5/31/10

DRAFT: - Anthony Ranaudo, Jason Martinson, Peter Tago, Justin O’Connor:... and Derek Dietrich

Anthony Ranaudo:

5-31 from: - http://metsmerizedonline.com/2010/05/mlb-draft-preview-righties.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+MetsMerizedOnline-GetMetsmerized-NewYorkMets+%28Mets+Merized+Online%29&utm_content=Twitter  - Anthony Ranuado: What a difference a year makes. The guy was top 5 last year after leading LSU to the College World Series Championship. In case you were wondering how a can’t miss prospect is barely mentioned now; after an arm injury over the winter, he fell off a cliff production-wise. Ranuado (also a Boras client) has had a strong SEC tournament, in which he pitched three innings in relief to beat Alabama for the SEC title yesterday. It will not be enough to put him back in the top-20.

Jason Martinson:

5-27 from: - http://baseballdraftreport.com/  - 2010 MLB Draft: Top 30 College Third Base Prospects - 13. Texas State JR 3B Jason Martinson - The more I do this, the more I begin to gain an appreciation for the way certain college programs recruit and develop talent. The job Ty Harrington has done in San Marcos is nothing short of spectacular. I relate it to a college football team with very specific offensive and defensive schemes recruiting not based on consensus overall talent levels, but rather best fits for the program. You’d think these less talented players would succeed mainly due to the system in college, but then, lo and behold, draft day comes and teams start taking these supposed system talents left and right. Turns out that players overlooked in high school can turn out to be pretty valuable prospects after three years of quality college coaching. I suppose that’s really just my long way of saying that even though it’s common the best high school players sign out of high school, and even though it’s common the best unsigned high school players go to the big name schools in Texas, it’s still possible to have some really talented players wind up at non-traditional baseball schools. Schools like that often have coaching staffs more familiar with coaching guys up than allowing them to coast by on natural abilities they may or may not have. Martinson is a plus athlete with very good defensive tools who, similar to Tennessee’s Matt Duffy, may be good enough with the leather to stick up the middle (either shortstop or second base) in some organizations. For me, however, his hands, range, and arm all play best at third, a position where he could eventually be a decidedly above-average defender. Offensively the rap on Martinson coming into the year was that he swung and miss too often to ever hit for an acceptable average professionally. That may or may not be true going forward — his 2010 performance has been very similar to his 2009 — but his quick wrists and above-average plate discipline should help keep his on-base percentage up even when he is striking out more often than you’d like. Teams will worry less about the low contact rate if Martinson can begin to tap into some of the long awaited above-average raw power that hasn’t really showed up through three seasons of college ball. If he can begin to apply some of his brute physical strength into homerun power professionally, he’s got a chance to be a starter. If not, his best chance of earning the big bucks will be in the good defender/patient pinch hitter role.

Peter Tago:

5-30 from: - http://www.mlbbonusbaby.com/  - -I'm not as bullish on Peter Tago as others seem to be, and I'm not sure why. To me, he smacks of an old school projection pick, the type of pitcher that used to bust so often, which led to the revolt against high school arms by a lot of the educated public. He works with a 90-93 mph fastball and a potential plus curve that he spins well, but his command of that curve is below-average, and he lacks a changeup. I don't believe throwing a large number of changeups is necessary to be a good high school prospect, but I'd like to know he at least has somewhat of a feel for it before I project him as anything more than a number three starter, which is my projection for him. I gave him a 1C2 grade, meaning I think he'll go in the top three rounds, has a ceiling as a mid-rotation pitcher, and he has a 20 percent chance of reaching that ceiling. That may seem like a bad grade, but that's fairly normal for the type of pitcher that Tago is.

Justin O’Connor:

5-31 from: - http://baseballbeginnings.com/category/2010-draft  - Justin O’Conner moved behind the plate this spring after he was an infielder and a pitcher when I saw in summer 2009. At the time, I noted that O’Conner’s arm would play better in the infield than on the mound and that his athleticism would benefit him up the middle. I thought he’d have enough range for it. The reason I didn’t go for third base was because I wasn’t convinced he would have the power. When O’Conner moved behind the plate, his arm and athleticism played, the power that would have been marginal for third became above-average for behind the plate, and fielding range and running is a moot point. I haven’t seen him this spring so my grades are based off what I saw in the summer over a week-long look. Nobody learns to catch professionally overnight, no matter how polished they may look as amateurs. But athletic ability is what buys you time, and because the bat is there, people will be willing to take the chance to develop the talent.

Derek Dietrich:

5-31 from: - http://www.deepleagues.com/?p=1733  - Dietrich is the 3rd Astros 2007 signee to appear on this list. One of the leaders of an excellent Georgia Tech team, Dietrich is a player who has increased his draft status this season. He is a shortstop in college, but would likely move to either second or third base professionally. He does not have any exceptional tool and struggled in the Cape League, but he could increase his draft status if Georgia Tech makes a post-season run.

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