Good morning.
I decided to have a little fun (in a non-fun
season) and try to determine what players would be involved if the Mets went
full tilt boogie Marlins style.
There is no way knowing what we would get for
any of the players we DFA’d. It might be no one. But it would clear the roster
for a completely new direction with a target around 2021-2022.
First, who do we keep either out of necessity
or the fact that their current contract or injury status prevent them from
moving:
SP Jacob deGrom -
like it or not, we are building our team around this guy… at least until the
end of the 2023 season.
2B – Robinson Cano –
a real dead contract. $24mil through 2023. You might be able to find a team
that would take on a share of this contract (because, as of today, he still has
good legs), but (for now in this post), for now, on this team, Cano is a dead man
walking.
C – Wilson Ramos -
$9.5mil through 2020 – the thing that Ramos has going for him is the fact that
the Mets have no one in the pipeline ready to step up behind the plate
Now… the ones exiting:
OF Yoenes Cespedes - 100% repayment to Mets from insurance company for his 'non-baseball related broken ankle'.
OF Yoenes Cespedes - 100% repayment to Mets from insurance company for his 'non-baseball related broken ankle'.
IF
Todd Frazier – remainder of 2019 $8.5mil contract
SP
Jason Vargas – remainder of 2019 $8mil contract.
CF
Juan Lagares – remainder of 2019 $9mil contract
IF Jed Lowrie - $10mil through 2020… Jed, we hardly
knew ye…
RP Jeurys Familia -
$10mil/yr. through 2021
RP Justin Wilson –
remainder of 2019 $5mil contract and 2020 second year ($5mil) as well.
SP Zack Wheeler –
trade the remainder of his $5.975mil 2019 contract
RP Luis Avilan –
remainder of his $1.6mil 2019 contract
I have no idea who the Mets would get in
return for any of these players. Familia would probably bring you a chip while a
Wheeler trade to a pennant contender could bring two.
Still, I can’t set up a re-boot based on
players I don’t have under contract. I have to use those I listed above and
fill in with, at least, 21 more players that could run on the field NOW.
So… who remains?
SP
Noah Syndergaard – FA in 2022
SP
Steven Matz – FA in 2022
OF
Michael Conforto – FA in 2022
OF
Brandon Nimmo – FA in 2023
CL
Edwin Diaz – FA in 2023
RP
Seth Lugo – FA in 2023
RP
Robert Gssellman – FA in 2023
SS
Amed Rosario – FA in 2024
OF
Jeff McNeil – FA beyond 2025
3B
J.D. Davis – FA beyond 2025
1B
Pete Alonso – FA beyond 2025
1B/PH
Dominic Smith – FA beyond 2025
We now have 15 quality capable players we can run out to the field, consisting of:
3
starters (Jake, Thor, Matz)
3
relievers (Lugo, Gsellman, Diaz)
4
infielders (1B Alonso, 2B Cano, SS Rosario, 3B Davis)
3
outfielders (Conforto, Nimmo, McNeil)
1
catcher (Ramos)
1
utility (Dom Smith – I want this guy but I need
him to do more than PH and fill in at first. I’m going to come uo with some way
to send him back to Extended Camp to get OJT on playing the corner outfield
positions)
We still need:
2
more starters
4
more relievers
1
backup catcher
3
more IF/OF utility players (Smith already being one)
Now what? Well, I’m going to fill in with
what is ready in AAA-Syracuse, but I’m going to rely heavily on the talent I am
developing at AA-Binghamton. Other teams are doing this and, may I say, they
are very successful at it.
So my choices, for the remainder of 2019 are:
SP
– Anthony Kay, David
Peterson
RP
– Stephen Villines, Ryley
Gilliam, Stephen Nogosek,
Joseph Zanghi
C
- I’ll stay with Tomas Nido through 2019
UT-OF
– I’ll stay with Carlos Gomez
UT-IF
– Luis Guillorme, Dilson
Herrera
Sure, the ride would be bumpy for the rest of
the season, but these kids would now know that they are the future of this
team.
