Posted by Mack Ade at 8:00 AM
I was thinking the other morning about just how many real, producing prospects we have left in the system and which ones will probably experience some form of promotion in 2015. Some, as in the case of Jayce Boyd, already have, but here’s a working list of players you should expect ending the 2015 season in a different place than they started:
2B Dilson Herrera – AAA-Las Vegas: .370 – ETA: currently 7day-DL 2015
2B LJ Mazzilli - A+ St. Lucie debut this week - will finish at AA-Binghamton
LHSP Steven Matz – AAA-Las Vegas: 6-2 1.99 1.04 – ETA MLB post ASG 2015
LF Jayce Boyd –
St. Lucie - .304 – transferred to AA-Binghamton May 2015
SS Gavin Cecchini – AA-B/Mets: .315 – proj. transfer to AAA post 2015 ASG
RHRP Paul Sewald – AA-Binghamton – 18-G, 1.52, 0.89 – post ASG AAA 2015
LF Michael Conforto –
St. Lucie – .283 – transferred to AA-Bing May 2015
SS Amed Rosario – A+ St. L - .281- proj. transfer to AA-B/Mets post 2015 ASG
RHSP Robert Gsellman –
St. L – 6-0, 1.76 –transferred to AA-Bing May 2015
RHSP Rob Whalen –A+ St. L– 2-3 2.72 proj transfer to AA-Bing post ASG 2015
RHRP Akeel Morris – A+ St.L- 17-G, 1.50- proj trans to AA-Bing post ASG 2015
SS Luis Guillorme – A/Savannah - .317 – proj transfer to A+ post ASG 2015
LHSP Brad Wieck – A/Sav – 58K/43.2-IP – proj transfer to A+ post ASG 2015
RHSP Casey Meisner – A/Sav – 2.02/1.04 – proj transfer to A+ post ASG 2015
LHRP David Roseboom – A/Sav – 1.57/0.96 – proj transfer to A+ post ASG 2015
My guess is Herrera and Matz will both finish the season in New York, and I’m not just talking about September when rosters are increased. I frankly don’t expect much from David Wright this season. The Mets need to strongly consider their insurance options.
Right now, and boy, I hope I’m conservatively wrong, I see three potential ‘stars’ on this list… Herrera, Matz, and Michael Conforto. I see others that could make a splash or become a back-end starter (if there were any room for one of them in the next five years), but there’s only so many people that can pitch in a rotation or play shortstop.
The obvious ‘wild card’ here is Conforto. It’s looking like a great draft pick (more every day) though I’m still not sure of him home run potential at the major league level. He started out well this season in A+ ball, but the long ball did tail off in the month of May. My hopes is he will continue to bulk up in this off season and come into camp ready to air it out in spring training.
Can he make the 2016 Mets 25-man? I don’t think so because I don’t see a full time outfield job open yet and you don’t want a guy this talents sitting on the bench. No, send him to Vegas where he can tee off and run up his offensive stats.
It amazes me how bad a team can look like its playing and yet still play themselves back into contention for first place.
I have particularly been following the bullpen these past few weeks and I have to tell you, my stomach starts to churn every time a starter gives the ball over to anyone other than Jeurys Familia.
Oh, there’s Jack Leathersich, who has a 0.00-ERA, but he pitches one batter per game so how can you get excited about that?
Erik Goeddel and Alex Torres have been a pleasant surprise but both have put up a couple of clunkers recently.
No, I hate to say it, the Mets bullpen just doesn’t have the second guy that I can take a deep breath, sit back, and mutter to myself that everything is going to be alright.
I say that when Familia pitches, but I can’t with any of these guys, and waiting for Vic Black or Bobby Parnell to come back seems like eternity.
I can’t believe I’m going to say this, but I can’t wait for Jenrry Mejia to get back. (I still wish on Montero in the 7th…) Mejia in the 8th, Familia in the 9th… yeah, deep breath… sit back…
As best as I can predict, Oakland, Philadelphia, and Milwaukee will be the first three teams to begin to shed payroll this season.
Cincinnati, Miami, Boston, and Toronto could quickly follow.
The prime candidates are always the guys that are playing in their last contracted year, or the one with one more season under ink.
There’s been a tremendous amount of speculation about the A’s possibly moving 2B Ben Zobrist, but what about someone like OF Josh Reddick? The 28-year old ex-17th round draft pick is currently being paid $4.1mil in his ARB-2 year. He’s hitting .300+ and you can count on a raise to the $7-8mil range in 2016. What better time to move him is a deal to a team with young pitcher or two under team control?
We all know the obvious players on the Phillies that have been discussed, but do you think that the Mets might be interested in a deal that would secure 27-year old Ben Revere for their outfield bench? Revere is currently being paid $4.1mil in his second year of arbitration and various Philly sources said that he could be on the move.
And forget Ryan Braun. I want my old centerfielder back! Wouldn’t be great to have Carlos Gomez playing next to Juan Lagares? The 29-year old Gomez is contracted through the 2016 season for $9mil. Like Reddick, two minimal salary guys under control by the team could be the trick here.
As for the Reds, they have been throwing around the name of Johnny Cuerto, but my choice would be either Jay Bruce or, if David Wright’s career did project to be over and the Mets were going to go down the insurance road, Todd Frazier. Bruce’s 2016 deal ($12.542mil followed by FA-2017) is considered cheap in today’s market, and Frazier is inked for $8.25mil (ARB-2). The Mets could easily put together 2-3 team controlled prospects plus one of their young pitchers for either of these studs.
Regarding the Marlins, you’re never going to get Giancarlo Stanton away from these guys, but my guess is Christian Yelich (7-yr, 49.57mil – 2015-2022) would become available, especially if this team keeps losing an Yelich keeps under-producing.
As for the Red Sox, frankly, no one lines up here for a possible deal with the Mets.
And lastly, the Blue Jays have only two players under contract past this season, Russell Martin and Jose Reyes.
I’m sure there other deals, with other players, that could be done. I’m just throwing out a few names here to digest.