10/16/21

Reese Kaplan -- Sitting on Your Hands Won't Build a Winning Team


Suppose I offered up a utility ballplayer capable of playing multiple positions in the infield and outfield who in 2021 hit .274 with 4 HRs and drove in 14 runs in just 84 ABs?  That would seem like a decent level of productivity for someone who could substitute for the many injured and anemic hitters that were getting regular time in games, no?  Hell, he even took the mound for 2/3 of an inning and finished with a perfect 0.00 ERA.   

Apparently the Mets thought so little of Mr. Reliability that he walked away as a free agent.  Now the fact that Brandon Drury will not be a part of the 2022 Mets isn't going to make or break the club, it still seems to me that you should show that you value the players who help you during their time in games and show less affection for the ones who do not.  

Going forward the Mets do indeed need to make credible additions to their starting roster, but as outlined just yesterday, the bench players they embraced during 2021 helped contribute to their demise from the upper level in the division.  It would seem that the capable bench types should be embraced and not merely discarded.  

Granted, the Mets did not make the free agency decision about Drury.  He figured he had a decent 2021 season and would likely be treated more like a major league player by another franchise, so he went off to sell his services to the highest bidder.  It would appear that the Mets are focusing way too much on the front office personnel, departing major league free agents, manager and reclamation of respect than they are about ALL of the pieces necessary to build a winning ballclub.  


Now, as a point of comparison, broken-nosed Kevin Pillar was signed to a two-year contract and proved credible if not outstanding during this past year.  He hit only .231 with an impressive 15 HRs but fell below Drury in OBP, SLG, OPS and OPS+.  

Now Pillar was paid a respectable if not outstanding $3.6 million in 2021 and his contract has two-way options for 2022.  If the Mets keep him, his salary nearly doubles to $6.4 million.  The player can opt in at $2.9 million or the Mets can opt out at $1.4 million.  It would seem to me that the wiser move here would be to let Pillar walk and pay the $1.4 million, but these are the Mets and logic is often cloaked under several layers of player name familiarity.  

Of course, standing in Pillar's favor is the fact he is a natural outfielder.  Now-gone Drury has played 126 games in his entire career out there, but Pillar has done more than that in a single season.  The Mets are most definitely in a quandary when it comes to outfielders for 2022 with Michael Conforto allegedly already out the door, Dom Smith being peddled off a poor season, J.D. Davis rumored to be cut loose due to injury and an inability to play the outfield well, and Albert Almora, Jr. already gone.  That pretty much leaves an outfield of Brandon Nimmo and the Mets most definitely need to fortify this part of their roster.  

There are a myriad of other needs as the Mets try to reengineer the lineup for 2022.  No one is sure about the 2B and 3B positions.  They are contractually obligated to James McCann for three more years but received less productivity than was hoped given the $10 million per season he's being paid.  

The starting rotation right now consists of a recovering Jacob deGrom, a horrific secod half by Taijuan Walker, an uncertain expectation for Tylor Megill and an embarrassment by Carlos Carrasco.  Everyone is assuming they will make strong efforts to retain free agents Marcus Stroman and Noah Syndergaard but nothing is carved in stone.  

Free agent Rich Hill may not be headed to an All Star game, but a 5-inning pitcher with a sub-4.00 ERA is not a bad fill-in choice should none of these other uncertainties evolve poorly.  

Then there's the bullpen led off by potentially departing free agents Aaron Loup and Jeurys Familia.  While no one will shed tears if Familia and his salary depart, Loup is very much at the top of most folks' lists of who the Mets should try hardest to retain.  

Beyond these two variables, you have the usual run of Edwin Diaz, Seth Lugo, Drew Smith and various other bodies.  It looks pretty weak without Loup.  Even with Loup this bullpen likely won't strike fear into opponents' hearts.  

The Mets have been quite vocal about solving the front office and manager issues in the sequence of POBO, GM and field manager.  That approach sounds right on paper and will be applauded if they can actually make it happen.  However, right now they have none of the above and the first eyebrow-raising free agent departure suggests that players on the roster are a distant fourth in their priorities.  

Fourth might be appropriate because the club likely won't finish any higher than that unless they realize you cannot design and build a club on a whiteboard.  You actually have to have all channels open and working at the same time, not the way you've scripted it to transpire.  

