8/15/18

Reese Kaplan -- One Radical Idea (and a Few Others)



As much as it hurts me to think like a Wilpon or a Ricco, I believe I have come up with a good idea that warrants some serious consideration. 

First, let’s get the whole Pete Alonso thing off the table.  He’s not on the 40-man roster.  He doesn’t have to be put on the 40-man roster this winter, so keeping him off of it preserves a space to protect another player.  Holding him back for a few weeks in 2019 gets the Mets another year of financial control.  Consequently, don’t expect to see him for a September cup of coffee, let alone an August call-up. 

Next comes the fan favorite, Wilmer Flores.  There are a couple of issues at play here.  First, of course, is his Michael Jackson impression with a glove that he wears for no apparent reason.  We all felt that 1st base was the least defensively challenging position on the diamond yet Wilmer has demonstrated that if you build a better mousetrap he’s simply a more clever mouse, discovering new ways to botch plays. 

Now he’s your best right-handed hitter with Yoenis Cespedes on the shelf, so his bat has been fairly essential to the rare times they win ballgames.  He’s currently producing to the tune of .273/10/39 in fewer than 300 ABs.  That’s a pace of 20 HRs and 78 RBIs over the course of a full season…perhaps a bit light for a first baseman, but by Mets standards that’s downright formidable.  Oh yeah, he’s also struck out just 30 times while walking 26.  That means for a 20 HR hitter he’d strike out only 60 times over the course of a full season.  Any way you slice it, that’s solid offensive production.

Here therein lies the rub.  If he’s not suited to playing the field and already earns $3.4 million heading into another arbitration year, then perhaps the best bet for the team who is clearly out of any dream of contention is to bench him.  Hear me out.

He’s not doing the pitchers any favors with his defense. The more he racks up numbers, the more a potential arbiter will look to reward him for it.  If he’s not considered the long-term option at 1st base, 2nd base, SS or 3rd base, then he’s either trade bait or a bench player.  Isn’t that all correct?   Benching him suppresses his potential salary which makes him more attractive in trade as well.



The answer should be to promote not Pete Alonso but Dominic Smith.  Again, hear me out.  He’s not exactly performing at the same level as Alonso, but he is already on the 40-man roster.  Right now you have a need to see what he can do lest he become the next Gavin Cecchini of lost cause high draft picks.  If he flops, then you write him off as a bad pick.  If he succeeds, then he becomes desirable for other teams in quest of a cost-controllable asset.  Right now playing in AAA in the .260 range he doesn’t represent a future in Queens nor in any of the other 29 major league locations. 

Now the other part of this equation is getting Jay Bruce back as quickly as possible.  The thought here is pretty much the same.  He needs to demonstrate his power production in order to be either penciled into the plans for 2019 or to become a lefty slugger another team could use. 

Moving his contract will not be easy but if he has a productive September, it’s not impossible.  Find another team’s bad contract and do a classic change-of-scenery deal.  A relief pitcher like Mark Melancon is owed the exact same $28 million as Bruce for the next two years. 

Bryan Shaw who thrived under Mickey Callaway is having a nightmarish season in Colorado.  Maybe the Rockies would like to be out from under the $17.5 plus $2 million option over the next two years.  In that one you might have to sweeten the deal a bit to even out the money.  Maybe throwing in a cost-controlled young player would get them to bite.  Hint – Dom Smith, Gavin Cecchini…

Please, can we stop with the Joses?  Bautista and Reyes are both wastes of roster space whose time is long past due.  Please play Jeff McNeil and Todd Frazier day in and day out for different reasons.  In McNeil’s case, let’s see if he is indeed the late blooming answer to 2nd base.  In Frazier’s case, let’s see if he can at least display his power which might entice another team to take on his final year salary. 

Austin Jackson has been a nice story.  So was Nori Aoki.  The said sayonara to the latter at season's end.  They should do the same with this year's version.  He doesn't need to play either.

Finally, and this one is not new, PLEASE let Corey Oswalt stay in the rotation even if Steven Matz returns. Last night's solid start notwithstanding, Jason Vargas is the very definition of a sunk cost.  Perhaps recast as a relief pitcher could help him regain whatever it was he once had (though the numbers suggest it was never very much).  You need to find out what Oswalt can do.  You know what Vargas is.  (Choose your own expletive). 

