5/28/10

DRAFT: - Tyrell Jenkins, Garrett Buechele, Forrest Koumas, Phil Gosselin ... and Chris Sale

Tyrell Jenkins:

5-28 from: - http://www.draftamerica.com/mlb-draft.php  - One of the top athletes at his position in this draft, Jenkins is a very long player with loose arm action. His fastball was been mostly in the low 90's, but reports have him touching 95 so far this spring. His fastball has nice movement, with a bit of tail in addition to sink, and is one of his stronger pitches. He also has an average to above average running slider, which he throws in the 81-84 MPH range. He also throws a changeup, in the 74-76 MPH range that he has decent feel for, but will need to further develop in the future. As a 3 sport athlete, it's impressive that Jenkins is as polished as he is, given that he hasn't been focusing all of his time on baseball. Still, he's raw on the mound, and would surely benefit from baseball having all of his attention. Like most pitchers his age, he has decent control and command, but it's an area he should focus on improving in. He'll need to add some strength and durability, but his frame suggests that shouldn't be an issue. He could be a difficult one to sign, as he has verbal commitments to Baylor for both baseball and football. He's a player with a high ceiling and loads of upside, and it will be interesting to see if the MLB team that selects him will be able to lure him away from Baylor.

Garrett Buechele:

5-25 from: - http://baseballdraftreport.com/2010/05/25/2010-mlb-draft-top-30-college-third-base-prospects-30-21  - Top 30 College Third Base Prospects -23. Oklahoma SO 3B Garrett Buechele - And so begins a stretch of players with starting caliber upside, but high bust potential. Buechele has one of the stronger pure hit tools of this college third base class, and his quickly emerging power make him one to watch. His defense is plenty good enough to stick at third, so the only thing that realistically stands in the way of Buechele succeeding professionally (you know, besides all of the other things that can get in the way for any player drafted) will be high strikeout totals. He’s not as talented as Zack cox, so don’t take this as a direct comparison, but it seems that Buechele would be best served returning to school to work on honing his pitch recognition skills like the top player on this list managed to do in his sophomore season.

Forrest Koumas:

5-27 from: - http://baseballbeginnings.com/2010/05/27/forrest-koumas-video  - Forrest Koumas finished his high school career with a flourish, leading Lugoff-Elgin (South Carolina) to a 3A state title. In this game, Koumas struck out 13 and his game-winning home run was his 18th of the season. He helped his Demons finish 24-4. I haven’t seen Koumas since this look last summer. Before he went home and helped himself with a solid two-way year, the thing I noticed about Koumas was the big arm. He was only listed at 5-11 in the summer, but was pretty comfortably pitching around 90-93. His secondary pitch in the summer looks was a slider at 83-84. I remember one play where he covered home plate and threw out a guy at second trying to advance. That was the real eye-opener for be in terms of pure arm strength and it showed him to be a very good baseball athlete. His college commitment is to South Carolina, where I’m sure he would go both ways. We’ll wait and see what happens with the draft

Phil Gosselin

5-27 from: - link  - Phil Gosselin hasn’t always played full-time at second base, including this year, as he’s split time between second and left field for one of the best college teams in the country at Virginia. Scouts are fairly split on whether he profiles better in left or at second, but there is some consensus that it’s at least worth a shot to see if he can continue to handle second at the next level. As you can tell from his stats, he’s had a breakout season of sorts, showing his exceptional ability to hit the ball hard to all parts of the ballpark. He is the definition of a doubles hitter with enough power to keep pitchers honest, and he’s going to be productive with the stick as a pro. Gosselin’s overall tools don’t necessarily stack up well compared to some of his peers. As somewhat of a professional hitter without a true defensive home, he’s flashed an above-average hit tool with fringe-average raw power, and he’s going to make pitchers work. A lot of his strikeouts are a function of how many pitches he takes, and he’s going to be an asset in a Major League lineup as a number two hitter. He’s an average runner underway, but he’s an above-average baserunner and reads pitchers well. Defensively, his range is a little below-average up the middle, but his arm is average and good enough for second. He’s played shortstop before, as well, and if anything, he’s as steady as they come with the glove. He should go somewhere in the range of the fourth to sixth round.

Chris Sale:

5-28 from: - http://projectprospect.com/article/2010/05/27/chris-sale-scouting-report  - Chris Sale is an extremely productive left-handed pitcher with advanced control and good stuff. He can crank his fastball up into the mid-90’s with outstanding movement and his change has a chance to be a very good pitch. He has a chance to rack up high strikeout totals, low walk rates and good ground ball rates. If he reaches his upside, he’s a very valuable player. But Sale’s mechanics put him at a very high level of injury risk. If you believe that a pitching motion can contribute to injuries, it’s likely that Sale’s will. He appears unlikely to be able to handle a consistent starter’s workload. His long-term home appears to be in the bullpen. I’d have a hard time taking a closer in round one.

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