4/10/22

Mack - Mock Draft v3.0 - Pick 1.10 - LHP - Bryce Hubbart

 


Bryce Hubbart 

LHP         5-11         180         Florida State 

2021 FSU stat line - 16-G, 14-ST, 6-5, 3.80, 71-IP, 94-K

 

3-7-22 - https://www.prospectslive.com/prospects-live/2022/3/7/week-3-gassed-up -

 BRYCE HUBBART, FLORIDA STATE 

Early on this year, Florida State southpaw Bryce Hubbart has been one of college baseball’s most dominant arms. He started his season off hot with a five-inning, 13-strikeout gem against James Madison and followed it up by striking out nine across six scoreless in a win over Samford a week later. 

Hubbart and the Seminoles hosted California this weekend and, even though he gave up his first runs of the season, the draft eligible left-hander dominated yet again. Hubbart went 7 ⅔ innings, punching out 12 batters and walking just one. He did allow five hits and gave up a home run, but it was still an impressive performance by an arm that’s steadily ascending up draft boards in a weak college pitching class. Hubbart’s deceptiveness on the mound and his analytically friendly fastball help cover up a below-average velocity band. If he keeps pitching like this, Hubbart will make himself some money on draft day. 

 

3-5-22 - PG College Baseball @PGCollegeBall 

An extended look at Bryce Hubbart... FB (91), SL (81), CB (78) below. Finished w/ 12 K over 7.2 IP, 12 K & 71% strikes 

https://t.co/8teohI8Ucv 

                                                            

3-4-22 - Dick Howser Trophy @HowserTrophy 

Here are our National Players of the Month for February, as selected by the NCBWA: 

Hitter: 1B Tommy White of NC State (.588 BA, 9 HR, 29 RBI) 

Pitcher: LHP Bryce Hubbart of FSU (2-0, 0.00 ERA, 22 SO, 1 BB in 11 IP)

 

3-4-22 - Mason McRae @mason_mcrae 

Bryce Hubbart is one of 245 pitchers with at least 10 innings thrown this spring. He hasn’t allowed a run and has a 52.4 K%. 

He’s thrown the fifth-most pitches down the middle. Pitching is all about having good stuff and throwing down the middle.

 

Doug @FTLO_Baseball 

I love the last line here because it's as anti-establishment as it gets, but it's also fantastic because Hubbart's fastball has 40 velocity.

 

Mason McRae @mason_mcrae 

He might only have 45 velo, but Bryce Hubbart is getting plus VB on a flat heater and still has feel for his three 55+ secondaries 

If he gets up to 92-95, and starts throwing his improved sweeper (14-17” of sweep) at 83-84; it’s an intriguing top-10 profile. 

https://t.co/gzVSL8CxdO

  

2-22-22 - https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/2022-mlb-draft-stock-watch-elijah-green-flashes-tools-fsu-lefthanders-dominate-in-week-1/ - 

Week 1 

Bryce Hubbart, LHP, Florida State (No. 57) 

Hubbart followed up Messick’s performance by striking out a career-best 13 batters in five innings of work Saturday. He allowed just two hits and didn’t allow a single run or walk, while throwing just 75 pitches in a dominant showing that was thanks mostly to a fastball with outlier traits. 

Hubbart didn’t throw a single pitch harder than 92 mph in this look, but the pitch generated a ridiculous number of whiffs and ugly swings above the strike zone. It’s his clear bread-and-butter offering and was so effective that he rarely went to any secondary offerings.

 

1-18-22 - https://www.baseballamerica.com/rankings/2022-mlb-draft-top-100-prospects/ - 

57

Bryce Hubbart

Florida State LHP

Notes:

Ht: 6-1 | Wt: 185 | B-T: L-L

Commit/Drafted: Never Drafted 

Hubbart turned in a strong season for Florida State this spring, where he posted a 3.80 ERA over 71 innings, with 94 strikeouts and 29 walks. He followed that up with one of the best pitching performances in the Cape, posting a 0.87 ERA over 31 innings, with 45 strikeouts (13.1 K/9) and eight walks (2.3 BB/9). Hubbart sits in the low 90s, but the pitch plays up thanks to good spin and solid control, and he also mixes in a mid-70s curveball and low-80s changeup that are both swing-and-miss pitches. He worked to develop a slider over the summer, where he ranked as the No. 5 prospect in the Cape Cod League. Hubbart’s up-tempo delivery, over-the-top slot and spin profile allow his solid stuff to play up. 

 

12-30-21 - https://www.prospectslive.com/prospects-live/2021/12/29/2022-mlb-draft-top-300-prospects - 

37

Bryce Hubbart

LHP 

Florida State 

Windermere, FL 

When it comes to Hubbart, it's all limbs. It's an extremely funky, loud delivery that he repeats well and creates a ton of deception. To his credit, Hubbart fills up the zone despite the unique operation. Primarily a 3-pitch guy (FB, CB, CH), Hubbart has begun to work in a slurvy slider with plenty of sweep and a touch more velocity than his deeper curveball. The fastball is generally 89-92, though he's been up to 96 and his athleticism, arm speed and levers suggest those gains are coming permanently. The whole package is nasty, deceptive, wonky and effective. That may turn off some old-school scouts that seek the prototype, which Hubbart most certainly is not. 