There is a minor problem with this approach.  Between Smith, McNeil, Bruce, Conforto and Nimmo you're tilting very heavily towards the left side.  Still, at this point in the season I am less concerned about winning than I am about planning for the future.  In addition, how will you know if these lefties can hit left handed pitching unless they get to face it regularly?  





13 comments:

Tom Brennan said...

We need Austin Jackson around if Michael Jackson's at 1B.

Pete getting screwed by the 40 man rule. And by Smith being on it. And by the slowed up, highly paid Jay Bruce soon needing a place to play. The slogan used to be "Let the best man win." Now it is "let the best man, not on the 40 man roster, stay stuck." He must feel good seeing Jack Reinheimer getting promoted.

I do think that if the Mets can move Jay Bruce for another team's big contract, they should, to free up space for Peter.

Smith could still figure things out - but he should earn his way back to the big leagues. As in hit like Alonso or McNeil.

McNeil's having fanned just 6 times in 70 MLB plate appearances shows he can be good up in the MLB. Perhaps very good.

Too many lefty hitters can be somewhat a problem for the Mets - but a big problem for opposing righty starters.

I like the Vargas-to-pen idea, despite his good outing last night, so we can see more of Corey O. Vargas could have 6 straight good outings like yesterday's and no other team would want him at that $$.

bgreg98180 said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
bgreg98180 said...

Don't you feel the need for a long hot shower after forcing yourself to think in these Wilpon/Ricco terms?

Reese Kaplan said...

Kind of like the one Meryl Streep was forced to take in "Silkwood".

Jack Flynn said...

Austin Jackson can come back next year as a backup outfielder. Figure Conforto, Nimmo and Bruce starting (I think Bruce has zero trade value unless you take on money past 2020,and I do not think there’s an appetite for that.) If Lagares is healthy he’ll play three days a week and Jackson will be the fifth outfielder until (if?] Cespedes returns.

Anonymous said...

A lot of Conjecture Today in the Postings

(Let me pick and choose)

I like almost everything Reese Kaplan's article has to say. It was well conceived, but I do hope that he did not lose too much sleep over it.

Just two things though...

First, I sort of concur on the Wilmer Flores part to some extent, but until Peter Alonso gets his fielding of the first base position down cold, it's a little bit hard to envision him up here. Maybe Winter Ball would be an idea for him? Or what about Peter moving in with Keith and his seventeen cats offseason? Could work.

One bigger issue with all this might be that the Mets have two pitchers on their staff at current with an over 8.00 ERA and the Mets bullpen has yet to solidify itself this decade. They do not have a definite closer to date, but are working on it. I am told.

You cannot win many ball games without a respectable bullpen and continually wasting very good starts can destroy morale. Three could be sent down I think.

I like the idea of trying to trade Bruce for another team's equal contract. Maybe make it a closer?

Where's Jonathan Papelbon when you need him?

Secondly, the Mets need to add in a couple of power hitters more to help anchor their lineup. Counting on Yoenis Cespedes to come back 100% is sort of a stretch for me. I have heard recently that the Oceanic Society of Corral Reefs is currently collecting all the calcium deposit specimens from Yo's feet.

A homerun hitting catcher more cannot hurt.

Does Mike Piazza have any kids yet? If not, why not, we need a homerun hitting catcher here soon and he obviously has the correct genetics for this.

Wilson Ramos and Yasmani Grandal come to mind. Ramos is 31 and Grandal 29. Worth a look perhaps.

Viper said...

As stated above, replacing Flores at 1B with Alonso doesn't make sense at this point since he can't catch the ball either. As far as Smith is concerned, didn't he also played a bad 1B while he was in the majors?

Smith is also hitting 260 at Vegas with little power so if the mentality is to trade Flores, why not let him play 1B for the rest of the season, see what his numbers are and trade him. You can start 2019 with Smith as your 1B until Alonso is ready.

In Cespedes and Bruce the Mets have two contracts that will be extremely hard to trade. Cespedes, like Lagares, can't stay healthy. Bruce, on the other hand, couldn't get the Mets a good return even when he was having a good year in 2017, so who is going to want him now?

The Mets are in a catch 22 situation. To get better quickly, they need to either trade deGrom and Syndergaard or eat bad contracts and sign better players like Machado or Harper. The Mets will do option #3 and wait for the bad contracts to expire at which time, deGrom cold be a different pitcher.

Tom Brennan said...

