9/2/13

Mack Ade – AM Report – 9-2-13 – Daniel Bard, Dodgertown, Matt Harvey, The Best of the GCL Mets

avatar - dodgerstown

J.P. ‏@Jaypers413  - RT @jnorris427: Talked to two scouts today about Mets. Both said they thought Noah Syndergaard would be better than Wheeler in the long run.

 

The Mets may want to consider taking a flyer on RHRP Daniel Bard. The Red Sox designated him on Sunday. Bard was a ‘can’t miss’ draft pick (2006 – 28th overall) out of North Carolina that became one of the top set-up men in baseball (2010 – Red Sox – 73-G, 1.93, 1.00, 74.2-IP, 76-K).  He had a good 2011 except for a miserable 10.64 ERA in September. He came back last year as a starter and that didn’t work either. Injuries set him back this season and he only played in 18-games for a combined four Red Sox teams. Bard is only 28 and looks like  perfect candidate for someone that needs a new home with a new pitching coach. I’m sign him to a minor league contract in a heartbeat.

 

Very good news for the 2014 Mets pen... RP Jeurys Familia started the last regular season St. Lucie game yesterday as part of a rehab program. He'll obviously be 100% in the spring.

 

Dodgertown –

Los Angeles agreed yesterday to allow its Dodgertown moniker to be used at the team’s former spring training base of 61 years in Vero Beach, Fla., four years after McCourt rejected a similar request from Minor League Baseball, which converted the site into a sports training and destination complex in 2009. Former Dodgers owner Peter O’Malley, who heads a group that purchased a majority stake in the site’s operation in November 2011, announced yesterday that he reached a licensing agreement with the team that allows him to call the famed complex “Historic Dodgertown – Vero Beach, Florida.” - http://www.baseballamerica.com/majors/dodgertown-returns-to-vero-beach/                                                                           

Mack - This is ‘nice news’. Many of us were first Brooklyn Bums fans before the Mets came along. I went to Vero Beach and wrote a center page feature story on Dodgertown for my old newspaper, The Bluffton Today. For some reason, I can’ find it, but I did find a shorter version of it I put on this web site in 2010: http://www.macksmetsreport.com/dodgertown-revisited/  It still is so sad that the Dodgers couldn’t have stayed in this town that has basically dried up since they left. It’s still very, very sad.

 

 

Mike Cardillo on Matt Harvey Future Payday -

Pre-injury: Eight years, $22 million per season. Post-injury Five years, $18 million per season. Harvey talked about earning a $200 million deal earlier this year. With the injury, it’s doubtful the Mets will rework his current deal right away. They could try to buy out his arbitrator years, but would be dealing with Boras to do so. Bear in mind there are stats out there that over a third of current MLB pitchers have had elbow surgery, so Harvey’s career is far from in jeopardy, but until he’s back out there healthy his future contract status is up in the air. We’ll talk about this a little more with the next candidate, as it bodes well for Harvey.. http://thebiglead.com/2013/08/30/mlb-contracts-five-young-players-in-line-for-big-paydays/

Mack – I’m surprised anyone is talking about a long term contract for Harvey. I guarantee you it’s the last thing the Mets, Scott Boras, or Matt Harvey is thinking about right now.

 

The Best of the GCL Mets -

3B Jhoan Urena – 157-AB, .299/.351/.376/.727 – Urena is easily the most pleasant surprise on this team. This is the second year for the 18-year old in the Mets organization (2012 – DSL: .279). He does need to spend a little more time practicing ground balls (17-E),but his immediate future as a Met seems locked in. Look for him either at Kingsport or Brooklyn in 2014.

1B Dominic Smith – 167-AB, .287/.384/.407/.791 – We all know who Smith is. No one questioned his talent or ability… just some of us questioned why the Mets keep using their first pick for high school kids rather than someone that can help them in 2-3 years. The 18-year old was promoted to Kingsport this week for their playoffs, which is probably the team he will play for next season; however, there is an outside chance you could see him on opening day in Brooklyn.