 

1-7-22 - https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/future-four-college-lefthanders-to-know-in-the-2022-mlb-draft-class-vol-2/?s=03 - 

Bryce Hubbart, LHP, Florida State 

One of the standouts of the Cape Cod League over the summer of 2021, the Florida State lefty was almost universally considered one of the top two or three pitching prospects on the circuit by evaluators. He showed an evolving pitch mix and a natural curiosity for the data and science behind pitching, often sneaking off to the scout sections behind home where trackman units are housed on the Cape. It’s this focus on the craft that has allowed Hubbart to flourish and in some ways use his physical shortcomings to his advantage. 

The projected Saturday starter for the Seminoles, Hubbart will be one part of a three-headed monster in the Florida State rotation with teammates Parker Messick and Carson Montgomery. 

 

12-17-21 - si.com - 

22. St. Louis Cardinals | Bryce Hubbart, LHP, Florida State 

Hubbart made a jump this summer in the Cape Cod League, establishing himself as one of the top collegiate arms for the draft. He checks a ton of boxes with an athletic delivery, a fastball that flirts with the mid-90s, and a four-pitch mix highlighted by a hammer 12/6 curveball. For most of his Seminole career he’s been inconsistent at times, both in terms of stuff and results, but with consistency and maintained stuff he could go in the top half of the first round. -JG 

 

12-13-21 - Dan Zielinski III @DanZielinski3 

Bryce Hubbart (@brycehubbart) has developed into a potential first-round pick in the 2022 MLB Draft at FSU Baseball. Despite the attention, the LHP is focused on FSU's success this season.  

 

12-7-21 - SF Draft Talk - Top 25 - 

12. Bryce Hubbart 

Position: Left-Handed Pitcher 

School: Florida State 

Hubbart has a fairly ordinary build at around 6'0-6'1 and 190 lbs. He's a plus athlete with some potential to add strength. His delivery is unique and funky. He repeated his mechanics at a high rate this summer and works up tempo with a longer arm action. Hubbart hides the ball well and his operation is very deceptive which ticks his stuff up a notch or two. This is an interesting case as we've seen other college lefties with this kind of profile do well on draft day. The profile is attractive and relatively "safe" but Hubbart also has the chance to project much higher as a pro with more velocity. There's a non-zero chance that Hubbart climbs his way inside the top 5 or so picks this summer.

  

11-12-21 - Through The Fence Mock 2.0 - 

26. Chicago White Sox: Bryce Hubbart, LHP, Florida St. 

A smaller pitcher, but his control and spin rates make him legit. He’s hit 96 with his fastball, so if he comes firing that consistently 2022, expect him to remain in the first round.

 

11-1-21 - Prospect Live - Top 200 Prospects - 

19. Bryce Hubbart

Left-Handed Pitcher, Florida State 

When it comes to Hubbart, it's all limbs. It's an extremely funky, loud delivery that he repeats well and creates a ton of deception. To his credit, Hubbart fills up the zone despite the unique operation. Primarily a 3-pitch guy (FB, CB, CH), Hubbart has begun to work in a slurvy slider with plenty of sweep and a touch more velocity than his deeper curveball. The fastball is generally 89-92, though he's been up to 96 and his athleticism, arm speed and levers suggest those gains are coming permanently. The whole package is nasty, deceptive, wonky and effective. 

 

10-23-21 - PG College Baseball @PGCollegeBall 

Bryce Hubbart ('22 elig) worked 88-90 T91. Highly optimized FB plays up hugely & garners tons of S/M. SL at 78-80 (2700-2900 RPM) has huge lateral brk. Fut + pitch as he continues to harness. CB at 74-75 slurvy w/ big depth. Pitches w/ lots of intent. 

 

10-19-21 - Through The Fence - Mock 1.0 - 

26. Chicago White Sox: Bryce Hubbart, LHP, Florida St. 

A smaller pitcher, but his control and spin rates make him legit. He’s hit 96 with his fastball, so if he comes firing that consistently 2022, expect him to remain in the first round. 

 

9-22-21 - Joe Doyle @JoeDoyleMiLB 

Florida State LHP Bryce Hubbart features two of the most impressive breaking balls in the 2022 class. He's got deception and pounds the zone. Scouts think he's one of the most intriguing talents in next years draft class. A definitive name to know 

 

9-14-21 - Prospects Live - 

The math behind the Punch Score is the sum of a pitcher’s zScores for Whiff%, BB/9, and opposing SLG%. Each stat for the Punch Score is used to evaluate a small part of the pitcher’s arsenal and can be used to describe what kind of arsenal a pitcher has. Whether it is an arsenal that misses bats, limits hard contact but struggles with walks or, an arsenal that struggles to miss bats but limits walks and hard contact, we can get an idea on what kind of pitchability profile the pitcher has. The official formula for the Punch Score is shown below.

Punch = (zScored Whiff%) + (zScored BB/9) + (zScored SLG%)

  

14. BRYCE HUBBART 

2022 - FLORIDA STATE UNIVERSITY - BREWSTER WHITECAPS 

Analysis: Hubbart also has a very intriguing SP profile based on his Punch distribution. He demonstrates an innate ability to miss bats and execute pitches as shown by the near even BB Score and Whiff Score. Hubbart also shows the potential to further develop his arsenal as his Whiff Score still has room to grow.

4 comments:

Tom Brennan said...

A guy like Hubbart concerns me - velocity on the low side - not tall - I just wonder if he is high first round athleteic caliber.

Mack Ade said...

Having a great year.

One thing.

Everyone from who I pick at 1.8 and 1.15 could be the Mets first pick.

Still to early to properly guess at what the first 10 picks will be.

Tom Brennan said...

Maybe a guy like him at 1.14

Mack Ade said...

True

BTW

Two of last year's fine crop of starters... Hamill and Vasil.. are scoreless after 8