7/18/22

The Mack Report - 7-18-22


 

First, my thoughts on yesterday’s Mets draft picks.


-The Mets first round was a bipolar moment to me. 

First the ups… Kevin Parada is the kind of player you build a franchise around. His defensive game is excellent and… think about this… he was 6th in the nation with 26 home runs (60 games), and  3rd in the nation with 88 runs batted in, and he did this for a team playing against some of the top teams in the nation. 

Parada could easily be ready for the majors in 2026; however, the Mets rarely push their prospects this fast. An indication will be if he is assigned for the remainder of this season and which team it is. 

The Parada pick also (at least to me), screams of an arranged agreement with Atlanta that the Mets would include Francisco Alvarez in a package for Juan Soto. We will have to see on this one. 

Still, joy at the Mack house. 

Rating:  A+ 

Then came the crash. 

Don’t get me wrong. Jett Williams is a great player. He can play both second and short, was projected by someone in the Mets organization as a future centerfielder, is a hit monster, can run like the wind, and plays + defense, but, is he a 1.14 pick when you left players like Brock Porter, Dylan Lesko, and Cam Collier on the board? 

I’ve never heard the three words Jett, Williams, and centerfield said in the same sentence before so the jury is still out on this one. 

This reminds me of the Brandon Nimmo pick. A great pick but just not worthy of an early first round pick. I was wrong about Nimmo. Maybe Williams becomes the leadoff hitter for the Mets for a decade, leads the league in steals, and earns a Gold Glove either in center or on second. 

I hope so, but, for now… 

Rating:  Incomplete

 

I have to upgrade another pitcher into Red Prospect status. 

Normally pitchers that are promoted to the next level get off to a slow start. They need to adjust to the elevated amount of talent they are facing. 

Not Dominic Hamel. 

After posting a 4.12-ERA in 14 games (13 starts) for A-St. Lucie, he’s off to the races in A+ Brooklyn, posting a 2-70-ERA in two starts, with 17 strikeouts in 10 innings pitched. 

Regular Mack’s Mets readers will remember how excited I was when the Mets drafted this former Dallas Baptist Friday night starter. 

My hopes is he keeps dominating at this level for the remainder of this season and becomes the SP1 for AA-Binghamton on opening day 2023. 

 

Molly Moore @MollyMo32 

16-year-old throws 100 pitches. Gets two days rest before getting run out to pitch again. 

Help me understand how this is okay. Or, I’ll save you the time. 

It isn’t. 

    -Mack - I saw this all the time I covered high school baseball live. Fat, overweight, managers making their star pitcher throw until his arm almost fell off. 

They also taught them how to throw sliders before their young body was fully developed. 

The last time I saw this was LAST MONTH  when I attended the final regular season game of a travel team that had a member I knew. 

The starter, the start of the rotation, was made to throw 100+ innings… three days before he started the first playoff games. 

Nothing has changed. 

 

The AA-Binghamton Mets have signed RHP Brooks Hall, from the Landcaster Barnstormers. 

Hall was drafted in the 4th round of the 2009 Draft, by the Brewers, out of the powerhouse T.H. Hanna HS in Anderson, South Carolina. 

He pitched parts of eight seasons in the Brewers chain, and then moved on to Arizona in 2017. After that, he went to Perth in Australia, and then Landcaster, where, this year, he went 2-1, 2.20, in six starts. 

I assume he will enter the under performing Rumble Ponies rotation. 

 

Yesterday’s Tweets -

 

Tebby3000 CYJUAN WALKER SZN 

NICK CASTELLANOS HAS A -1 WAR- 

 

Michael Mayer @mikemayer22 

Mets on the road in 2022: 30-19 

Mets on the road in 2021: 30-51 

 

Buster Olney @Buster_ESPN 

Per Fangraphs, playoffs chances in the NL: 

Dodgers 99.9%

Mets 99.7%

Braves 98.6%

Padres 81.6%

Brewers 76.7%

Cardinals 51.4%

Giants 47.3%

Phillies 40.8%

Marlins 3.8%

Rockies 0.1%

Nationals, Cubs, Pirates, Reds, D-Backs 0.0% 

 

KOZ THE TRUTH @mr_relevant7 

Edwin Diaz has 12 more strikeouts than

Noah Syndergaard  in 38 less innings 

 

Locked On Mets @LockedOnMets 

Edwin Díaz over his last 19 appearances: 

- 18.2 IP, 10 H, 1 ER, 3 BB, 41 K, 0.49 ERA, 0.71 WHIP 

Simply unfair stuff from Sugar! 