2B Leon Canelon – 151-AB, .278/.327/.364/.692 – This was the third season for Canelon as a Me, but the first two were spent with the DSL team. The problem here is his age… he turn 22 next month. He basically has no power and doesn’t steal, so I’m not sure what his long term future is; however, he has earned himself a promotion to Kingport.

SS Luis Guillorme – 159-AB, .258/.337/.283/.620 – This year’s 10th round pick had a nice first professional season (like I always say… hitting .250 in the same year you played in school is like hitting .300). He’s only 18, but it’s hard to project where he will play next year because of the bunch of guys ahead of him (Phillip Evans, Gavin Cecchini, Amed Rosario, Jeff McNeill, Victor Cruzado).

OF Wuilmer Beccera – 173-AB, .243/.351/.295/.646 – This is the kid from the R.A. Dickey trade that we all expected to light the world on fire this season. Well, he didn’t do that. He started strong in June (.346) but had a miserable July (.176).

OF Ivan Wilson – 160-AB, .219/.321/.300/.621 – Wilson was one of the top four picks in this year draft, all high school kids and all assigned to this team. He struggled more than the others but did lead the team with 13 stolen bases. He’ll move on simply based on the Mets investment.

SP Gaby Almonte – 10-G, 3-2, 2.31, 1.33 – Almonte has had slow progress with the Mets. This is his third year in the system and he just turned 21. He’s earned a promotion but I’d like to see him bumped two levels to Brooklyn.

SP Andrew Church – 9-G, 3-3, 5.91, 1.63 – the 2013 second round pick has not had a fun summer, but these things happen to pitchers that have been player all year in school. There’s no way he was going to make a full season team anyway because of the back log of talent ahead of him (projected Savannah 6-man rotation: Diaz, Gant, Gsellman, Valdez, Flexin, Whelan).Maybe Brooklyn.

SP Casey Meisner – 10-G, 1-3, 3.06, 1.16 – The ‘big guy’ (6-7) probably had the most success this year out of the four high school early round draft picks. Led all the primary starters/relievers with a 1.15 WHIP. In my book, he’s a lock for the Cyclones.

RP Cameron Griffin – 13-G, 0-0, 3.77, 1.53 – The first of two ex-college kids that need to get moving. Griffin finished his first professional season at 22-years old. He’ll never get to Queens if he doesn’t jump a couple of levels and he’ll never do that unless he pitches lights out at some point in his professional career.

RP Waldo Rodriquez – 16-G, 1-2, 2.49, 1.38 – Rodriguez has an even bigger problem than Griffin. He turns 23 in October. The one thing he does have going for him is the fact that he’s a lefty. It will be interesting to see what team he pitches for next spring.

17 comments:

Chad said...

Mack, What kind of injuries has Daniel Bard had this season? Why would the Red Sox give up on a 28 year old power arm. If healthy Bard sounds like he would be a great bullpen arm for the Mets.

Charley said...

I like HS arms. Yeah they can turn into nothing, but they can also become the next Strasburh. The Yanks have chosen a few in the past that didn't end up signing and one was Gerrit Cole and the other was Jonathon Gray.

Church doesn't look to be in that category, but Meisner is huge and really needs to fill out. He could end up as the best pick in the draft.

I think Dom Smith is a lock for Brooklyn and possibly even has a chance at Savanah.

The Closer said...

Mack, I started putting together some 2014 minor league assignment projections. Ill post a few of them, but remember these are early and a lot of the guys at the Brooklyn/Kingsport level get filled with college draft picks, so this could change drastically.

