12/16/17

Reese Kaplan -- Feckless or Reckless: You Decide


Despite the addition of a quality (though somewhat unknown to many) reliever in Anthony Swarzak, the fanbase is still readying its pitchforks and torches watching the rest of the baseball world aggressively trying to improve their teams while the Mets continue to wait out the market.  This waiting approach worked arguably twice. The first time was when the 11th hour trade was consummated that sent Matt den Dekker to the nation’s capital in exchange for little known reliever Jerry Blevins.  The other time was when they signed Yoenis Cespedes for the 2016 season when his market failed to develop.  In now 8 seasons it's been an unmitigated disaster and it's time to try a new approach.

Now no one rightfully expected Giancarlo Stanton but sometimes an effort is worth a huge public relations boost.  To not even try only guarantees failure.  In the case of Shoei Ohtani at least they made the gesture and I defended the team here because they did not meet the conditions imposed by the player himself.  I can live with that.



However, my blood alternated between running cold and boiling on Wednesday when I read that the St. Louis Cardinals obtained Gold Glove and Silver Slugger winner Marcell Ozuna from the Miami Marlins.  What is the excuse for the inertia this time?  It couldn’t be that he was too costly.  He’s still in arbitration years.  It couldn’t be that he doesn’t fulfill a need or play a position where the Mets most definitely have a vacancy.  As it is they’re going into the 2018 campaign with Yoenis Cespedes, Juan Lagares and Brandon Nimmo manning the outfield. 

Now it’s water under the bridge, spilled milk or closing the barn door after the cows have left to complain about it now.  There are other options out there such as Christian Yelich who is signed to an extremely reasonable contract yet there is no indication the club is making any gestures at all. 


In fact, with talent available on the market like Wade Davis, Greg Holland, Eric Hosmer and the like, we instead read the Mets are going hot and heavy after folks like Ryan Goins (and now Jose Lobaton) who were released by the Blue Jays and Nationals respectively after sporting career averages in the .220s.  It’s one thing to try spend money prudently, and it’s another altogether to pick from the scrap heap exclusively.

Even in the Rule V draft did they roll the dice on a $100K player to improve the club?  No, instead they used their high ranking slot to pick a player they could flip to Baltimore.  Unbelievable!  For the record, I was all in on lefty Nestor Cortes formerly of the Yankees organization who has a 2.08 ERA for his entire career with unbelievable peripheral numbers.  You want to know who took him?  Baltimore!  Then they got a second Rule V guy in the deal with the Mets.  One of these clubs wants to improve and another wants to turn the status quo into an art form.  


Now I can partially understand the lack of movement on the trade front.  After all, the same GM whose greatest attribute is sitting on his butt doing nothing has had a horrific track record of drafting future players leaving him precious little to barter.  Oh, he did stock the farm system with over a half dozen relief pitchers, but then goes on record saying his biggest need (and only major league action) is to bolster the bullpen.  How do you think that makes Mssrs. Callahan, Rhame, Bautista, Smith and others feel when your new boss tells you that despite declaring his relief pitching a disaster, YOU are not the answer?


So what about the free agent path?  After all, signing one does not require you to part with any of the chips you have that may or may not be desirable to opposing teams’ GMs.  What is the excuse for staying out of the bidding for an Eduardo Nunez or Lorenzo Cain or Mike Moustakas or Todd Frazier or J.D. Martinez?  Now if you TRY and they say no, that’s beyond your control.  However, to preemptively take yourself out of the running without even making an attempt smacks of gross incompetence and major cowardice.


The alternative viewpoint is that rather than betting on heads or tails, Alderson is instead betting on the coin landing on its edge, that confluence of rarities of health, productivity and bad luck for your opponents creating a rift in the competitive landscape.  That's recklessness of the highest order.  We've seen how well that "plan" has worked out the past several years.  (And don't give me the two consecutive post-season argument...they had NO offense either year until Yoenis Cespedes arrived along with a fortified bullpen with late season additions.  Planning to go into the year behind the eight ball and hoping everyone else is equally bad is not a strategy).

The truth many suspect is that despite assurances to the contrary, the Wilpons are still in deep financial doo-doo and simply cannot take the risk that accompanies spending to win.  If that is indeed the case, just as the Dodgers owner was forced to abandon ship, it’s time MLB Commissioner Manfred puts the same microscope on the club in Queens.  After seven years the fans are mighty itchy for a change.    

19 comments:

Mack Ade said...

Morning Reese -

It is impossible to find out what went on between the sheets (can we still use this phrase?) at the Winter Meetings.

I don't think there is a fan left on Twitter that likes what is going on in Metsville.

(Should we open a Go Fund account to raise the money and take out a billboard outside the stadium like others did a couple of years ago?)

As for Swarzak, this one caught me off guard. I knew very little about him and, after checking Baseball Cube, I was thrilled with what he did last year. I will have say that I found the money being paid to him a little steep.

Lastly, I want to remind everyone that most GMs do not see the Mets having much to trade for, other than the handful of gems Sandy won't let go off.

As for free agents, most of them want no part of NYC, be it the pressure, the beat press, the drama (Twitter), or the Wilpons.

The Mets seemed destined to draft better players and build from within.

Mike Freire said...

The last eight years “an unmitigated disaster” is a bit strong, isn’t it? The Mets made a run to the WS in 2015 and a follow up appearance in the playoffs in 2016, followed by unprecedented injuries derailing the club last year.