Viper, I just wish there was a way to reward Alonso with a Sept call up, even if he sat most days. Get a big league paycheck for a month, get acclimated, get over the awe of being in the big leagues.

Be ready for early 2019.

Hopefully, Alonso can give us Duda-level defense at first, and I think he has the potential to be a much better hitter than Lucas.

Mike Freire said...

I truly feel bad for Wilmer......he WANTS to be a Met and he would be a nice DH for us, if only the NL had the designated hitter rule.

Unless that changes soon (not likely), I would love to see him moved to an AL club before next year.

Anonymous said...

JFlynn's post above

Jack, how many seasons can a team wait on habitually injured players to get healthy enough to stay on the field? A" Eight. I cannot even remember what Travis d'Arnaud and Juan Lagares look like. I think one may be short, the other shorter, but who knows. But no mental image of them comes up really. It's almost like having three Bobby Bonilla's.

The Mets have to somehow move past waiting on impossibilities, get the lineup planned and set. Penciling in these two for playing time sort of like bailing out a sinking row boat with a kitchen strainer.

I'd bet Jay Bruce and Yoenis Cespedes play more games if all four return in 2019. And that may not be saying too much. The Mets will have better options I bet for 2019 than some of these.

Anonymous said...

Looking at two very promising MLB teams lefty pitchers in their minor league system.

1. Atlanta Braves (3)

Gohara
Allard
Fried

All kick butt, all could play prominent roles in the Braves future.

2. Oakland A's (2)
Luzardo
Puk

These two pitchers are high grade H20.

And don't forget this either, the Oakland Athletics have a pretty good catcher prospect in Sean Murphy, a righty batter on their AA team batting .291, 8 HR, and with a .359 OBP. Not bad!

Finally hope from the catcher position.

Sean he were to make the jump up to the Athletics next season, Jonathon Lucroy might become available. But he does not see to be the same guy he once was, say three or four seasons ago.

Anonymous said...

Sidebar: Prostrate Topic

Well, all us men have one. When you get older it can crap out somewhat.

So what's the latest approach on the medical/doctor radio rounds?

A: Proton Beam Therapy.

It's non-invasive and ironically can also work on other types of cancer than just prostate cancer. If you are or know of someone suffering from any type of cancer, you may want to suggest they read up on "proton beam therapy." Might just help them.

As always here, consult with your doctor. He may have other new therapy approaches too. Good luck to all!

Anonymous said...

And finally...

I thought left-handed reliever Daniel Zamora, pitched very well last night.

I thought that he seemed the most unfazed by getting the call up, and being out there playing for these NY Mets, that I have ever seen. He must have nerves of steel. Not bad for a newby rook! Great to see. Welcome aboard Daniel Zamora!

On Jeff Mcneil, two for four last night, a double too! Not bad for this rook second baseman. I think if Jeff just keeps on doing, what he has been doing, that he will be more than fine. He is finding his MLB legs, you can see it every game he plays out there, and I think he is right on course. Jeff is a smart and professional batter, I can see that so easily, and it's great!

I really like his "JD Martinez breath and relaxation technique approach" before he steps into the batter's box. It does seem to work, I have noticed. Ask JD!

Overall for the rooks first time coming up to the bigs...

I just want to remind them all that pressure and stress are non-physical in nature, beyond of course how we identify and then react to them. Neither is a definable noun. Only we ourselves define them based upon merely our reaction to those moments when we encounter them. We all have felt pressure and stress in our lives, some maybe more than others.

In other words, you cannot hold a pressure or a stress, like a noun, a glove, a ball, a candy bar, a soda. Pressure and stress) are very accepted descriptions of behavior only, our behavior. Some people use these words as reasons for doing silly things. They are fall guys. i.e. "I drove into the lamppost because I was so stressed out."

Neither pressure or stress can exist on a real or visible plain. They just cannot. Only our reaction to them, actually can.

So tell me something then, if they do not really even exist and cannot be defined in reality beyond our reaction to them, then why even acknowledge them at all?

Just be you, it is what I am trying hard to say here. Relax, look around, take all this great stuff in. You have made it here, so you are already very good at what you do. Be who you are.

As I think the great Stephen Hawking once suggested before leaving, and I cannot exactly quote correctly so forgive me, but it went something like this I think..."Is what we are all living in reality, or is this just the concoction of someone's imagination, and we the players in that concoction."

Enjoy the people around you and enjoy playing the game. Real or not, who cares! Have some serious fun!