Infielders

AAA - Las Vegas

Allan Dykstra 1B (26)
Daniel Muno 2B (25)
Wilfredo Tovar SS (22)
Zach Lutz 3B (27)

Ruben Tejada SS (24)
Reese Havens 2B/3B (27)
Josh Rodriguez 3B (29)
Richard Lucas 3B/1B (25)


AA - Binghamton

Jayce Boyd 1B (23)
T.J. Rivera 2B (25)
Matt Reynolds. SS (23)
Aderlin Rodriguez 3B (22)

Robbie Shields 3B/2B (26)
Brian Harrison 1B/3B (25)
Rylan Sandoval SS/2B (26)


High A - St. Lucie

Cole Frenzel 1B (24)
L.J. Mazzilli 2B (23)
Phillip Evans SS (21)
Jeff Reynolds 3B (24)

Jonathan Leroux 1B/3B (23)
Ismael Tijerina SS (24)
Chad Zurcher 2B (25)
Richie Rodriguez 3B (24)


Low A - Savannah

Matt Oberste 1B (22)
Jeff McNeil 2B (22)
Gavin Cecchini SS (20)
Dimas Ponce 3B (23)

Juan Carlos Gamboa 2B (23)
Yucary De La Cruz 2B (23)
Zach Mathieu 1B (22)

SSA - Brooklyn

Dominic Smith 1B (18)
Branden Kaupe 2B (20)
Amed Rosario SS (18)
Pedro Perez 3B (19)


SSA - Kingsport

Brandon Brosher 1B (19)
Luis Guillorme SS (19)
Elvis Sanchez 1B (20)
Jhoan Urena 3B (19)

The Closer said...

Outfielders

AAA - Las Vegas

CF - Matt den Dekker (26)
LF - Cory Vaughn (25)
RF - Cesar Puello (22)

Kirk Nieuwenhuis (26)
Eric Campbell (26)
Alonzo Harris (24)
Joe Bonfe (26)

AA - Binghamton

CF - Darrell Ceciliani (23)
LF - Dustin Lawley (25)
RF - Travis Taijeron (24)

Charley Thurber (24)
Greg Pron (24)
Jorge Rivero (25)

High A - St. Lucie

CF - Brandon Nimmo (21)
LF - Kyle Johnson (24)
RF - Gilbert Gomez (22)

Stefan Sabol (23)
Maikis De La Cruz (23)
Eudy Pina (23)
Eris Peguero (24)

Low A - Savannah

CF - Patrick Biondi. (23)
LF - Jared King (22)
RF - Jeff Diehl (20)

Champ Stuart (21)
Joe Tuschak (21)
Jonathan Clark (23)

SSA - Brooklyn

CF - Ivan Wilson (19)
LF - Vicente Lupo (20)
RF - Wuilmer Becerra (19)

Oswald Caraballo (21)
Bradley Marquez (21)
Michael Bernal (22)

The Closer said...

Catchers

AAA - Las Vegas

Juan Centeno (24)
Kai Gronauer (27)
Francisco Pena (24)


AA - Binghamton

Kevin Plawecki (23)
Xorge Carrillo (25)
Blake Forsythe (24)


Single A - St. Lucie

Cam Maron (23)
Albert Cordero (24)
Jeff Glenn (22)


Low A - Savannah

Tomas Nido (20)
Nelfi Zapata (23)
Edward Rohan (25)


SSA - Brooklyn/Kingsport

Jose Garcia (19)
Colton Plaia (23)
Luis Arrizurieta (23)
Alex Machillanda (22)

Kevin said...

Read up on him. He's been absolutely awful. He can't throw stikes anymore and is arbitration eligible. Remember how Rick Ankiel forgot how to pitch? Same thing happened here. Somebody will sign him hoping to fix him.

Read the article
http://www.sportsonearth.com/article/52030332/

The Closer said...

I have the pitchers on my laptop, so ill post that a little later on, but that's the most exciting part really. We have way too many quality starting pitchers and will likely need to make a trade this offseason to include a few of them, otherwise we'll have 6-7 quality starters at each level. It's nice that some of our prospects are progressing and no longer 3-4 levels away, they are knocking on the door to Flushing, Even the bullpen arms we have are exciting and we could have as many as 5-6 arms that could conceivably help us as soon as next year.

Black, Walters, Church, Leathersich, deGrom, Gorski, etc

The Closer said...

Btw, I put this together before the Mets traded for Dilson Herrera. This is actually one of the tougher decisions since I expected to have LJ Mazzilli at St. Lucie.

