6/4/13

Soto - Mets Prospect Stock Watch: #11 - #15



Before the season even began, 2013 was always going to be able the development of our top prospects in the minors and setting up for future seasons. With that in mind lets take a look at our Mack's Mets Pre-Season Top 25 Rankings and see how our guys are doing.

(States as of 6/4/2013)


#15- CF Matt Den Dekker
(AAA) 7 Day Disabled List
No Games Played
Stock- Sliding

Den Dekker seemed destined to force the hand of the Mets and actually start the season with the big league club. However a late spring training injury has sidelined him this entire season so far. He's expected back soon but developed atrophy in his broken wrist and will need some time to rehab it. Plus with a number of OFers already on the 40 man roster, it'll be difficult to get Den Dekker on it to be called up to the main club. Not only this but he also has lost valuable development time to improve on his currently high minor league K rate.


#14- LHP Jack Leathersich 
Binghamton (AA) 
20 GP, 1-0 Record, 1.37 ERA, 1.105 WHIP, 5.1 H/9, 4.4 BB/9, 16.7 K/9
Stock- Ridiculously Up

The Leather Rocket just keeps on soaring higher and higher. Just look at that ridiculous K/9 rate....in Double A no less, the level where most prospects go to have their dreams crushed. While the walks are on the high side they are offset by the fact that he just doesn't give up any hits. Usually guys with 4.0+ BB/9 rates have WHIPs above 1.500 but not Leathersich. I don't care how you keep guys off base, whether its not walking guys or not giving up hits, as long as your doing it like Leathersich is your gonna be a good pitcher. Not much longer before he heads to Las Vegas. Might even get a call-up to the big league club in September at someone on the 40 man roster's expense.


#13- RHP Jacob DeGrom
Port St. Lucie (A+)/Binghamton (AA)
11 Starts, 3-5 Record, 4.71 ERA, 1.477 WHIP, 10.4 H/9, 2.9 BB/9, 7.8 K/9
Stock- Slipping

As i said above, Double A is where a majority of prospects dreams go to die and sadly DeGrom has been very inconsistent since being called up to Binghamton. The one thing going for him is the fact that his BB and K rates (usually good indicators of a pitcher's "stuff" are still in line with career norms. Perhaps it's just a level adjustment that DeGrom is going through since he has in 2 or 3 of his starts pitched VERY well but until we start to see that H/9 rate come back down we'll be wary.


#12- RHP Domingo Tapia
Port St. Lucie (A+)
9 starts, 2-4 Record, 3.58 ERA, 1.221 WHIP, 6.5 H/9, 4.5 BB/9, 7.6 K/9
Stock- Slipping.

How can a prospect's stock be down with decent stats? By failing to meet projections. Tapia has a fastball that regularly hits 100mph and a slider that sits in the mid 90's sounds like an organizations dream pitching project right? However you would think with that kind of stuff his K/9 rate would be MUCH higher, especially in Single A. That's the disappointing part for me so far and it reminds me of a certain pitcher many years ago Amborix Burgos, another guy who threw REALLY hard with 1 breaking pitch that ended up flaming out. I'm ok with his BB rate but I want to see more K's!! Until then I'm putting him on my back burner of prospect watching.


#11- RHP Juerys Familia
New York (MLB)
8 GP, 0-0 Record, 3.48 ERA, 1.645 WHIP, 8.7 H/9, 6.1 BB/9, 6.1 K/9
Stock- Graduated

Familia is now considered one of the pieces in the Mets bullpen and will continue to be once he comes back from the Disabled List. The ERA is deceiving as the stats have been flat out awful. Half of the runners that he has inherited have scored and he is walking as many as he is striking which is too many and not enough respectively. I'm going to graduate Familia off the Prospect List but not as #11. If we were keeping him on, Familia probably would have dropped down to the 20's at least.

4 comments:

Michael S. said...

DeGrom is a converted position player and I think the trouble he's having is in making adjustments. I'd hold off on calling his dream over at this point. I'd expect him to end the year in AA and begin next year at AAA. Long-term I've always thought of him as either a reliever or trade bait anyway.

Mack Ade said...

Frank Viola was very excited when dwGrom arrived in Savannah, sort of like when Gsselman arrived this year. A pleasant surprise from someone you didn't know was in the system.

We've also seen this before with Gorski.

AA is the back breaker.

Michael S. said...

But Gorski and deGrom are two different types of pitchers. I didn't think Gorski ever had great stuff and deGrom does. He might work it out in time.

Mack Ade said...

deGrom sat at 94 in A-ball which is good enough at that level. Bats there swing at every fast ball.

But, you need to pound the zone and work the corners at AA against a much more seasoned, patient hitter.