Posted by Mack Ade at 8:00 AM
Buster Olney has ranked the Mets rotation as 5th best in the MLB for 2015.
1. Washington Nationals.
2. Los Angeles Dodgers
3. St. Louis Cardinals
4. Seattle Mariners
5. New York Mets
- Matt Harvey was out all of the past season, following Tommy John surgery, and yet the Mets' starters still had a respectable 3.66 ERA, thanks in part to Jacob deGrom's developing into one of the best rookie starters in recent years and the strong progress of Zack Wheeler in the second half, when he posted a 3.09 ERA. Now Harvey is due back, and if Harvey comes even close to what he was before he got hurt in 2013, the Mets' group has a chance to develop into the best in the majors. Some combination of Jon Niese, Dillon Gee, Bartolo Colon and Rafael Montero will round out the Mets' rotation, and 22-year-old top prospect Noah Syndergaard is likely to reach the majors at some point this year.
Rich Coutinho @coutinho9 - Mets getting heat in some circles but I totally respect not giving up top prospects for guys who just MIGHT be answer..Hold onto Noah
Zach Lutz abruptly left AAA Las Vegas mid season to go to Japan where he had just 51 ABs, but excelled in them, slugging 5 HRs, 18 RBIs and batting .314. Apparently he's parlayed that into a new deal with the Doosan Bears where he'll be joining former big leaguer Jorge Cantu as a power hitting cornerman
I will be highlighting (yesterday and today at 3pm) the Mets ZIPS that Fangraphs comes out with each year and here’s an interesting paragraph they write about the current minor leaguers we have right now -
The Mets feature multiple prospects expected to begin the season in the minor leagues but, per ZiPS, capable of producing basically league-average numbers starting right now. Second baseman Dilson Herrera and catcher Kevin Plawecki both feature projections in the vicinity of 2.0 WAR, while other infielders Danny Muno and Wilfredo Tovar — each at 1.0 WAR or better — both profile as able bench pieces. Among pitchers, the triumvirate of Steven Matz (1.8 WAR), Rafael Montero (1.7 WAR) Noah Syndergaard (1.8 WAR) concede — again, per ZiPS — concede very little to the five pitchers expected to occupy spots in the opening-day rotation.
Mack – as I’ve said a number of times, I’d much rather quote a so-called expert than give you my opinion, which meant an awful lot when I was in the clubhouse and practice fields of these teams.
I’m especially impressed with the WAR projections for Muno and Tovar. I don’t see a future position for Muno on the Mets, because, in my world, Herrera will replace Daniel Murphy in 2016. Wilmer Flores will play short in 2015, but its wide open from there. Still, utility infielders have to (almost) excel defensively in at least two infield positions and that job will first go to Ruben Tejada and then, Tovar.
Anthony DiComo[i] discussed the defensive questions regarding Travis d’Arnaud -
The only issue was d'Arnaud's defense. Struggling to throw out runners, he eventually succumbed to right elbow surgery in September, after a bone spur broke off inside the joint. The Mets are banking that a healthy arm will transform d'Arnaud. An expert at pitch framing who never exhibited significant throwing issues as a prospect, d'Arnaud vowed to watch tape of Yadier Molina, Buster Posey and other top catchers over the winter. He hopes that by spring, those issues will be behind him, allowing him to enjoy his first full healthy big league season.
I must have bought into the defensive skills of d’Arnaud a little too early. His bat work up, his framing looked top notched and I though we had our guy here. I guess additional time will be needed to resell me his skills behind the batter, but if he stat lines .280/.325/.399/830 with a credible frame, I’ll all in here.
But… I do need to re-visit Ian Desmond and Troy Tulowitzki on my team in 2016.
I’m like Sandy. I don’t buy out contracts with one year left on them.
I am sure I can get Desmond once he is free from his current contract.
First Desmond… 30 years old in 2016 (don’t care)… 24/91 in 2014 as a 28 year old (do care)…
$11mil in 2015… my guess $13mil-$2017, $15mil - $2018
Free agent at the end of the 2015 season – 0ffer 2-year contract @ $28mil
If not… Tulo – start with two top pitching prospects for 2015… Noah Syndergaard and Michael Fulmer
Established rotation pitcher – Dillon Gee
Catcher – Ali Sanchez
Tulowitzski - $20/mil a year through 2019 - $14mil/2020