2007 season with the Rangers? Or a career-best 11.1 percent clip of homers on fly balls? It’s notable that Byrd has become a significantly different, more aggressive batsman with age, striking out a career-high 24.9 percent of the time last season while his unintentional walk rate plummeted to 5 percent, while also becoming a more pronounced fly-ball hitter. http://espn.go.com/blog/sweetspot/post/_/id/43190/who-cant-top-what-they-did-in-2013

Mack – This is part of an article called ‘Who can't top what they did in 2013? ‘. There’s no way in hell Byrd is going to make the Phillies investment of $8mil a year a wise one. The Mets got the ‘best last year’ out of this guy and I love the fact that his new paycheck is coming out of the pocket of David Montgomery.

 

A Question from ‘Anonymous’ -

Hey Mack - my question comes from out of left field - about a 2nd baseman - what do you think of Danny Muno? Statistically (OBP, runs, RBIs) he had a great season in AA from June on. I know there is a 2B logjam, but what do you see as his major league potential? Possible starting 2B somewhere? Good utility guy? His name never comes up, and it is incredible to me how much you seem to know about so many current prospects and future draftees.

Mack – Thanks for the question (please join the site under some form of name so we can identify you with your thoughts on the Mets).

Muno was a four-year college player out of Fresno State, which put him behind the eight ball the day he became a Met. The unofficial age limit for a ‘prospect’ is 24 and Muno arrived in Brooklyn already being 22.

(This is what I hate about the way the Mets handle some of their college picks. Why are you starting a 22-year old in rookie ball? Most teams would have had a player like Muno at the A+ level, or they would have passed on a second baseman at the college level and went high school to fill the Cyclones slot)

Anyway, Muno turned heads at Brooklyn... playing shortstop…  (220-AB, .355, 23-doubles) and the Mets bumped him two levels in 2012 to St. Lucie.

Lucy went well (289-AB, .280/.38/.412/.799, 50-BB. He eventually became the full time second baseman in Florida (8-E, 55-G, .961).

And then there was Binghamton in 2013. We talk about this all the time… higher level, better pitching, changing strike zones, pain in the ass umpires. Muno had a miserable start of a season that included hitting .179 in May. He turned hot in July (.329) and finished off the season at .249 in 449-at bats. He’s projected to be the starting second baseman in Las Vegas come this spring.

Sadly, except for emergency backup, his professional shortstop days are past him. Can he make it at the major league level?

I always liked his bat and compared it to Josh Satin. Like Satin, you need a couple of lucky breaks to get a shot. Muno has an outside chance to become a utility player in 2015 for the Mets, but, past that might be a stretch. He really offers no help at third and my guess is Wilfredo Tovar will step up and become the Justin Turner of 2014.

 

John Sickles –

                                    SS Gregorio Petit:

In 2010 he was traded to Texas and hit .251/.316/.342 with their AAA affiliate before becoming a free agent. He then lost all of 2011 to a knee injury and hooked on with Cleveland for the 2012 season. He hit .260/.320/.403 over 111 games, knocking a career high 10 homers as a 27 year old. He spent the year back in AAA for this past season and hit .292/.344/.380 with San Diego's affiliate in Tucson. Add it all up and you get a plus defender with the resume to back it and a bottom of the order hitter. As a back up middle infielder or even a defense-first starter, I believe Petit could hold his own offensively and excel defensively if given a chance at the big league level. http://www.minorleagueball.com/2013/12/30/5252780/prospecting-for-minor-league-fa-middle-infielders

Mack – I just thought you would find it interesting what free agent utility infielders are still out there. 


BA

Another one of Cuba’s best players has left the island, the latest in a wave of defections that isn’t expected to slow down. Rusney Castillo, a 26-year-old center fielder who had been one of the top players in Cuba, has left the country to pursue a contract with a major league team, Baseball America has learned. Castillo is short but has a strong, athletic frame at 5-foot-9, 185 pounds. His best tool is his speed, as he’s an above-average runner and one of the better base stealers in Cuba. More of a doubles hitter than a big home run threat, Castillo puts a charge into the ball with a line-drive righthanded swing, though he can get long to the ball at times and some scouts think he’s prone to chasing pitches off the plate. Primarily a center fielder in Cuba, Castillo has also played some second and third base, so his versatility could be a draw for some teams. He’s an aggressive, high-energy player, though some teams see him as a fourth outfielder. http://www.baseballamerica.com/international/defection-of-top-cuban-outfielder-rusney-castillo-could-shake-up-market/  

LJ Mazzilli -

To all my Friends and Family on Facebook. I am deleting my Facebook and my other social medias for a little while to focus on more physical things in my life.
 

