Good
morning.
Why Tommy John
Is Against the Surgery That Bears His
Name –
It doesn’t bother me to watch my
legacy being upstaged by an operation that has saved plenty of ballplayers’
careers. What does bother me is that my name is now attached to something that
affects more children than pro athletes. I was in my 30s and playing major
league ball for nearly a dozen years before needing the operation. Today, 57
percent of all Tommy John surgeries are done on kids between 15 and 19 years
old. One in 7 of those kids will never fully recover.
But this is about
more than just baseball and elbows. It’s about the way we are raising our
children. The nation’s youth-sports industry is a $15 billion business — and
more and more, that business pushes children to make decisions early about which
sport they want to play, and then to pursue that sport to the exclusion of all
others. And kids’ bodies are paying the price. The rate of ACL tears in kids
has been increasing by 2.3 percent per year for two decades, and about 1 in 5
teens in contact sports have had at least one concussion. And if a child is
spending more than eight months annually in one sport, he or she is nearly
three times more likely to experience an overuse injury in their hip or knee.
13.
Will Toffey, 3B Video
Drafted:
4th Round, 2017 from Vanderbilt (OAK)
Age 24.0 Height 6′
2″ Weight 205 Bat
/ Thr L / R FV 40
Tool
Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game
Power Run Fielding Throw
40/50 50/50 30/40 50/50 50/55 70/70
Toffey
was scouted heavily as a senior in high school as his teammate, right-handed
pitcher Austin DeCarr, went in the third round to the Yankees and signed for $1
million; Toffey was a Yankees’ 23rd round pick, but he ended up going to
Vanderbilt. He was an eligible sophomore in 2016 but hadn’t progressed much in
two years, still not showing much power or loft at the plate to make pitchers
pay for using his eye to get into good counts. That changed in 2017, when
Toffey’s OPS jumped 424 points. He went from 0 homers to 12 and cut his
strikeout rate by over 5%, all while continuing to show above average defense
at third base. Since he was 22 years old during that breakout season and has
only average raw power, some scouts weren’t sold on Toffey’s everyday
potential, so he lasted until the fourth round where Oakland took him. Toffey
was traded to the Mets this summer in the Jeurys Familia trade. He needed to
perform and move quickly through the minors to stay on schedule to reach his
everyday upside and he’s mostly done that. Toffey will open in Double-A at age
24 and could get a big league look in late 2019 if he keeps hitting this way,
but if he shows more corner platoon upside, as scouts expect him to, he’ll work
through some growing pains in the upper levels this year.
Fangraphs top 100 prospects –
#68 – SS Ronny
Mauricio - This is what Fernando Tatis, Jr.
looked like at age 17.
Much of scouting
teenage prospects has to do with identifying good athletes and good frames, and
like many of this century’s All-Star, power-hitting shortstops, Ronny Mauricio
is both. A broad-shouldered but lean 6-foot-3, Mauricio looks like Manny Machado, and Hanley
Ramirez, and Carlos Correa, and a host of
other super talents all did at age 17: long-limbed, with surprising grace,
flexibility, and coordination for someone this age and size, and possessed of
physical gifts that might enable them to stay at shortstop while also growing
into huge power. The Goldilocks Zone.
But Mauricio is also
more than just a frame/athleticism/projection bet. He has relatively advanced
feel to hit for a teenage switch-hitter, his timing is fine, and he hasn’t
exhibited any confidence-altering, contact-related red flags, like lever length
or poor plate discipline. He may outgrow shortstop but if he does, it means big
power on a plus-gloved third baseman. We were surprised by Mauricio’s GCL
assignment, and then surprised further by both his admirable statistical
performance there and his late-season promotion to Kingsport. He might be
ushered through the system more quickly than we anticipated when he signed.
Regardless of where he’s playing, once Mauricio turns a physical corner, he’s
likely to rocket up this list.
Ed Hearn Former World Series champion Met, who
overcame obstacles to inspire others –
Ed Hearn was
25 when he finally got his shot in the big leagues, and, as life would have it,
he won a World Series later that year.
The following spring,
at 26, the Mets’ backup catcher was traded for one of the best pitchers in New
York history — and, in turn, helped complete one of the most reviled
transactions in Kansas City Royals history. It also was that season, 1987, when
his baseball life effectively ended.
Six years later —
after battling disease, undergoing his first kidney transplant and dealing with
the mood-altering medication keeping him alive — he tried to take his real
life, too.
Boston
Globe baseball writer Nick Cafardo
dies at Red Sox spring training at 62 –
Boston Globe baseball columnist Nick Cafardo died suddenly while covering Boston Red
Sox spring training in Fort Myers, Fla., Thursday.
He was 62.
Cafardo suffered an
embolism at the team’s training facility and team medics were unable to restore
life-sustaining functions, according to The Globe.
“Nick was one of the
best people to ever walk through our doors — generous with his time and
insights, immensely knowledgeable, deeply devoted to the Globe,’’ the Globe’s
editor, Brian McGrory, said. “He had a view of
the Red Sox and the game on a national scale that is virtually unrivaled.
10 comments:
Toffey can push his way to the head of the line by HITTING.
In a parallel universe, it would be interesting to see how Mauricio would do this year in the majors. Would he adjust and accelerate...or would it ruin him?
Specialization can certainly lead to overuse injuries. So do radar guns.
Is there such a thing as "Shortstop rich"? With Amed looking like he's ready to realize his potential, Gimenez a year away from nipping at his heels, and Mauricio on the way a few years later, it'll be a lot of fun to see who will be our SS of the future And who will move to 2B, 3B, or even OF.
I'm looking forward to it
Bill raises a good round table discussion topic. It’s my thinking that Guerrero should go to the outfield this year and Mauricio will go next year. Give Mauricio another year of comfort so that at 17 no one is messing with his mentality, and Guerrero hasn’t played much anyway so since he’s a bit less range anyway, let’s start the process.
Tom -
I have Toffey currently as a BLUE prospect... hit .254 last year in AA... no rush here other than the fact that he will play at 24-years old.
Bill -
And... you forgot Sheryren Newton
Texas -
will schedule for next week
I'll never forget that Ed Hearn, an "extra" in the Mets' cast of characters, did something very classy when he was traded, taking out an ad in the NY newspapers to thank the fans and the club for his time in New York. That was done by others with much higher profiles but it was unusual and unexpected from a role player. Classy guy. I read the longer story somewhere about his health issues and his difficult life.
Great piece, Mack. Glad Tommy John is speaking up on behalf of young athletes.
Been saying this for a year: 0ne of these SS should be playing CF. Might be a timing issue, to wait a bit, but soon. I think Rosario might be the guy.
Jimmy P
Yes great piece. Tommy John's son is a Dr. (Dr. Tommy John) who hasva book oit about this subject. Minimize Injury, Maximize Performance: A Sports Parent's Survival Guide
Jimmy -
I do expect Newton to wind up in the outfield someday.
You don't see many 6-4 shortstops in this game
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