3/22/19

Reese Kaplan -- Roster Permutations & Combinations



We’re getting down to the final days of Spring Training and there is still uncertainty about who will come north to New York to begin the season with the big club.  Let’s get the sure thing out of the way first:

Position Players (8)
Robinson Cano
Amed Rosario
Jeff McNeil
Wilson Ramos
Brandon Nimmo
Michael Conforto
Keon Broxton (out of options)
Juan Lagares (too expensive to trade)

Starting Pitchers (5)
Jacob deGrom
Noah Syndergaard
Zack Wheeler
Steven Matz
Jason Vargas

Relief Pitchers (5)
Edwin Diaz
Jeurys Familia
Seth Lugo
Robert Gsellman
Justin Wilson

On the Bubble (8)

Dom Smith
Pete Alonso
J.D. Davis
Luis Guillorme
Adeiny Hechavarria
Devin Mesoraco
Luis Avilan
Ryan O’Rourke

Long Shots (7)
Carlos Gomez
Rajai Davis
Gregor Blanco
Rymer Liriano
Kyle Dowdy
Tyler Bashlor
Tim Peterson

Walking Wounded (3)
Yoenis Cespedes
Todd Frazier
Jed Lowrie
Travis d’Arnaud (per Newsday)

Another way of looking at the roster decisions have to do with positions.  Starting you will need:

1B
2B          Robinson Cano
SS          Amed Rosario
3B          Jeff McNeil
LF           Brandon Nimmo
CF         
RF          Michael Conforto
C            Wilson Ramos

Now, of course, that’s just one way to go.  McNeil has been getting lots of time in the OF with the thought he would play there alongside Nimmo and Conforto when Lowrie is available to play 3B.  However, there needs to be some temporary finagling given the Lowrie and Frazier injuries.

Another way to go would be to use J.D. Davis at 3B and start McNeil in LF with Nimmo shifting to CF.  Given Davis’ flirtation with .300 all spring, that’s an offensive oriented approach and another right handed bat in the lineup.  However, the scuttlebutt out of spring training is that the Mets were less than happy with the former Astro’s defense at 3B. 

Even more out-of-the-box would be to start Dom Smith in LF with Nimmo in CF, Pete Alonso at 1B and McNeil at 3B.  Last year Smith looked fairly lost in the OF, but when you’re hitting .349 you probably want to get creative to keep the bat in the lineup. 

My take is that the temporary overcrowding will be solved with Pete Alonso in AAA for a few weeks, Smith starting at 1B, McNeil at 3B and one of the two Gold Glove types in CF.  That would make room on the bench for J.D. Davis, a backup shortstop and a backup catcher.  One more bench player would be needed.

If were up to me I would make Luis Guillorme the backup shortstop, Devin Mesoraco the backup catcher and the extra player would be Travis d’Arnaud.  That way they could minimize d’Arnaud’s strain while allowing him time to heal.  If he continues swinging a decent bat, then he could become trade bait.   (This recommendation preceded Newsday's revelation that the Mickey Callaway said TdA isn't ready yet defensively or offensively).  In that case the extra player may be someone who will ride the Syracuse shuttle but more likely it will create space for Hechavarria.  

On Mesoraco – he, Hechavarria, Avilan, Rajai Davis and others have what are called upward mobility clauses.  They have the right to try to land a 40-man roster position with another club.  If they do, that doesn’t mean they’re necessarily gone.  The Mets can then do the same and pay them whatever salary they agreed upon when they inked the minor league deal.  

In some cases, like Mesoraco, the Mets had the option to extend that deadline by making a $100,000 payment which they declined to do.)

For the bullpen I think Avilan is close to a no-brainer.  The Ryan O’Rourke one is a little surprising given his status coming into spring training, but his pitching has been outstanding and his recent post-injury minor league success was remarkable.  It would then give the Mets a 7-man pen with three lefties – Wilson, Avilan and O’Rourke.  Wow, when was the last time that happened?



Where is gets really interesting is when the IL players return and Pete Alonso passes his service time deadline.  There will be no room at the inn.

5 comments:

Tom Brennan said...

I am happy to get TDA on the IL, if what Newsday wrote is true, and keep him in warm Florida to continue to be as 100% ready as he can be. Keep Mesoraco, at least for now.

I do not want TDA anywhere near Syracuse - it is SNOWING in Binghamton and Syracuse today - PLAY BALL!

Lagares most likely gets a pass for now, because of that $9 million salary, but if he does not stop being dead wood, he will be gone before too long. Keon and Gomez would be just fine.

Hector Santiago was overlooked. Hector starts the day game for the split squad, with Vargas throwing the nite game today. If Hector snaps back and dominates today after last Sunday's awful start, he could make the club.

Mack Ade said...

Question...

Do we still have Meseraco?

Tom Brennan said...

Mack, I think his possible exit option is AFTER today's games.

I just realized who the U.S. House of Representatives Congressperson for the district including Citifield is: AOC. Wonder if she is a Mets fan, and if she thinks free Mets tickets are a basic human right?

Mack Ade said...

I started a similar post this week which left my predictions to the remaining members of the 25-man out there. They were:

One starting third baseman
Two utility infielders
One starting leftfielders
Two utility outfielders
One utility catcher
Two more relief pitches

Just realized that Opening Day will happen next week, day before my next column, so completing this will never happen.

Right now my thoughts are:

Recent statements that Lowrie still hasn't begun any activities and Frazier is only tossing balls around, lead me to name Jeff McNeil as my staring third baseman

My other starter (left field) would be my current most productive bat... Dominic Smith

UT players would star with JD Davis that can play multiple positions, Luis Guillorme, Broxton, and Lagares.

Justin Wilson and Kyle Dowdy round out my 25


Reese Kaplan said...

Yes, the guys with upward mobility clauses are free to try to catch on with another club but the Mets have in effect the right of first refusal. Whether or not the Mets can play him in the interim, THAT I don't know.

If the Mets are honest about bringing north the best 25 then Kyle Dowdy belongs nowhere near this team.