The middle infield between St. Lucie and Savannah should be interesting. Phil Evans hasn't done anything to consider a promotion, while Cecchini could easily start in St. Lucie, but more likely Savannah, Mazzilli is a college bat, so hes already 23 next year, so Hes too old for Savannah, but Herrera has earned a promotion to High A.

Binghamton infield is full, so no chance of being too aggressive with any of these guys. I think the decision might come down to who you want to partner with Cecchini at 2b to get them some time together.

I personally would like to see them keep Evans at savannah another year and put Herrera and Cecchini together so they can develop some continuity since they are the bigger prospects and have higher ceilings. Either way, they have to give all 4 of these guys plenty of reps/abs, so they need to start and not be one the same team.

What do you guys think?

Mack Ade said...

Actually, I don't think it was injuries this year. It was all confidence and how he was handled by the team.

Mack Ade said...

My guess your starting infields will be:

Vegas: Dykstra, Muno, Tovar, J-Rod

B-Mets Boyd - TJ - Matt Reynolds, A-Rod

Lucy: Frenzel, Herrera, Cecchini, Jeff Reynolds

Gnats - Oberste, Mazzilli, Evans, Perez

Hobie said...

I see Victor Cruzado listed as a SS (in the Guillorme paragraph). He's listed as a DH on the KP roster, but has played all 3 OF positions, mostly RF.

He's not listed in any of the scenarios IF or OF. What's up with Victor? He had a decent season.

Mack Ade said...

Hobie, I've only seen box scored where he DH'd but I sort of remembering being upset when I was told he wasn't an outfielder. I could be wrong.

I know very little about him.

Mack Ade said...

Hobie, I'm now being told he's a SS

The Closer said...

Honestly, I didnt know where to put him since I seen him listed as a dh,ore often than not. If hes a SS, that could change things a bit.

Hobie said...

Mack. Looked over Cruzado stats. He played 22 G in July (LF2, CF3, RF16, DH1) with a .350BA & .900OPS. Only 11 in Aug (nothing 8/07--8/17) with a .308/.400/.514/.914 for that month. Mostly DH'ing after his return. Was hurt I guess.

He's switch-hitter, but not, as far as I can discern, a SS. Should be in that SAV OF next year if Champ Stuart is. Victor is month younger than stuart (21).

My new Angel Cuan :-) who had a nice outing the other day BTW.

Gary Seagren said...

Mack, wouldn't we be better served with Lawley, our only real power threat with a chance to make the big club, in Vegas and Vaughn in Bingo? Also I'm guessing they signed Harang so they can now give the dreadful Matsusaka his 100k and show him the door and in this case I guess we dodged a big bullet a few years ago. Is it me or have the Bravo's sold there soul to the devil!(and by the way are we still paying for 69' and game 6? ...LOL ). NO team should be as lucky as they are. Chipper FINALLY retires and they pick up this guy to replace him and he leads the league in hitting.....unreal. They always seem to find top quality replacements and I know that's a sign of a great organization but man as a Met fan it's getting real old getting our butts kicked for over 20 years by the same team and to really rub it in Roger friggin McDowell has to be their pitching coach....geeez! Last item is wouldn't it be great if we could have Smith, Herrera and Cecchini on the same St. Lucie infield and Nimmo in the OF by the end of next year. I know what your gonna say but a guy can hope can't he Mack because were not getting any younger here LOL

Charley said...

I can't see Cecchini skipping Savannah when guys like Pawlecki, Boyd, Reynolds all had to spend time there...

Mazzilli I could see since he spent four years in college, but not Gavin. I do see Dom Smith skipping Brooklyn and going to The Gnats. His bat is much more advanced at his age then most of the high school guys they've drafted.

I guess it's possible if they want to put Rosario in Savannah and therefor need to jump Cecchini ahead, but I doubt that too. I think Rosario goes to BK.

Nimmo will head to Lucy and hopefully earn a mid year promotion. Who knows? Maybe he even starts to show some of the power he had in BK that seems to have disappeared this year. Have to like him getting on base 40% of the time. The 100+ ks are worrisome.