Tom Brennan - THE NIMMO MODEL
Some guys are good at fixing stuff.
Like that fine, friendly handyman Brandon Nimmo.
Besides his hugely timely 10th
homer Sunday, Nimmo also stroked 2 more homers on Monday and now is flashing a stunning and terrific .287/.410/.602 stat line through Monday.
In case you were
wondering, that .410 OBP?
5th
best in the majors.
That .602 slug %?
4th best in the majors.
WOW! WOW! WOW!
In a recent Post article,
Zach Wheeler said of Brandon Nimmo, “Everything he does is done with a purpose and he
works hard and it is starting to pay off for him. He’s unlocking some stuff.’’
Nimmo himself said “I had to go through struggles and re-identify myself and keep adjusting."
Nimmo himself said “I had to go through struggles and re-identify myself and keep adjusting."
And that is what sets
him apart – not that he is doing so incredibly well now – it is that, unlike many guys, he
seems to have strenuously looked at all of his shortcomings and addressed them head
on.
The guy drafted high
in the first round in 2011 was a puzzler to, frankly, all of us. Let's recap his progress:
He had a brief cup of coffee in 2011, but hit just .248 in 2012 in Brooklyn. Just 79 games in 2 years.
He had a brief cup of coffee in 2011, but hit just .248 in 2012 in Brooklyn. Just 79 games in 2 years.
On
to Full A ball in 2013, Nimmo still missed some games, but did play 110 games, fanned a very high 131 times, and hit just
2 homers. I was not feeling great about this
1st round pick at this point - at all. Even Jayne Mansfield felt he was a bust.
However, in his 4th
season in 2014, he had a fine half season in St Lucie (.322/.448/.458).
He, however,
only managed .238/.339/.396 in Binghamton in the second half of his year 4 season. Compare to Tim
Tebow currently in Binghamton in his 2nd year: .239/.324/.367.
At that point of progress in their respective careers, you have doubts about both, although Nimmo’s Ks
dramatically improved to 105 in 127 games showed he was fixing some things.
In 2015, injuries
limited the Nimster to 376 at bats and hit a mensa mensa .269/.362/.372. Doubts were increasing in the minds of the
fan base, of which I am one.
In his 6th
season in 2016, he exploded in Vegas, although as he was doing so, you had to
wonder how inflated those #s were by playing in one of baseball’s hitter-friendliest
parks.
He went .352/.423/.541 in 97
games. Enough! Call up time!
Mets fans had just
been through a whole string of hitter call ups in 2015, all of whom (except for
Michael Conforto) had one thing in common – an utter inability to hit!
So forgive me for
thinking Brandon might follow suit when he was called up. But, I was wrong, mostly.
He hit .274 in 80 plate appearances, but his negative was his only being able to produce 2 extra base hits - very unimpressive, even if his lone homer was a true blast.
So some doubts were erased – not all. I needed to see more.
He hit .274 in 80 plate appearances, but his negative was his only being able to produce 2 extra base hits - very unimpressive, even if his lone homer was a true blast.
So some doubts were erased – not all. I needed to see more.
Moving forward to 2017
with my having some degree of anticipation of possible success for Nimmo, he started 2017 with 2
injury setbacks: first, a badly pulled hammy in the WBC “Classic”, and then an
injured hand.
When he finally made his
season debut, Brandon spent a good chunk of time in the minors and doubts
crept back in – in 47 minor league games, mostly in Las Vegas, he hit a paltry .227.
Another bust-in-progress? Sure felt that way.
But...nope. NOT a bust.
He got called up by the Mets in mid-2017 and in about 210
plate appearances, he hit a far better .260/.379/.418.
He seemed to have done enough to be deemed ready to assume a starting OF position in 2018.
He seemed to have done enough to be deemed ready to assume a starting OF position in 2018.
BUT:
The Mets must have
thought otherwise, re-signing Bruce for 3 years, $39 million. With budding star Michael Conforto due
back in early 2018 as a sure starting outfielder, and 3 more years of the team’s anchor
Yoenis Cespedes, plus the returning Juan Lagares, it was unclear whether
Brandon would get any meaningful playing time whatsoever.
But these are the achy, breaky Mets. “Mets” if you didn't know is a word derived from the ancient Latin
word meaning “frequently and inexplicably injured.” Mirabile dictu.