12 comments:

Raw said...

As per your article the Mets have a lot to do this off season and as every day passes and we hear another candidate has been crossed off the list as possible POBO it now seems that the Mets might not get someone to fill this capacity until mid November as the earliest. The individual would then have to appoint a GM which might take another week. With QO going out Nov. 1 and deadline to add minor league players to the 40 man roster Nov. 19 it now looms likely that these decisions once again will depend on Anderson to do.

It always seems to a Mets fan that the Mets make these decisions in slow motion. I noticed that as soon as the season is over the Atlanta Braves are one of the first team signing free agents. It seems they know what they want and go after them quickly. It could be Stroman gets signed by them, you never know.

Mack Ade said...

I truly wish that the Mets would operate 2022 with the goal of being a WS team in 2023 but that just isn't going to happen.

BTW

Offered my services to Steve to fill in until they find the right POBO

Tom Brennan said...

Raw, it sure seems dysfunctional until proven otherwise. Mack made them an offer they shouldn’t refuse.

I’d hire Brad Pitt if it were me.

Tom Brennan said...

All readers should read John From Albany’s 2 part series today and tomorrow at 10 AM, and ask yourself…how good exactly are Alvarez, Baty, Mauricio, and Mangum, and how soon will they arrive in Queens to really help? I think Mack’s point of making 2023 the key focus (including all 4 of them) is the correct one. Do NOT mess up the long term.

Gary Seagren said...

Where do I go to get John's post? Also I hope we don't lose ANY draft picks but when do they listen to me.

Remember1969 said...

Hey Mack, if you need a GM or a manager, don't forget your friends!

Remember1969 said...

To Mack's point above, I would expand his comment of "operate 2022 with the goal of being a WS team in 2023" to be "operate 2022 with the goal of being a WS team in 2023 and beyond, and build he foundation for sustainable success"

I touched on this in my Ramblings article of October 4. They are set up well this year with draft picks at 11, 14 and probably one and possibly two early compensatory picks. That can yield a good haul of young talent that will be ready by 2024 or 2025. Don't sacrifice those picks this year for free agent with some 2021 luster .. although the free agent list this year is not particularly strong. A solid case could be made that the Mets currently have the top outfielder and the top pitcher on that list.

Let's proceed conservatively in 2022, get the front office in place and build the system for the future. Pieces can be filled in as necessary to field a competitive team in the short term.

Paul Articulates said...

The Mets are in a really tough position right now. The POBO search is not going well, with the best candidates being held by current teams or just not interested in trying to turn around this cursed franchise. In many posts on this site there have been calls to "do it right" from the top down, but unfortunately "right" means taking the time to get the right leadership installed. That time it takes looks like "sitting on their hands" and is frustrating to a fan base that wants to win tomorrow.

Mack's comment about 2023 above is realistic. By the time the "right" leadership is in place, other teams will have taken most of the available pieces to build on. That said, Sandy needs to retain the right pieces that are on our roster and not give them away in desperation trades. Earlier this week we had discussed the need to avoid "selling low" on talent that had poor 2021 seasons. Remember that for every talented prospect we have coming up through the system, there are also yesterday's prospects on the roster (Conforto, McNeil, Smith) that have shown in prior seasons that they have what it takes.

TexasGusCC said...

I was thinking of Drury yesterday and thinking how JD Davis would be prefect for that position. He can be an offensive corner utility player, ans I believe a good one. The Mets have about 34 players left and need to add some youngsters to protect from Rule 5, so a place for Brandon Drury isn’t very available right now.

Tom Brennan said...

Hey Gus
On Drury, I did note that his AAA #s were just .257./.318/.448, far from great, so perhaps he over-performed in his time with the Mets. I'd protect the kids on the 40, not him, as I imagine there are a lot of Brandon Drury types around BB that will be left off the 40 man rosters of teams.

Remember1969 said...

Tom, I agree with with that statement. This may be fodder for a full article, but I got thinking just yesterday about utility players and how it seems to be dumb luck to pick the right one at the right time. Remember everyone clamoring for Marwin Gonzalez after his big year with Houston? Kike Hernandez is on a hot streak right now, but is he a long term player? I am sure there are a lot of players like that that.

Tom Brennan said...

Remember 1969, sounds like a great topic for you to tackle.