In the wings for 2020 –
SP
Tony Dibrell RP
Adonis Uceta RP
Andrew Mitchell
RP Drew Smith SS
Andres Gimenez C-1B
Patrick Mazeika
This is with no new chips from the players
DFA’s or anyone signed in the off season.
Not the best team… but if the Mets can redirect
their emphasis on quality chips, both domestically through the draft, but
internationally as well… this whole mess may have a way of working itself out.
The least… we should have a team that can
prevent a sweep in Miami.
9 comments:
Mack, it is so hard to project a rebuild, because it seems every other day, someone gets hurt.
This time, besides La Absencia Cespedes, the patron saint of extended absences, the invaluable Seth Lugo goes on the 10-day injured list due to right biceps tendinitis. Sometimes, with the Mets, 10 days is just a starting point.
I am thrilled with Kay and Gilliam. Kay's rise could lead to Wheeler's departure at mid season. Gilliam could soon give us a tough pen arm that the Mets desperately need.
Familia could go too - even Jed Lowrie, if he returns healthy and productive.
Anyone want Matz?
I would like to see Smith learn the outfield more - trade value of 1st basemen is often lower than for other positions, so someone who can play both 1B and the OF could increase his value. Dom is lighter, and playing well, but I am not sure whether lighter made him any quicker.
Tom -
Just my thoughts to prove the org.is weak.
Interesting, Mack.
I think it shows that things were pretty rough under Sandy's tenure and that "gift" will keep on giving for a while.
The hard part is that the Mets have been in purgatory for a long time, caught between trying to stay competitive and needing a rebuild. It manifested itself in a bevy of poor veteran contracts and mediocre on field results.
The powerhouse Astros suffered through a rebuild the "right way" and are now stacked for the foreseeable future.
I can't see the Mets following the same path.
Mike, the Mets have the more successful Yanks in town - if they weren't here, they might do the blow up and rebuild - but competing for hometown fans, they really can't. Because they might be a lot less successful than the Astros at doing it.
Meanwhile, hundreds of thousands more new Yank fans would be birthed.
They need to at least partially compete with the Yanks.
Mack you're right - this team's talent is like thin ice on a pond - it doesn't take much to make it crack open.
Tom/Mike
This next International and domestic draft is going to say a lot for the future of this team.
We hired all this expensive analytics suits to handle this process.
Things will turn around in 3 years if you draft the right players... and NOT trade them as they mellow.
(BTW - the word I'm getting is the Mets are DEFINITELY going college pitcher with the first pick)
I will wrap up my pre-draft posts on June 2nd with my last mock average, and my thoughts going into Draft Night)
If they are going college pitcher with the first pick, that must mean they are relying on Tim Tebow to give this franchise the jolt it needs for the next decade!
Kidding aside, that's OK with me as long as the Mets go with power in their second pick. Alonso was # 64 overall - I think it is safe to say they are happy with that pick.
To use an old Terry Collins cliche, Alonso has "Power Supreme." And how.
Tom -
There is a tremendous amount of power in this draft and there will be multiple names to pick from in both the second and third round.
man I hate these post when i cant comment the day of....
this is where Macks site is the best of all....
A full rebuild when we traded Kelenic ? man I would lose my marbles...
It doesnt matter who is at the helm... BVW now... I always seem to hate the Mets Moves... Shopping at walmart thinking instead of on fifth avenue...
Diaz (and he would have to be s top 2 closer for the lenght of his Mets Career) still does not justify getting cano and his current salary we are paying at 36, and losing Kelenic should have been a deal breaker... Period...
When will we ever make the Chapman deal and we come back with the Torres? heck Thor wasnt the centerpiece of that deal and he hasnt lived up to the expectations...
I am all for a full and i mean full rebuild because we will never purchase in free agency the right pieces we need to get over the top...
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