3/28/12

Mack and Company – 2012 Prediction

Mack - Well, it's that time again... What is your prediction for win-loss and divisional position for the Mets in 2012? ( 70 – 92 - 5th Place) 


 Teddy Dziuba - The Mets will lose 100+ games. Last place in the division


Wally MurphyI predict the Mets will finish 4th, but hope they finish higher.


Brian BernessUnfortunately, after all I've seen this spring, I have nothing to really be encouraged by. We almost have to hope things work out at every position on the field. Two of the more steady places on the field are actually negatives. Pelfrey's been awful- unless this is the best rope-a-dope since Muhammad Ali, he trends down. Bay has shown nothing. I hope for Santana's healthy return, but I don't see it.

This could get ugly and fast..which could actually be a good thing as the kids can just settle in and learn. It'll be fun following and hoping for Ike and Duda, but not much else. Attentions will be quickly turned to the minor league box scores and early anger on the airwaves will steady into irrelevance by the time July 4 hits and then nothing after the trade deadline.

Some people have expressed optimism of the 1984 and 1997 sort. I see more of a 1982 or 2003 output. 

I hope I'm wrong, but 67-95.


 Conrad Youngren - Mets finish 3rd at 83-79, 8G behind the Braves and Phillies who tie at 91-71 and have to enter a 1G play-off to see who meets the loser of the 91-71 Rockies-Giants NLW play-off to determine who plays the 2nd place 92-70 NLC Reds in the Wild Card Round. Book it. 


 Michael Scannell - 80-82, 3rd place 


 Jack Flynn - The Mets can keep their noses above .500 for a good part of the season, but injuries and general ineffectiveness will expose the lack of depth on the bench and major-league ready players in the farm system. I see another 78-84 finish. General predictions: * Johan Santana is never Johan Santana again, but settles into a decent mid-rotation starter. * Mike Pelfrey regresses even further to the point that he becomes the fifth starter or is dropped from the rotation entirely. * Jon Niese takes one step closer to becoming a reliable #3 starter on a playoff-quality team. * Jon Rauch struggles and is ultimately released. Frank Francisco and Ramon Ramirez are by no means dominant, but prove to be surprisingly effective. Bobby Parnell mercifully gets released. * Everyone hits. Josh Thole cracks singles, Daniel Murphy cracks doubles, Ike Davis cracks homers. David Wright and Jason Bay hit closer to career norms but do not regain superstar status. Lucas Duda becomes a Luke Scott-type producer at the plate (on his good years, not on his bad ones.) Ruben Tejada struggles, but shows enough with the glove that the Mets bat him eighth and endure his growing pains. * Nobody goes to Met games. Attendance hovers around 25,000, Banner Day is a disaster when all anti-Wilpon banners are confiscated and the Jackie Robinson Rotunda continues to taunt Met fans who have the temerity to believe their own team's history deserves more respect than a Dodger who played 60 years ago (Editor’s Note: BTW… this is the MOST positive Jack has been in years…)


Michael Jawitz -  All I ask is that the team plays hard and learns from their mistakes. 

They will be the best last place team in baseball this year. I think they'll win 72 games. Maybe.

It's a rebuilding year.)

1 comment:

Christopher Soto said...

77-85 4th place

ERA Leader: Dickey 3.23
Wins Leader: Niese 13
K's Leader: Niese 152
Avg Leader: Murphy .305
HR Leader: Davis/Duda 28 each
RBI Leader: Duda 89