Posted by Thomas Brennan at 11:18 AM
Tom Brennan - METS AND YANKS IN MLB TOP 100 PROSPECTS
You can have all the decent prospects you want on your favored team (mine being the Mets), and the MLB Top 100 list is not an exact harbinger of which players will have major league success, but if you’re good enough to be in that Top 100, your chances of being an impactful major leaguer seem pretty good.
Following that analogy, if your favorite prospect guy is not in the Top 100, unless he is a neophyte who will climb the list in the next year or two, his chances are not as good.
In the venerable Top 100, the Mets have a grand total of two (ugh!) guys:
# 11 – Amed Rosario SS
# 54 – Dominic Smith 1B
The Yanks, helped by trades, have 6, five of whom are in the Top 50:
# 15 – Clint Frazier OF
# 17 – Gleyber Torres SS
# 18 – Jorge Mateo IF
# 22 – Aaron Judge 1B
# 50 – Blake Rutherford, OF
# 78 – Justus Sheffield, LHP
Of course, the Yanks’ list was padded by 2016 trades.
So, the Mets guys you may root for that fall out of the Top 100 are: Robert Gsellman, Gavin Cecchini, and Brandon Nimmo. Missing the Top 100 is a reality check, but given Gsellman’s significant MLB success in 2016, I find his exclusion from the Top 100 quite puzzling. Also, a guy like TJ Rivera most likely never made a MLB Top 200, but he did pretty darned good in September for the Mets. So the list is not foolproof, nor is an exclusive indicator of success.
Most of the other guys in the Mets’ Top 20 who failed to crack the Top 100(Justin Dunn, Des Lindsay, Wuilmer Becerra, Tom Szapucki, Anthony Kay, Luis Carpio, Marcos Molina, Milton Ramos, Peter Alonzo, Andres Giminez, Merandy Gonzalez, and Tomas Nido) are new or very young guys, or in the case of Becerra, hurt much of last year, impacting his ranking.
If I had to project a year from now which Mets could well crack the venerable Top MLB 100, I’d say Dunn, Lindsay, Szapucki, and possibly Molina, Alonzo, and Giminez, but it is very unlikely all of those will. It is a tough list to crack.
What do you think, folks?
P.S. Last thought: getting Zach Wheeler back in 2017 could be like adding a Top 10 prospect to the Mets. Sure, he’s pitched a lot in the bigs, but not in 2015 and 2016. He compares favorably, if healthy, to any pitcher in the Top 100.