10/13/14

Arizona Fall League: Scottsdale Scorpions 7 - Surprise Saguaros 6

4 comments
     

     Strong offensive day for the Mets prospects. Brandon Nimmo has now gotten a hit in all 4 games he's played in. Today was a RBI double off Seattle prospect Matt Anderson. He also drove in a second RBI via a 5th inning ground-out. Meanwhile, Matt Reynolds brought the lumber in today's game. With the game tied 5 - 5 in extra innings, Reynolds pulled a 2 run HR over the left field wall to give the Scorpions the lead.

     Rob Whalen got the start in this one and struggled in the 2nd inning. He gave up 3 ER on 3 hits and 2 BB. In his other two innings of work, 2 IP, 0 H, and 3 K's.
Final
Scottsdale
Surprise
12345678910
1200101002
0301001001
RHE
7112
6111
Recap | Box Gameday Launch Gameday 
W: Ogando (1-0, 2.25) L: Klimesh (0-1, 9.00)
Scottsdale Scorpions
PlayerPosABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOAVG
Roman QuinnCF320000021.133
Brandon NimmoLF501100202.333
Dan Gamache2B401000111.300
Greg Bird1B511000002.381
Dante Bichette Jr.3B401000011.182
Tyler AustinDH400000010.267
Matt ReynoldsSS523101201.286
Kyle HigashiokaC523001200.600
Daniel CarbonellRF501000003.154
Totals407112027511.243
BATTING
2B: Nimmo (3, Younginer), Reynolds, M (1, Scott).
HR: Higashioka (1, 2nd inning off Bonilla, 1 on, 2 out), Reynolds, M (1, 10th inning off Klimesh, 1 on, 2 out).
RBI: Gamache (2), Higashioka 2 (2), Nimmo 2 (2), Reynolds, M 2 (2).

BASERUNNING
SB: Quinn 3 (3, 2nd base off Bonilla/Cantwell, 3rd base off Bonilla/Cantwell, 2nd base off Younginer/Cantwell), Higashioka (1, 2nd base off Klimesh/Cantwell).
CS: Bichette Jr. (1, 2nd base by Smith, B/Cantwell).

FIELDING
E: Nimmo (1, fielding), Carbonell (2, fielding).
Outfield assists: Quinn (Williams at 3rd base).
Surprise Saguaros
PlayerPosABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOAVG
Mallex SmithDH300000121.167
Rusney CastilloCF612000002.333
Nick WilliamsLF601100102.150
Hunter RenfroeRF421000011.353
Patrick Kivlehan1B512001200.235
Seth Mejias-Brean3B411100011.214
Juan Perez2B411000010.250
Trea TurnerSS403000211.600
Pat CantwellC400000012.000
Totals406112016710.287
BATTING
2B: Mejias-Brean (1, Cotham), Williams (1, Ogando).
HR: Kivlehan (2, 2nd inning off Whalen, 1 on, 0 out).
RBI: Kivlehan 2 (5), Smith, M (1), Turner 2 (2), Williams (3).

BASERUNNING
SB: Perez, J (1, 3rd base off Whalen/Higashioka), Turner (1, 2nd base off Whalen/Higashioka).

FIELDING
E: Turner (1, fielding).
Scottsdale Scorpions
PlayerIPHRERBBSOHRERA
Rob Whalen3.03332319.00
Caleb Cotham1.02111209.00
Ethan Stewart2.00003302.70
Adrian Sampson (BS, 1)1.02110104.50
Tyler Rogers1.01000000.00
Nefi Ogando (W, 1-0)2.03111102.25
Totals10.0116671015.80
Surprise Saguaros
PlayerIPHRERBBSOHRERA
Lisalverto Bonilla3.02331319.00
Matt Anderson2.02110203.00
Burch Smith1.01001104.50
Madison Younginer1.02111004.50
Robby Scott1.01001100.00
Carlos Gonzalez1.00001200.00
Ben Klimesh (L, 0-1)1.03220219.00
Totals10.0117751124.11

4 comments:

Michael S. said...

Looks like Reynolds has some pop too. I don't know why there's this sentiment that his season was a fluke and he still has all this doubt. The guy might have struggled in 2013 while he was adjusting to pro ball but he was a 2nd rd pick in 2012. This shouldn't be such a surprise.

He's a sleeper pick for a middle IF position next year.

Christopher Soto said...

@Michael S.

The knocks against Reynolds come from a sabermetric point of view.

Reynolds has logged 286 Games in his minor league career so far. In his career so far he's posted a ISOlated power rate of only .089. His batting average is a career .240 on a reasonable .288 BABIP.

For just his 2014 AAA season, his BABIP rocketed up to a unsustainable .404 which, by sabermetric standards, dragged his batting average up as well to .333.

The reason it's deamed "unsustainable" is because, since 2000, only 9 players have been able to carry a BABIP over .350 in their careers and no one has a rate over .366.

Even if we assume Reynolds can hold a .350 BABIP rate, his batting average then falls to still respectable .284.

But if he regresses back to his career norm of .288 BABIP, his batting average is a much less impressive .235.

Michael S. said...

Advanced advanced stats aside, I can't believe his success in 3 different leagues all comes down to luck.

I would peg him as a .280-.300 hitter with a high OBP, speed (20 steals last year) and some pop. He has the makings of a solid leadoff or #2 hitter.

buddy3 said...

I agree. Everyone seems to want to treat this past season as a fluke, but his 2nd round selection and top college program suggest that he is something special. I can see the need to do it again, but scouts were quoted during the season as saying that he is better than Tejada now so why overlook him?

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