Rigo Terrazas -

San Luis Rio Colorado, Sonora. - The Young sanluisino Rigoberto Terrazas Paramo, 17, will be making his lifelong dream of traveling to Dominican Republic, where he will be for 1 month and a half in the team training MLB, Mets New York. This talented sanluisino player, who was signed as a pitcher for the Red Devils but in the city of Monterrey, Nuevo León, was seen by the great Mexican player, one of the best short stop Jose Luis "El Borrego" Sandoval, who commanded Terrazas to unfold at shortstop, leaving "El Borrego" Sandoval struck by the elegance which carried this important prospect on the king of sports position. Quickly José Luis Sandoval spoke to the team leaders Diablos Rojos del Mexico, a team that played more than 20 years and explained that Terrazas had Rigoberto further from shortstop to pitcher and would be as productive as infield, as his excellent glove when catching the ball was remarkable. http://www.oem.com.mx/tribunadesanluis/notas/n3109380.htm
BP –

                                               Dee Gordon, UTIL, Dodgers (Indios de Mayaguez, PRWL): 3-4, R, K. The most notable thing about this performance by Gordon isn’t the three hits but that he was playing second base and has seen some time there this winter. We also know that he’s been working out in center field in addition to his natural shortstop position. He may never hit enough to play regularly, but a player with plus-plus base-running ability that can fill in at shortstop and center field has some value, and if he can also back-up at second base, well that’s a plus. Think of a faster Desi Relaford. http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=22483

19 comments:

steve said...

Morning mack
Hope you have a great new years eve,and all the best for the new year.
I really hope sandy pursues, gordon! He would help the 25 man roster! If tejada is the starting shortstop?
He would be a good alternative,from the left side,or speed of the bench.
The only others I see,from the left side are EYj and MDD! Anyway take care and happy new year

greg b said...

Mack happy newyear to you and your family. This is going to be a fun year reading about the guys in the minors such as Nimo, Rosario, Fulmer etc. Keep up the great work to you and your writers.

Anonymous said...

Hey Mack - thanks for your take on Muno. Too bad for him that he wasn't around at the time of "iron hands" Luis Castillo, instead of now when there is a real crowd of 2B candidates. Ignoring his slow start, I looked at his last 75 games last year, doubled those stats to mirror a projected 150 games, and got 30 doubles, 16 HR, 118 runs, 84 RBI, 16 steals, and an on base % of well over .400. I am really interested in the underdog - let's see how far this underdog can run. The comparison to Satin is reasonable, but he is likely more mobile and hence a more versatile fielder. AND...I will make signing up one of my 2014 resolutions! Happy New Year.

Anonymous said...

In response to Muno, He's always been one of those guys who are always sitting just outside the Top 25.

His bat isn't half bad and his pitch recognition is outstanding. At this point I believe his floor is no lower than a valuable super sub bench piece. He still has a ceiling of starting for a bottom of the division rebuilding team though.

Think Justin Turner with more patience at the plate.

Mack Ade said...

Steve -

Thank you for the kind New Year's Eve comments. Back at you.

The site will be closed tomorrow for the holiday.

As for Gordon, it' amazing how quick a 'prospect' becomes a 'utility player'.

I would gladly add him at the UT infield spot

Mack Ade said...

Greg B.

And a Happy New Yea to you also.

Mack Ade said...

Anonymous -

You're welcome.

Don't forget to sign up to the site.

Hobie said...

Happy New Year, Mack, and all the best.

Having addressed Muno, could you (A) compare him to Ryan Sandoval; and (B) throw T.J. Rivera in that mix for placement in 2014 and beyond?

steve said...

Thanks Mack for all the work you do,for this site. It is my number #1, first one I go to.
All the best in 2014
From the Wilson's

Anonymous said...

Mack,
Happy New Year! A trade question ... would you trade Gee and Lagares for Gregory Polanco of Pirates? More importantly, would Pirates do it if they can't resign Burnett? Anyone, please chime in.
Chavez06

Anonymous said...

chavez
I would do that in second.
So would Sandy and every GM in the league.
The Mets would have to give up more,i believe!
Maybe Gee-Davis-Plawecki--Familia
would get it done

Unknown said...

Happy and Healthy New Year to all... Muno is very interesting, hopefully his numbers improve more in that hitter friendly pacific coast league.
Anonymous- I think that is way to much to give up for Polanco.

Mack Ade said...

Hobie -

Happy New Year to you also -

I will answer your question as part of the Thursday Morning Report

Mack Ade said...

Steve Wilson -

Thank you for your support and kind words. The best to you and your family

Mack Ade said...

Chavez06 -

(please join the site)

You're giving up too much for Polanco.

Anonymous said...

Mack, I'll definitely sign up soon. You do a great job. Best wish you a happy and healthy new year.
Chavez06

Anonymous said...

Mack, I'll definitely sign up soon. You do a great job. Best wish you a happy and healthy new year.
Chavez06

TP said...

Mack,
Wishing a happy and healthy new year to you are your family. Thank you for all your efforts in 2013, it goes a long way to making it fun to be a Met fan regardless of how they perform.

Mack Ade said...

And thank you TP for everything you add to the site.

We all share some of the more intelligent conversations about this frustrating team. And, we do it in a respectable manner.

You have a great day tomorrow and then we'll return Thursday to plan for a successful 2014

Mack's Mets © 2012