Tom Brennan: METS HOME FIELD DISADVANTAGE V. 2
Yesterday, I wrote about the Mets' sickening home field disadvantage, looking at home and away wins from 2011 to present. Offensive disparities home vs. away are a key component.
Most clubs' hitters love hitting at home. Stats show the Mets dread it - see below. I'd like your thoughts as to why hitting at home is drastically worse than on the road for this franchise.
2017:
Home: 30th in hitting (.232); 4.14 runs per game; 81 homers
Away: 3rd in hitting (.263); 5.18 runs per game;
104 homers
2016:
Home: 26th in hitting (.239); 4.18 runs per game; 112 homers
Away: 14th in hitting (.253); 4.10 runs per game; 106 homers
2015:
Home: 30th in hitting (.233); 3.86 runs per game; 85 homers
Away: 9th in hitting (.255); 4.56 runs per game; 92 homers
2014:
Home: 30th in hitting (.224); 3.53 runs per game; 59 homers
Away: 8th in hitting (.252); 4.23 runs per game; 66 homers
2013:
Home: 30th in hitting (.219); 3.30 runs per game; 59 homers
Away: 14th in hitting (.254); 4.33 runs per game; 71 homers
2012:
Home: 25th in hitting (.242); 3.54 runs per game; 67 homers
Away: 9th in hitting (.256); 4.48 runs per game; 72 homers
2011:
Home: 10th in hitting (.262); 4.04 runs per game; 50 homers
Away: 5th in hitting (.265); 4.81 runs per game; 58 homers
Averages 2011 – 2017:
Home: 26th in hitting; 3.78 runs per game; 76
homers
Away: 9th in hitting; 4.51 runs per game; 84
homers
4 comments:
There is a curse somewhere - any surprise that Conforto ends up with his freak, season-ending injury at home?
For comparison, how did other teams hit at Citifield?
Anonymous that is a good question that I plan on looking into in the near future. A topic for another day.
Anonymous, there may be better stats on how other teams hit at Citifield, but let me put it this way: the Mets over 7 years score only 83.8% as many runs at home than on the road.
At Citifield over the same period, runs at home vs. road overall (Mets and opponents) is 88.9% of league average.
So it seems that, to average 88.9% overall (Mets and other teams), opponents would have to score at 94% of league average at Citifield, compared to the Mets' 83.8%. That is a very significant deficit for Mets hitters at Citifield vs opponents, while at the same time they are 9th in hitting on the road (so, most likely, better than their opponents on the road).
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