 

Press releases from yesterday’s minor league game -

 

Syracuse, NY – The Syracuse Mets finished off their weeklong, six-game series against the Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp (Triple-A Miami Marlins) on the right note, never trailing in the game on their way to a 3-1 Mets win on Sunday afternoon in the Salt City. With the win, the Mets split the six-game series against the Jumbo Shrimp. Syracuse has not lost a series since June 7-12 against Scranton/Wilkes-Barre.    

Thomas Szapucki got Syracuse (40-50) off to a superb start on the mound, allowing just one earned run in a four-inning start with seven strikeouts, four hits allowed, and only one walk. Szapucki had Jacksonville’s (48-42) number this week, also starting Tuesday night’s game, again surrendering just a lone run in six innings with eight strikeouts and one walk. The left-hander, in fact, fanned five of the first eight batters he faced in Sunday afternoon’s game.   

Buoyed by the superb start from Szapucki, the offense backed him up with a handful of early runs. In the first, the Mets scored the game’s first run when Daniel Palka launched a solo shot, his team-leading 17th home run of the season to give the Mets a 1-0 lead.    

In the third, Syracuse scored twice in unconventional fashion. Leading off the inning, Johneshwy Fargas dropped a bunt down the third-base line, and as third baseman Luis Aviles, Jr. fielded the ball for Jacksonville, he promptly threw it away down the first-base line. This error allowed Fargas to prance all the way to third with nobody out. After a Terrance Gore strikeout, Nick Plummer was hit by a pitch, putting runners on the corners with one out. 

Then, Kramer Robertson chopped a groundball up the middle of the infield that plated Fargas for a 2-0 edge and allowed Robertson to reach first with one out. A Palka single loaded up the bases with one out, and after a Blankenhorn strikeout, Nick Dini drew a bases-loaded walk to make it 3-0 Mets. Syracuse drew three different bases-loaded walks combined between the final two games of the series.     

From there, the Mets bullpen locked the game down. Relievers Adonis Medina, Sam Clay, Michel Otanez, and Bryce Montes de Oca worked the final five innings of the game in scoreless fashion, surrendering just one hit and two walks while fanning four batters. In its last 43 and one-thirds innings of work, Syracuse’s bullpen has fanned an amazing 55 opposing batters in the past ten games.    

Montes de Oca was particularly stellar, earning his fourth save of the season in Triple-A with a scoreless ninth inning that included two strikeouts. The hard-throwing right-handed reliever has yet to blow a save in his four opportunities at the Triple-A level. Montes de Oca has racked up 25 strikeouts in 17 innings of work with the Syracuse Mets this season. 

 

ERIE, PA – The Binghamton Rumble Ponies defeated the Erie SeaWolves 4-3 after five innings in a rain shortened game at UPMC Park in the final game before the all-star break. The game was called due to inclement weather with one out in the sixth inning. 

After Erie (11-6, 50-36) took a 1-0 lead in the first, the Ponies responded in the second inning with timely hitting. With the bases empty and two out, Jeremy Vasquez singled, Zach Ashford hit a grounds-rule double to center, and Hayden Senger belted a two-run triple off the left field wall that put the Rumble Ponies on top 2-1. 

Binghamton (5-13, 33-54) extended the lead in the third as Wyatt Young drove the first pitch from Erie starter Adam Wolf (5-3) over the right field wall for his second homer of the year to make it 3-1. 

In the fifth, with the Rumble Ponies up 3-2, Brett Baty had a two-out RBI single that drove home Cody Bohanek from third to make it 4-2 Ponies. 