Cespedes misses
a ton of games. Achy, achy.
Lagares? His usual extended trip to sick bay. Breaky, breaky.
Bruce (achy) and Conforto (achy) have struggled mightily.
Lagares? His usual extended trip to sick bay. Breaky, breaky.
Bruce (achy) and Conforto (achy) have struggled mightily.
AHA! Brandon’s golden
opportunity! And he grabbed it with
gusto.
Back to that adjusting
stuff mentioned at the start of the article, Brandon has surely adjusted his
power game. A .410 OBP and a .602 slugging % says it all, frankly.
Nimmo is a guy who
clearly saw his career abilities shortcomings and addressed them. Addressed them ALL.
Too many Ks early in
his career? FIXED.
Lack of power in most
of his minors seasons? FIXED.
Average lousy in AAA
in 2017? FIXED.
Can’t type 100 words a
minute? I have no idea if that’s true,
or if Brandon fixed it, but it is a skill that a baseball player (not named Jim
Bouton) does not need. So let’s skip
that one.
FIXED. Brandon is why I feel Jeff McNeil has real
potential, because he falls into the fairly rare club (along with TJ Rivera) who
realized their shortcomings that would impede or prevent their climb to the
major leagues and FIXED them.
McNeil and Rivera were
both very good hitters with very little power – both FIXED that resume killer by
adding power, and Rivera, like Nimmo, has experienced real major league success. I believe McNeil (3 hits for Vegas last night) will too, before we know it.
But back to Brandon
Nimmo – great guy who is turning into a great player, and I for one am willing
to admit that back in 2012-15, I was greatly mistaken about his baseball
ceiling.
Because he FIXED it.
He is a man of great faith.
He is a man of great faith.
We should have had more faith in him.
We do now. Doubters transformed to shouters.
NIMMO!
9 comments:
Great draft pick by Sandy. He told us when he was drafted that it would take some time with Brandon because the lack of school ball. It is so good to see guys like Nimmo, that have fun with the game, to have success.
Just goes to show that some folks take a bit longer than others to come full circle. NY is not known for its patience but it really can pay off to wait for a young player with talent to develop.
Brandon took a really long time to develop but he is firing on all cylinders this year! Worth the wait.
And, Erica, yes, worth the patience.
In the case of Jeff McNeil who is already 26 freakin' years old and JUST last week sent to AAA, he must think that patience is NOT a virtue.
Reese, I think Jeff knows he really missed 2 years, but that said, he is very hopeful things will open up for him soon. I fully believe he feels he is ready right now.
One would think that if this team falls out of contention (the last 3 wins making the picture more murky), Cabrera could well be headed elsewhere, opening up the 2B job for Jeff.
Nimmo's come-from-behind homer Sunday to turn another painful loss into a surprising win may have delayed McNeil a bit. If the two All Star caliber guys (Cespedes, Thor) were to return soon, as improbable as it is, the team could make a wild card run. Being 7 games below .500, rather than 9 below, as they would have been had they lost Sunday, makes the decision team a little more apt to hope for a miracle like the one in 2015.
Well said.......it is EARLY, but he is on a Bryce Harper arc, believe it or not.
(I put an article in drafts that fleshes this out a bit)
He is a keeper, along with Conforto......I would get Yo healthy and deal him to
an AL contender so he can DH, etc.
Mike, I think Yo is now almost untradeable - he is still owed about $72 million, and if there was a clear sense this injury matter was behind him for the next 2.6 seasons, he'd probably look reasonably priced...but if, due to injuries, he only plays 50% of the time at 80% ability, it would seem the Mets might have to eat $40 million to make it worth the risk for the acquiring team - and this team does not eat $40 million.
If he can get healthy and play unimpeded for an extended period of time, maybe he is a great trade next year or this off season.
A former teammate of Nimmo is pitching for OKC against Las Vegas today - Tyler Pill.
Pitching mostly in non-Vegas normal altitude and humidity, he is 2-2, 4.18 ERA this year. Not bad.
Anyone is tradeable if you have a smart GM. Pay down half of Yo's contract and someone will bite. You save half and another team gets a bargain.
Wait, the Mets have Sandy Alderson. Nevermind. Go back to your regularly scheduled dumpster diving and inertia.
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