11/11/10

Cutnpaste: - FIP, Luis Castillo, Jose Reyes, Heath Bell, and Jeromy Burnitz

FIP:

Usually a constant is added to scale the FIP to the league average, so the formula winds up looking like:   (13 * HR + 3 * BB - 2 * K)/IP + 3.20


(Not to confuse everyone right off the bat, but BB can also be represented as BB + HBP - IBB, which forgives a pitcher for walks his manager ordered but penalizing him for beanball.)

There is also a stat called xFIP (aka expected FIP) that utilizes many more pitching components in an attempt to normalize for the luck in home runs allowed, but it's outside the scope of this article. - Yahoo  




Mack Ade
 Luis Castillo:
 2011 Projection: - Despite the fact that Moneyball glorifies OBP, and that is Castillo’s traditional strength, there is no doubt that Sandy Alderson will try to either swap Castillo for another bad contract or release him outright. Either way, it probably doesn’t make a difference since the Mets are going nowhere in 2011. If by chance he can get his legs back, and the Mets manager can play him sporadically enough to stay fresh, he could play well enough in the first three months of the season to delude a playoff-contending team into giving away a prospect for his services come July. It’s not much of a risk from the Mets’ perspective, considering that 2011 is a rebuilding year and neither Ruben Tejada nor Reese Havens belong in MLB yet.- Mets Today  




Mack Ade
 Jose Reyes:



Reyes is due $11 million in 2011, and will be a free agent after that. He hit .282/.321/.428 in 133 games last season, which is well off expectations. His walks were way down. Still, he’s one of the better shortstops in the game. And remember: his offseason and spring workout/prep schedule was basically destroyed by that thyroid condition, and it’s not unreasonable to assume that a lot of his struggles were a function of starting off all late and awkward like that.



If I was a contender and in need of a shortstop, I wouldn’t hesitate to kick the tires or express interest or whatever it is GMs do this time of year. - NBC  



Heath Bell:
 Speaking of the Padres, what about listening to offers on Heath Bell?



He’s quietly become one of the game’s better closers, but he made $4 million last year and should see a significant increase if he goes to arbitration this year.



For a team like San Diego, does it really make sense to spend $7 million or so of the budget on a guy that will pitch maybe 75 innings?

Doesn’t seem like it, especially not in a park as cavernous as Petco, with a manager that made his name as a pitching coach.



Bleacher Report  



Jeromy Burnitz:



Trade: Sent to Cleveland in Paul Byrd deal


After trade: 1,563 games played, .254/.345/.486 OPS+ 112


Analysis – Poor trade for Mets. A former first-round pick of the club, he was run out of town by manager Dallas Green, better known as the guy who shredded the arms of Generation K. - 360Mets  


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