11/6/20

Reese Kaplan: What Problems Must Steve Cohen Fix?



The next phase for Steve Cohen's brain trust is to figure out what the Mets issues are that must first be addressed.  After all, spending this past season struggling to stay out of last place instead of fighting for a pennant suggests that having good offense alone is not enough to be competitive in the standings.  There are a great many decisions to be made, the priority order of them still open to debate but the actual needs pretty much obvious to anyone with even a passing interest in the Mets.  I'm going to present the list.  It's up to fans and Cohen cohorts to ascertain the sequence of priorities.

 



For a club that grew itself based upon the strength of its pitching, this past short season was like watching a horror movie in which you were faced with some of the worst hurlers the league had to offer.  Once you got past the successful Jacob deGrom and the surprising David Peterson, the Mets were pretty much throwing batting practice to the opposition (and it showed).  

 

The bullpen wasn't much better.  Even the bad first week by Edwin Diaz kept many from believing what they were seeing as the season progressed.  You can't make up the numbers -- a 2-1 record with a 1.75 ERA and 50 strikeouts in just 24.2 IP.  Some are even suggesting the Mets sign one of the many closers on the market for theoretically less money than Diaz will cost as he approaches the end of his arbitration period and free agency is on the horizon.  

 

The problem is that aside from these two starters and one reliever, the rest of the pitching staff was almost indescribably bad.  Now they are stuck with Brad Brach and Dellin Betances exercising their player options for 2021, so unless both rebound like Diaz did this past season, they're starting way behind the eight ball.  Seth Lugo may be called a starter due to the three vacancies there, but he was a 2.00 reliever and about triple that number when in the rotation.  I don't know about you, but it seems to me when a guy excels at one thing and struggles in another, you give him the situation where he can excel with ease.  





Catcher is another black hole for the Mets with Wilson Ramos and Robinson Chirinos bought out, Rene Rivera on the free agent list and little accomplished by the pair of Tomas Nido and Ali Sanchez.  To hear most folks tell the tale, J.T. Realmuto is the only option available, but former All Star James McCann will be a whole lot cheaper and provide the staff with the top notch defense back there they've been missing since the days of Charlie O'Brien.  

 

They need to decide how they're going to handle the third base position which right now is also something of a black hole with no glove types like J.D. Davis or unproven position switchers like Amed Rosario or Robinson Cano or even Jeff McNeil.  

 

The outfield is the area that worries me greatly.  You have Michael Conforto, of course, for right field duty, but after that it's a slew of DH types trying to man an outfield position.  With the dismal pitching and poor defense the Mets place onto the field each night, they really need to improve how they handle batted balls.  To do that will require parting ways with some capable hitters but that's what needs to be done.

 

On field management is a big unknown.  Luis Rojas didn't have the time to prepare properly for the 2020 season and frankly some of the horrific performance does fall squarely on his head.  He had plenty of minor league managerial experience and coaching duties gave him much greater familiarity with the players than a true newcomer would have had, but they were playing down instead of up.  The thinkers in the front office need to decide if they would be better off letting Rojas have a full season to show what he can do (at minimal cost) or if they would be better off with a proven skipper. 

 

Front office management is yet another decision point for the ballclub.  Most folks are frustrated with the job done by super agent Brodie Van Wagenen wearing his GM clothing.  I think some may have backed off a bit given the turnarounds by both Diaz and Cano this past season.  However, there's no excusing the many members of what could have been the future peddled away for scraps and has-beens from other teams.  It's likely going to require Sandy Alderson's input to help sway Steve Cohen's mind about whether or not a year three will or will not exist for BVW.  

 

There are things that need to be done in terms of analytics, the farm system and international scouting.  All of these facets of baseball operation will require a smart guy like Alderson as team president to help advise what needs to be done when someone has the ability and willingness to spend for success.  There is optimism to be had, for sure, but Rome wasn't built in a day.  It was not an overnight destruction of the Mets organization done by the Wilpons, so it's not likely to be an overnight cure.  

4 comments:

Tom Brennan said...

Cohen's challenges will be very real. I still think if you fixed catcher, you'd almost be done fixing the offense, but with no DH and a desire to upgrade defense, some changes will be made to alleviate log jams.

Fix the pitching? Probably the one unique season to sign lots of real one year talent and hope that the likes of Matt Allen and Josh Wolf are ready in 2022. Who knows if 2020, and getting to pitch to higher end hitters in the off site, may have accelerated their journey to the Mets. And sign a big arm or two, no matter the cost. If Thor returns healthy, re-sign him too, assuming NYC and its bright lights are expected to return to normal in the Big Apple in 2022.

Don't trade any future star prospects.

Mike Steffanos said...

Agree with all of this. This is a multi year process, in the meantime, I'm still waiting for the plan to shorten the lines at Shake Shack

Zozo said...

I would most certainly like Lindor if we don’t get massacred in the return they want for one year of control. I just read that it would take either of Alonso or Dom, Rosario or Giminez plus a top 3 minor leaguer. That I believe is too much and would just wait until next years offseason. Next year you have 4 or 5 of the top shortstops that reach free agency. I don’t think all of them get signed to extensions so if you need to upgrade at SS, that would be the time to do so.

So instead I would go all in on free agency this year because it wouldn’t decimate our farm system and would only cost us money. Money that should be at a discount because of the pandemic. So as long as we don’t bid against ourselves there shouldn’t be too much competition for some of the top players.

So I would try and get at least one or both of Springer and Realmuto. I believe about $22 million each per season.

Next if you want to upgrade at SS I would go for DiDi at 12-15 mil per season
Next I would bring back Justin Turner at $10 million per season for 2-3 seasons.
Also getting these 2 last guys won’t clog up your system for Mauricio, Baty or Vientos.
So to get those 4 guys you would add about $70-75 mil per season.

Now with our access of players JD, Rosario and Nimmo, I would try and trade them
For some young pitching. They all should be desirable because they aren’t making too much money and have a few years of control still available. So build up the farm

Next pitchers should be available for trade that are making too much money. So some teams may be willing to pay down some of their pay just to get rid of them. I would look into getting one guy like a Darvish or Carrasco. They probably won’t cost too much as far as prospects and would be a great #2 pitcher to add to our rotation.

If that doesn’t work or in addition to the one of the above pitchers I would go for a Charlie Morton or Taijuan Walker.

I know a lot of you will say we are gonna go way over our payroll limit and this is what other owners were afraid of by approving Cohen,but this is similar to following the Dodgers model when they took on so much salary from the Red Sox and didn’t have to empty there farm system to do so.

I also believe we would lose a couple of draft picks from these signings but believe if there is a year to lose a fcouple of picks it would be this year. The reasoning behind that is because this draft will be stacked and so many prospects many not be known and slip through the cracks because no one was able to watch them as much because of games being cancelled because of Covid. So you might find a DeGrom in the 5th round?

Also spending money now will most likely save you money in the future. By signing DiDi and Turner you aren’t spending $300 million on a Lindor. That way Mauricio, Baty or Vientos.
Springer can move to LF in a few years when one of our young OF can come up and take over on the cheap.
Realmuto can split time in a few years at DH and catcher with Alvarez.
Plus not signing a pitcher to a long term deal this offseason so when Matthew Allen, Thomas Szapuki, or Josh Wolf can come in on the cheap in a few years.

That’s when your payroll will come down and plus you are filling your farm system each every year.

So spend the money this year and we won’t ask you to go after a free agent for a few years.
So

Eddie from Corona said...

Zozo I agree with your premise for but that’s a lot of dollars

But yes spend to fix your problems and keep your asset to sustain your success