Vasquez finished the game 2-3 with a run scored to extend his hitting streak to nine games. Baty had a hit in each game of the series and hit .500 (10/20) over the six games in Erie with two home runs and five RBI. 

Postgame Notes: Brooks Hall allowed one run on four hits over two innings to earn the save in his Rumble Ponies debut…Cody Bohanek hit a leadoff double and scored a run in the fifth and is on a four-game hitting streak.

St Lucie dropped two, despite Junior Tilien’s 9th. Their hitting is down since Consuegra and Ramirez were promoted to Brooklyn.

 The latter two had 5 hits in the Cyclones’win tonight.  And Nick Zwack threw 3 scoreless with 5 Ks.  BIG ZWACK ATTACK!

 

19 comments:

TexasGusCC said...

This is an interview of Nick Morabito put up by the interviewer. The interviewer himself is an immature version of Jim Rome, so it makes for a very hard listen, but Morabito earned extra points for tolerating the fool and being even keeled. Morabito comes across as very well grounded, knowledgeable about himself and his game, intelligent in his conversation, and coachable. What a joy to listen to this kid talk about himself. The interview was about two weeks before the draft and is 24 minutes.

https://open.spotify.com/episode/6ufyEXAuAdEAZ3WTHxOReP?si=eOwHHjzORm6SBm508tUtMQ&nd=1&utm_medium=organic&_branch_referrer=H4sIAAAAAAAAA72NzQqCQBSFn2ZcamlJBBJGhpuwX4o2Mumdmhqd4XoHs6fPgl4hOIvD%2Bfg4NyLTTD2vMZqk6FxujKtk%2FfBmBnVpC4q0gdph%2FkhYpXKLKrp9FBbEzF%2F2%2BWD3Zxe66icwstEl9C20oktOsY3LJD4Hx336zLawZsGykSxYQNam6f2VbatwN6%2FGgwkdaLX5fnGlLrx4%2FOOP%2BWFd9nToCOBkESKNV17LwskRBCACRtRKIsA3RYKS8i0BAAA%3D&product=open&%24full_url=https%3A%2F%2Fopen.spotify.com%2Fepisode%2F6ufyEXAuAdEAZ3WTHxOReP%3Fsi%3DeOwHHjzORm6SBm508tUtMQ&feature=organic&_referrer=twitter&_branch_match_id=1024210751468838325

Paul Articulates said...

Cheers to the Mets for getting Kevin Parada - someone that most folks didn't think would be available at #11.

On the Jett Williams pick, sometimes there is information out there that none of us is aware of that changes the evaluation. Brock Porter did not go at all in the first round. We'll see what Williams brings.

As for all the Soto speculation, I'm not buying. I think it is a bad idea for this Mets team. Yes he is a generational talent, but he does not fill a need right now and pushes one of the very capable Mets outfielders off the field. And all for a huge future price and a huge current price in prospects.

TexasGusCC said...

Mack, is Porter a lock to go to Clemson? Can they take him now and sign him for $4MM if they find it? Is he talking stupid?

If Henry Davis went first last year because he was a great catcher, and Ford went fifth for the same reason, how does Parada fall? No complaints from here! I’ll give Jett Williams a chance and I realize the Mets weren’t touching injured pitchers.

I like how Tramura said the Rangers taking Rocker at #3 was great because it pushed an extra good player down to them! LOL, what a polite dis!

D J said...

Mack,
Is Brock Porter in play for the Mets third round pick? That could balance out the Williams pick.

Tom Brennan said...

The announcer team for the draft seemed to really like Jett. Apparently, can turn on any fastball, loud contact, fast. They liked the pick. He's short, so we'll see - as someone said so are Altuve and Mookie Betts.

Szapucki has stepped it up - not complete domination, but 13.5 Ks per 9 is a real indicator something is going very right with him. Trade bait or a 2023 Mets starter?

I saw a clip of Parada - joyful, extremely excited. I think if he has two years of college, he would need this year and next in the minors and be ready mid-2024.

Maybe this does have to do with Soto. Soto is simply incredible, so if the Mets can get that done...

How good is Mack Zwack, Mack? And where did Ziegler go?

