4/5/19

Reese Kaplan -- Don't Look Back, They Might Be Gaining On You!


With the hectic off-season that saw a great many new (and familiar) faces coming to join the 2019 Mets organization, many were surprised and dare I say refreshed by the activity and aggressiveness from the front office that’s been missing for quite some time.  Already Wilson Ramos, Robinson Cano, Keon Broxton, J.D. Davis, Edwin Diaz, Luis Avilan and Justin Wilson have made some positive contributions (and some negative) during the impressive 5-2 Mets start. 

However, there have been transactions made around baseball already now that the season has begun and others surely to follow as the result of long term injuries.  The Giants recently obtained defensive stalwart Kevin Pillar from the Blue Jays who is in his walk year and earning $5.8 million.  To secure his services they sent three prospects over to Toronto, only one of whom is considered substantial.  Pitcher Juan De Paula delivered a 1.72 ERA in A ball last year and was ranked as the Giants’ number 19 prospect.  The others – infielder Alen Hanson and reliever Derek Law.  Hanson didn’t make the team after an awful spring and a mediocre trial at the big league level.  Law was good in 2016 but terrible ever since. 

Now many Mets fans are probably scratching their heads, thinking…if BVW offered up $3.5 million in salary relief for Juan Lagares and only wanted De Paula in return, would the Giants have accepted?  The net cost to San Francisco would have been less and the resource shuffle would not have happened either.  They are both 30-year-old right handed .260 career hitters without much power nor speed.  Pillar edges Lagares a bit in both the power and speed departments while giving way to Lagares for defensive acumen.  However, he has health in his favor which is something people would understandably be gun shy regarding the Mets’ centerfielder.

This one example, however, is not the whole issue.  The Kansas City Royals have lost All-Star catcher Salvador Perez for the entire year (or more) with Tommy John Surgery.  The Colorado Rockies have lost first baseman Daniel Murphy with a broken finger.  The Washington Nationals have lost shortstop Trea Turner with a broken finger.  The New York Yankees have lost slugger Giancarlo Stanton.  The Pirates now are without Corey Dickerson.  Throughout baseball there are a myriad of teams dealing with key injuries and you have to wonder what BVW is doing when he certainly has some excess to offer up such as the aforementioned Lagares, Todd Frazier and possibly Dominic Smith.    

Thus far things have been going well in the won-lost column but the fact is that the depth the Mets have acquired is a bit of a luxury and might be better suited to clearing salary and/or replenishing the somewhat barren minors.  Right now if you dealt away a Juan Lagares the outfield options are somewhat slim – Rajai Davis, Carlos Gomez or Gregor Blanco – assuming the Tim Tebow circus is not yet scheduled for Queens.  However, dealing away Todd Frazier (once healthy) would seem to make perfect sense as he’s in his walk year, may not hit for average but does offer power, and is considered a plus in the clubhouse.  However, with the fast start by Pete Alonso, the continued hot hitting of Jeff McNeil and the contract proffered to Jed Lowrie, he’s the very definition of excess.  Even Travis d’Arnaud could be sent packing in the right deal since they acquired Rene Rivera to replace Devin Mesoraco with the thought that d’Arnaud was indeed somewhat marketable. 

Remember, Brodie, that roster construction is a marathon and not a sprint.  You may have taken a breather since the frantic off-season, but it’s certainly time to get back into the race.   

6 comments:

Tom Brennan said...

I think with things going well so far (yesterday's punchless game nothwithstanding) Brodie is not inclined to trade - yet. But I am highly confident he will be far more aggressive than Sandy was.

One would think Frazier and his way-excessive contract for this year is currently untradeable with him coming off injury now (0 for 4 in A ball last night).

Lagares could well go - I think Rahai Davis (2 hits and a steal, after a good spring) or Carlos Gomez (hitless and 3 Ks) could be as good or better than Juan. Of course, if he went to the Yankees, he'd become a 30-30 man.

I think Brodie is looking to first "acquire" Frazier, d'Arnaud, and Lowrie, and then see what he's got.

Anyone have an ETA on my favorite Beverly Hillbilly, Jed Lowrie?

Reese Kaplan said...

Last I heard he was shootin' at some food...

Tom Brennan said...

That pun of yours was not only crude, it was bubblin' crude. Oil that is.

Jim said...

I think it is presumptuous to be advising Brodie that it's a marathon, not a sprint, and in same post advising he make a series of (impossible) trades.

I think he knows.

Suggesting that we trade players that nobody wants is not really a worthwhile exercise.

In a week or whatever, Frazier replaces Davis on the roster. D'Arnaud replaces Nido (who is a bullpen catcher, at best).

Club misses Lowrie. It will help a lot when he's back.

Lagares is untradeable. Pillar is a much better player. I'm sure that teams know they can get Lagares for a song.

For now, I'd like to see Broxton and Lagares and Davis all start vs. LHP on Saturday. McNeil's knee is a concern and another day's rest could help. The majority of his futue innings are in the outfield, I believe, assuming Lowrie returns in fine fettle.

Yes, there are been some few trades in baseball, but typically there's just not going to be a lot of movement this time of year. It's April 4th. The Yankees don't want Frazier -- they've already had a good look at him.

On Frazier: Hey, I dread this guy taking a single inning away from Smith, McNeil, or Alonso. Davis has, regrettably, shown too many warts defensively to allow him to work through things at the plate. He needs to catch his breath in Syracuse and come back later in the season.

I believe Frazier will ultimately be released, but not until Lowrie returns and demonstrates full health. In the meantime, can he put together a few solid weeks? Can he give the team something? It's possible, while playing a league-average defense at 3B. My concern is Calloway giving him too much rope. I'd be thrilled and shocked if he can be traded.

Jimmy P

bill metsiac said...

Good analysis Jimmy, but if Frazier "puts together a few solid weeks" there's no reason why he'd be released. He would be paid his full salary if he were, and those weeks would win him a prominent spot on the bench, especially PHing vs LHRPs late in games.

It's only if he does NOT have productive weeks that he might be considered for release.

Jim said...

Bill, my thinking on that is that his baseline the past 3-4 years is a .215 BA. If he puts together a few good weeks, he'll follow that will a month of abject misery -- at which point he'll be released.

I'm not betting on the few good weeks. Just saying that it's the hope and that it's within the realm of possibility.

I see him as a last vestige of Sandy's approach as GM. We'll have to live with this abysmal farm system for a number of years. Fortunately, there are a few bright spots.

Jimmy P