Good
morning.
Randy
asked –
Hey Mack… a quick question.
We all know the minor
league prospects that should be arriving in the next few seasons, but is there
any pitchers in the lower levels that stands out to you yet?
Mack – Hey
Randy.
MiLB.com |
First of
all, it’s always too early to speculate on anyone below the AA level; however,
that doesn’t mean that there aren’t some guys that are playing excellent ball
against other ballplayers at the same level and same age.
Savannah
has two starters… Casey Meisner and Brad Wieck… that are both showing the ability to dominate while on the
mound. Meisner’s early ability is translating in the stats while Wieck is
producing a masterful K/9 ratio.
Relief
wise, I have a man crush on Paul Sewald, while David Roseboom and Akeel Morris both seem to have the ability to go all the way here.
A little
caution though… anything can develop at these levels, but these look like the
guys that have best chance of making it.
MiLB.com |
Michael
asked -
Now that Wright has
spinal stenosis and his career will slowly trend down to its eventual
conclusion, are we more likely to trade for Tulo knowing he can shift to 3B
when that eventually happens?
Mack –
Michael, I live with spinal stenosis every day. Trust me… the Mets need a new
third baseman.
Regarding
Tulo, nothing has changed. You want something, you have to give up something.
This is
just an opinion, but the Mets may have to take a step back after all the crap
that’s gone on this year and regroup for another run… next season. In order to
do that, they need good, tradable prospects that are both talented and healthy.
Kevin Plawecki looks like one, but only if you have a healthy Travis d’Arnaud on your team.
Other than
catching, the Mets can only turn to pitching to create a trade and they better
hurry up or they will lose the window to create a balanced team. It still comes
back to trading either Noah Syndergaard or Steven Matz. You build a package around one of these guys, add Plawecki,
and you’ll get yourself a quality player to replace Wright.
And, in the
long run, you’re out a quality pitcher to break even. The hope is that the
return of Zack Wheeler in around June of next year will make us all forget these days.
My first
move would be to determine the extent of the stenosis and the long term
prognosis. I would then do everything I can to convince Wright that the only
way he can go forward as a professional baseball player is to shut to down this
season and have back surgery.
Then, and
only then, I would revisit the Rockies with a Matz-Plawecki-somebody
package of prospects and see what kind of sympathy you could draw out of these
guys.
Michael - Re: Cecchini - Any chance the kid hits AAA
this year?
Mack – Yes
I do, because I think the whole Mets world is open to experimentation right now
until either 1)things settle down, 2)things go back in the right direction, or
3)managers fly out the doors.
What Cecchini needs to do is work on his defense. It doesn't project out much better than Wilmer Flores (11-E in 38-G this year in Binghamton).
What Cecchini needs to do is work on his defense. It doesn't project out much better than Wilmer Flores (11-E in 38-G this year in Binghamton).
Frankie
asked –
Mack, how much does age come into play
when they assign players to different levels in the minor leagues?
Mack –
Thanks for the question, Frankie.
Everything
comes into play, but anyone still playing minor league ball at 24 years old, or older, is considered by the scouts past consideration for stardom at the major league level.
I happen to like
the college process, especially when it comes to power pitchers. Let them work
out their aches and pains during the three years you would only be pushing them
through rookie ball. But, and this is the big but… make sure you start them off
either at the A+ or AA level when you do sign them and assign them to one of
your team. These are now young adults ready to do a man’s job.
Carly
asked –
MiLB |
Mack – Yes,
I most certainly do Carly, but not from the sources you and most other fans
look to find them.
Alderson and
Company are attacking this problem the same way the Mets found Jose Reyes and other teams found
their future stars… at the international level through the July bonus signing
period. This is where every team can bid for, and sign, any player that has
turned the age of 16.
This is how the
Mets found Amed Rosario in 2012 and signed him with a $1.75mil bonus.
Since then, the
Mets have signed eight more 16-year old shortstops, though some project out
long term as third basemen. They are:
2013 – Yeffry De Aza - $475K bonus
Luis Carpio - $300K bonus
Cecilio Aybar - $231K bonus
2014 – Hansel Moreno - $50K bonus
Yoel Romero - $300K bonus
Edgardo Fermin - $250K bonus
Kenny Anderson (projected 3B) $1mil)
2015 –
And the big prize who is expected to be signed in July:
Gregory Guerrero (projected
3B) $1.8milIt is well know that most of the natural athletes in the Dominican (at this age) start out at shortstop. Eventually, the strong guys branch out and become corner outfielders, third basemen, or first basemen.
The entire future of this team in, oh, let's say, 2019, could have their names on this post.
3 comments:
Good Q&A, Mack. I'd add Gsellman to that pitcher's list, with the way he' s dominated in St Lucie this year. Several great arms.
When I was at the game last night, they had a video on AAA GUYS. Bowman was on it a lot. He is articulate, and seems they really like that, so hopefully his pitching comes around.
I start to wonder if Rosario will be ready by mid-2016, along with Cecchini. Rosario terrific in Hi A as 19 year old, Cecchini having a breakout season with bat in AA.
I'd really like to keep Matz and Thor, and see what develops with Cecchini and Rosario the rest of the year. They along with Herrera and Flores could represent the future IF, other than 1B.
I'd add Dom Smith, Montero, and one of Cecchini/Herrera/Rosario to the list for a trade or trades.
This depth is really nice.
Dom Smith....he's starting to hit. A bunch of doubles....all I can say is, thank God of Lucas Duda.
Dom has seemed to lost the plus raw power they said he had when drafted. I know nobody expected 35 homer power from him. More like a Jon Orlerud type of bat. Great batting average, great glove, 20 homer power.
The silver lining is his age and aggressive assignments so far with him. Hopefully once his bat catches up to the leagues he's been playing in, he'll stop having to swap his power for contact. I think that's what he's been going through.
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