A CALL TO ARMS – VOLUME 4 – ERIK GOEDDEL by Tom Brennan
Arms, arms - baby, we have more arms in the Mets system than an enclave of octopuses!
Surely there can’t be any more guys that are close to being big-league-starter-ready? Au contraire. I can think of 3 more, actually, who are either a step below the above 3, in the writer’s opinion, or a bit further away in terms of development. Erik Goeddel, Greg Peavey, and Gabe Ynoa are those 3. Getting us to 15.
In his career to date, he has been in 115 minor league games, starting 61. Lagely a starter through 2013, he became a reliever exclusively in 2014, with 49 appearances for the Las Vegas AAA affiliate, and 6 for the Mets. He suffered from the AAA hits-are-flying-everywhere effect, with a 5.37 ERA and 77 hits in 63 2/3 innings this year, while striking out a man per inning. He put up a high WHIP too.
Why include a reliever in this starter’s list? Because, having started 61 games in his career, he can certainly be used in either
In 2013, sort of the same thing. Home ERA 3.35, road ERA 4.99. Possibly a sign that road fans get to Goeddel. If that is the case, that’s good, because if he corrects it, he’s got another avenue to upside growth. In 2013, he had one outstanding month (June 3-0, 1.08) but was 5.12 in the other 4 months – just pointing that out.
Yet he has decent big league stuff, with it reported that he can touch 95 (which nonetheless would only qualify him for a KC Royal Slow Pitch League if he is a pen guy), with a decent curve. Walks are on the high side (3.62 per 9 for his career, 4.23 in 2014).
So he seems like a fringe 5th starter or 7th inning guy in the future. But I keep coming back to the G Man, Dillon Gee, who sported a painful International League AAA ERA of 4.96 in his full year there - and yet has made a career for himself in the bigs. And Jon Niese had one year in St Lucie where he sported a 4.29 ERA with 151 hits in 134 innings, so Goeddel has to show he can replicate their levels of success. Why not?
So, whither goes Goeddel in 2015? I have my doubts as to him doing more than repeating AAA as a reliever, and possibly an occasional call-up to Queens, but only time will tell.