I agree changes are needed and I would love to have seen some of the players recently signed and traded elsewhere, on our roster for this season. However, I don’t know how you blame Sandy for not landing Stanton, Ohtani or even Ozuna. It’s not like they publically preferred the Mets and Sandy ignored them. By all accounts, the Mets did make overtures to Ohtani and were rebuffed.

As Mack stated, it is hard to know what is going on behind the scenes.......I don’t think Sandy is being negligent or not trying. Plus, most of MLB has been quiet, with a bunch of options still available.

Tom Brennan said...

Simply put, the fans need to see the Mets trying to get players one could see playing everyday for a 90-95 win caliber team. We have not seen that "trying" and it is painful. But whether we see it now or not, if we get one or 2 higher impact players going forward this winter, maybe we will be cautiously optimistic about 2018 come February.

Anonymous said...

Reese i couldn’t agree with you more

Zozo

Reese Kaplan said...

@Mike -- I said the waiting out the market approach has been an unmitigated disaster. Do you remember where the team was in 2015 before the cavalry arrived in mid-season?

Also, I did give credit for trying for Ohtani, but they publicly said they did not try for Stanton and no reports exist that they tried for Ozuna. No reports exist that they tried for any impact players whatsoever.

As far as the injuries, what was the plan? What did they do to plan for iron man David Wright missing time? What did they do to compensate for the loss of the starting pitchers? What did they do to fortify the bullpen? Let me remind you they did not add a single major league player last year. (Perhaps I should back off since this year they've added ONE).

Then they sold off all of the expiring contracts for over a half dozen relief pitchers and go out to sign -- wait for it -- a relief pitcher.

They also did not sell off Jose Reyes who, granted, was making near minimum, but wouldn't it have been the time to see what guys like Cecchini and Flores were capable of doing playing regularly but nooooooooo...

Tom Brennan said...

Reese, Ozuna would have been a great add. It would sure be great to know why he isn't coming to Queens, rather than St Looie.

Maybe, just maybe, Juan Lagares will amp up his bat - and value - in 2018 - just posted a New York Times article to that effect.

vtmet said...

Disagree with 2 points that Mack made in his comments:
1) "Free Agents don't want to come to NYC". I'll agree that they may not want to join the Mets circus; but they don't seem to have any issues with the NYC/Philly/Boston area in itself.

2) "The Mets seem destined to draft better players". Umm, first they would need to find a GM that has a clue about 1st round quality draft picks...Nimmo, Ccheninni? I think everyone other than the Mets knew that these guys were NOT first round guys.

The Mets have a small market owner of a big market team. When he already has a playoff caliber team with a few holes; he seems to refuse to accept that his revenue stream can cover the additions.

And at the same token, when the team realistically has no chance, he can't accept that either, and has the GM pick up some crappy older veterans to keep the team in the middle of the pack until enough tickets get sold to fill his "bottom line"...by doing this, he is keeping the Mets from getting one of the premier 1st round draft picks...which is how the Nats and the Astros built up.

In the Nats case, they tanked long enough to get Harper and Strassburg as consecutive first picks...and also drafted both Anthony Rendon and Trea Turner as first round picks as well...and then went all "Team Boras" in the Free Agent market..

Reese Kaplan said...

Preach on, VT, my friend. They are not only too cowardly to do what it will take to win, they are too cowardly to allow the losing to happen which will either allow players to develop or guarantee the draft picks that come with the poorest record.

Mack Ade said...

vtmet -

Once again... drum roll please...

S A N D Y D O E S N O T M A K E T H E D R A F T P I C K S

Tom Brennan said...

Cowardly? Reese, you sure ain't lion about that.

vtmet said...

whether he hires assistants to make the draft picks or makes them himself, he's still overseeing "his guys" and they aren't going to make the dumb recommendations without his approvals.

Anonymous said...

I find nothing more frustrating than Monday morning quarterbacking on draft picks. Nearly every mock draft had Cecchini going in the top 15 picks. Looking back, MacksMets was part of this consensus.

Nimmo may have been a little more of a stretch (projected mostly 20-32), but nearly every source also said he had the upside of a top 15.

No doubt looking back these picks seem underwhelming, but you can play this game with 90% of picks outside 1-5.


Reese Kaplan said...

We don't tend to draft power bats.

Bill Metsiac said...

Hey, VT---it's been a long time since we talked. Hope all is well with you.

Do you really want to see us have 2 or 3 100-loss seasons in a row so that 5 years from now we can contend? All while competing with you-know-who for the back pages and fannies in the seats?

That might work in a ONE-team town like Houston or Washington, but never here.

Bill Metsiac said...

Thanks for saying that, Mack. You and I seem to be the only ones here who realize that.

bgreg98180 said...

May bo true. BUT
Alderson is 100% responsible for hiring & FIRING those that do make the draft picks

vtmet said...

Hey Bill Metsiac,

All is well in vtlandia, except for the cold and snow...I lost contact with your yahoo group awhile back...stop by the forum and say hi sometime, it's only me and Reese posting there now that Hitman Mike passed away this season...

Bill Metsiac said...

You mean the old MOFO? I haven't checked it out for years. Who is Hitman Mike? Is it still as nasty as it was?

vtmet said...

Not the old MOFO (or whatever it's called nowadays)...it is just a small runboard forum that Reese and I are at...and we are pretty much the only members that post there:

http://bthedugout.runboard.com/