Mack Ade said...

I just reached out to my Clemson contact

They expect him to attend school next season.

Will be draft eligible in 2024.

Still he wouldn't pull out of the draft. He wants to see what will be offered him to sign.

Mack Ade said...

I rate Parada over Davis.

IMO Davis was a 10-20 pick in the first round

Mack Ade said...

I think he will .

Eddie from Corona said...

Mack
So the first 2 picks
You said Parada is good defensively but most reviews say he is not… any idea why the discrepancy?

Jett well I will be saying the same as nimmo as well
Back picks are about value

Now can you tell me your thoughts on Tidwell and this OF?

I believe you liked Tidwell and probably are happy with that pick
The OF was not in your 75 list so I was very disappointed with that pick but we are in a range where we don’t know who or what they will be

I will say as we have always talked about

Take kids who hit for power and power arms

Jett is a 15-20 HR guy
It doesn’t qualify

I would add take kids 6 feet and bigger … the odds are greater
Shorter guys do succeed but the odds are against them and baseball is a odds sport
300 is 70% failure
Take the odds every time

Mack Ade said...

Szapucki - once again under 5 innings

Will this arm ever be strong again?

Not a major league starter any.longer in my book.

Eddie from Corona said...

Also any news why everyone stayed away from Porter?

Mack Ade said...

Too early to project Zwack.

Zeigler was picked in 2nd round

Mack Ade said...

Re: Parada

I rank him above Henry Davis

Re: Tidwell

I LOVE him

Hope the Mets pick him.at 2.52

Mack Ade said...

Re: Porter/Clemson

Scroll back for my answer

Woodrow said...

I’m thinking Williams has a better career than Paerada. But I also think Mauricio will have a better career than all the current Mets prospects. Don’t trade Mauricio (unless it’s for Soto).

Mike Freire said...

I think the Mets did really well with the first four picks..........if we hold onto everyone (more on that is a second), i can see a future where one of Parada/Alvarez catches while the other DH's which would be a huge plus from a rest/production standpoint.

Jett could be our future second baseman, but there is a long way to go......everyone seems to love his skill set and he has some attitude, which I personally like (not enough of that in baseball anymore, IMO).

Tidwell is a lottery ticket...........if he is healthy and the developmental side of our system can get him squared away (control being the biggest hurdle), he has first round talent and could be a future rotation piece.

Oh and I don't know much about the Morabito kid, but he is viewed as a "toolsy" CF'er and he fits into the void in our long term timeline (beyond the next wave of talent).

So, to recap......an excellent day, adding a future C/DH, 2B, SP and CF.

Lastly, I say run far away from any Soto trades. I would love his bat in our lineup, but he will not be worth the cost in prospects and future $$$. It would also signal the exact opposite of building up the farm system (aka the Dodgers model). It would reek of something the Angels do and which LA team would you rather emulate?

TexasGusCC said...

The Soto trade would deplete the farm, but if you take back Strasberg and Corbin, the prospect capital should be much less.

All high school pitchers are lottery tickets anyway.

If Mike Piazza could become an acceptable catcher when the guy played first base in high school, all kids can be improve their defense. As I read last week: You can teach a kid to hit better, but you can’t teach him to hit. That’s the unreachable part that you look for.

On Nick Morabito, in that interview that I posted earlier, it says that his “Sweet Spot” grade was 70%, which is like a typo. That means that he hits the ball on the sweet spot of the bat 70% of the time. That’s rare…. Hence, we continue the hope.

Tom Brennan said...

Apparently: Morabito ranked # 91 draft prospect by MLB and # 82 by Baseball America.

So I guess being grabbed at 75 makes resonable sense from that standpoint.

Remember1969 said...

Kevin Parada is a little more than three months older than Alvarez. With two years of SEC play behind him, I see him advancing through the system quickly. My guess is Binghamton by late 2023 and Syracuse in 2024 with a late call-up that year. Worst case is that Parada will follow Alvarez path by a couple years and start '24 in Bing with a mid year call-up to Syracuse. I'm thinking that Alvarez/Parada will be the catching tandem in NY by 2025.